World Series Game 4: Phillies vs Astros Betting Odds, Pick

With Phillies Taking 2-1 Series Lead, Odds to Win World Series have shifted.

Phillies vs Astros Betting Odds show the -110 each way for tonight’s game four. The Phillies, who were a massive underdog before the series started are now a -155 favorite. They’ll look to take a commanding 3-1 lead behind ace Aaron Nola who moved up a day after the Monday rainout. He’ll be opposed by Christian Javier who has been virtually unhittable in the postseason, allowing just one earned run in over six innings of work.

Game: Houston Astros (1-2) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (2-1)
Date & Time & Streaming:
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

This Has Been the Series of Early Leads

The Philadelphia Phillies’ bats were hot from inning number one, after Bryce Harper opening frame bomb gave the Phil’s a lead they wouldn’t relinquish. All three games have seen massive early leads, with Rob Thompson’s team finally getting the benefit of their own big start.

The biggest weapon that the Fightin’ Phil’s bring into this game is the confidence that they can shut down the Astros lineup. Last night, all of the Astros five hits were singles while the Phillies power was on full display with five homers. Houston is also battling a Philadelphia home crowd that can smell a championship. It can be an intimidating stadium to play in, one the Astros have not had the pleasure of competing in since 2017. Let’s continue our Phillies vs. Astros betting odds preview by looking deeper into the Phillies.

Phillies Hope to Extend Home Perfection

With another home win under their belt, the Phillies are now a perfect 6-0 at home this postseason, handing bettors 581 units of profit. Since 2017, Citizens Bank Park has become a soft-landing spot for the Phillies with a 489-349 (58.77%) record and 1,450 units of profit. Only five other teams (Tampa, Colorado, New York Yankees, Oakland, and Texas) have been more profitable in that span.

For as good as the regular season has been over the years, the postseason is where the faithful get lathered up. Over their last 29 home playoff games, Philadelphia owns a 22-7 record since 2008. Only the Kansas City Royals have been better in the postseason at home (13-3) since 2005. Aaron Nola will be pitching on his normal four-day rest after getting moved up in the rotation.

The right-hander is 3-1 in his postseason career but comes into this one with something to prove after giving up five earned runs in just 4 ⅓ innings in game one, a game the Phillies climbed out of a 5-0 hole to win.


That was Nola’s second straight poor performance after giving up six earned runs to the Padres in game two of the NLCS. As we continue our Phillies vs Astros betting odds preview, our game four selection will show that we’re not worried about Nola’s recent struggles. If you think the Phillies will close this is out eventually, this is the game to bet on World Series futures because if the Phillies win tonight, their odd to win World Series will skyrocket.

Bettors Allegiance Switches to Phillies and Under

Bettors smell a change in the air after a dominant game three performance from Philadelphia. Early betting shows 62% of the public money coming in on the Phillies, with even more pouring in on the under. In sports betting, it’s always best not to overreact to what you just saw, but that’s exactly what is happening here after the Astros offense fizzled out in game three.

The total was 7.5 but with seven of those coming from the Phillies in the first five innings, you knew that Houston wasn’t going to help over bettors, after inept at-bats continued to pile up. To conclude our Astros vs Phillies betting odds preview, we’re going to recommend that players go right back to the well with the under. MLB odds show another 7.5 but with a heavy emphasis on the under (-122). We feel that the big innings will dry up and this will become a battle of the two of the league’s top pitching staffs.

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