Twins Look to End Skid Against Rival Guardians

Guardians vs Twins Best Bets See Value in Total

The Minnesota Twins visit the first-place Cleveland Guardians for a four-game weekend set at Target Field. The series begins with a split doubleheader on Friday at 2:10 p.m. ET, with Bailey Ober drawing the start for Minnesota. Cleveland has yet to name a starter opposite him.

Game 1 Odds: Minnesota Twins RL (-1.5 +150), ML (-140), (O/U 8 -115/-105)

Game 2 Odds: Minnesota Twins RL (-1.5 + 160), ML (-117), (O/U 8.5 -118/-102)

Cleveland is 5-0 against its division rivals this season, with another four-game series scheduled for Sept. 16-19 at Progressive Field.

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What can bettors expect? Before making your Guardians vs Twins best bets, check out our MLB series preview.

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The Cleveland Guardians are 57-57 against the run line, including 32-27 away from home. Cleveland has been a bit more profitable for Over/Under bettors, going 55-51-8. The total has gone Over in six of the Guardians’ last seven games.

The Minnesota Twins, meanwhile, are 55-58 against the run line. That includes just 23-30 at home. They’ve been far more profitable against the Over/Under, producing a mark of 59-50-4.

Be sure to remember these betting trends when making your Guardians vs Twins best bets.

Guardians Maintain Stranglehold on First

The Guardians (67-47) still own the American League Central’s best record despite losing five straight. They were swept by Arizona in Wednesday’s doubleheader, falling to 9-10 since the All-Star break.

That’s through no fault of third baseman Jose Ramirez, who has homered six times in his last nine games to push his OPS to 1.227 in August. The six-time All-Star needs just five stolen bases for his second 30-30 season. He’s among the 2024 MLB leaders with 96 RBI.

  • Oddsmakers remain bullish despite the Guardians’ recent struggles, pricing them +1100 to win the World Series. Only four clubs have better odds.

Led by first-year manager Stephen Vogt, the Guardians remain on pace to smash expectations (79.5 projected regular-season wins). That said, they’ll need better health to maximize their potential. Their pitching staff’s been hit hard by injuries, with ace Shane Bieber (elbow) their most prominent loss.

Tanner Bibee, who skipped his last scheduled start because of a sore right shoulder, was slated to throw a bullpen session on Thursday and could be cleared to start Sunday’s series finale if all goes right. Bibee has become one of Cleveland’s most reliable arms in the absence of Bieber, going 9-4 with a 3.48 ERA.

The Guardians are 55-51-8 against the Over/Under, though the Under’s hit in seven of their last eight road games.

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Twins Hanging Tight Despite Injuries

The Twins (63-50) dropped two straight against the Cubs, halting their five-game winning streak. They’re 3.5 games behind Cleveland in the AL Central and have a half-game lead on the second wild card spot.

Injuries remain a concern. There was some hope that shortstop Carlos Correa might return for Friday’s doubleheader, but he instead remains on the IL with plantar fasciitis in his right foot. The three-time All-Star, who’s hitting .308 with 13 homers and an .896 OPS, hasn’t played since July 12. He will need to go on a rehab assignment before rejoining the Twins.

Oft-injured outfielder Byron Buxton is also hurt again, out the last three games because of a sore back. It remains to be seen if Buxton, who’s played more than 100 games just once in 10 seasons, will rejoin the lineup in time for the series opener.

  • Minnesota seems like a relatively safe bet to make the playoffs (-525), though its World Series odds are just +1300. Eight other clubs are priced 15/1 or better. The Twins will need to get healthy to surpass expectations and cash in on those odds.

Series Probables

âš¾ Game 1 âš¾

Friday, 2:10 p.m. ET

TBD vs Bailey Ober

Ober, slated to start the first half of Friday’s split doubleheader, has pitched at least seven innings in three straight starts. He leads the Twins with 11 wins and is fifth in the majors with a 0.98 WHIP.

The right-hander faced Cleveland on May 18, giving up five runs over four innings in an 11-4 loss.

Cleveland has yet to name a starter opposite Ober, which is important to keep in mind when making your Guardians vs Twins best bets.

âš¾ Game 2 âš¾

Friday, 8:10 p.m. ET

Alex Cobb vs TBD

Cobb, who’s spent the entire season on the IL rehabbing from offseason left hip surgery, will start the nightcap. He made six rehab appearances from June 30 through July 26 before getting traded from San Francisco prior to last week’s deadline.

In his last start with Triple-A Columbus, Cobb threw 69 pitches over 4.2 innings.

âš¾ Game 3 âš¾

Saturday, 7:10 p.m. ET

Gavin Williams vs Simeon Woods-Richardson

Williams has a 4.91 ERA in seven starts since beginning the season on the IL with an elbow injury. He was tagged for a season-high six runs over four innings in his last start, a 9-5 loss to Baltimore.

He faces Woods-Richardson, who is 3-2 with a 3.87 ERA in his first full year as a starter. Woods-Richardson went 5.1 innings against Cleveland on May 17, giving up just one run on four hits.

âš¾ Game 4 âš¾

Sunday, 2:10 p.m. ET

TBD vs David Festa

Festa has an unsightly 5.55 ERA but was solid in his last outing, striking out nine over five shutout innings in a 3-0 victory over the Cubs. Home runs (six allowed in 24.1 frames) have been a big problem.

He could possibly face Bibee if the Guardians right-hander does well in his bullpen session.

For MLB picks today, betting analysis and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine


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