World Series: Phillies vs Astros Odds, Preview & Pick

Overcast Expected but Game Three Should Play Without Delay

Phillies vs Astros odds show the Astros as a -125-road favorite. As a favorite, the Astros are 102-45 (69.39%) +1297 units, including their 6-1 postseason mark. As a road favorite, Dusty Baker’s team is 43-20 (68.25%). The Phillies are just 32-35 as an underdog in 2022, but that was good enough to profit 551 units. Rob Thompson’s team has been a juggernaut as an underdog this postseason, winning 6 of 9 games outright. The MLB schedule has game four scheduled for Wednesday at 8:03 pm ET.

Game: Houston Astros (1-1) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1-1)
Date & Time & Streaming:
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Astros Hope to Continue Massive Early Lead Trend

The series is tied at one, but the Astros clubhouse knows that they should lead 2-0 after blowing a 5-0 lead in game one. In game two, Houston once again jumped out to a 5-0 lead with some rare first inning offense in support of Framber Valdez who held the Phillies to one earned run into the seventh inning. Before game two, Houston had managed just three first inning hits in 27 postseason innings. Despite that, the World Series game 3 lines are a clear reflection of the public perception of Houston being the much stronger club.

Lance McCullers. Jr gets the start in game three (4-2, 2.27era). When the right-hander gets the start, bettors are a combined 7-3, +152 units. Houston is 6-2 when McCullers starts as a favorite and a perfect 3-0 as a road favorite when the Tampa native gets the ball. Since 2017, Houston is 63-38 (62.38%) overall when McCullers starts. Let’s continue our Phillies vs Astros odds preview by digging into the Phillies.

Rainout Benefits the Phillies

The Fightin’ Phils are a perfect 5-0 at Citizens Bank Park this postseason, including 3-0 as a home dog this postseason. They’ll try to extend their unbeaten streak in game three behind left-hander Ranger Suarez (10-7, 3.65 era) who was moved up in place of Noah Syndergaard who was supposed to start last night.

The rain-out helps the Phils, not only with the noir reliable Suarez getting the ball tonight, but it moves staff ace Aaron Nola to pitch game four instead of five. It doesn’t appear that the Astros will move Justin Verlander up a day with Christian Javier still expected to get the game four start. That tells you a little something about how Houston views their chances in this series.

Philadelphia expects over 45,000 raucous fans to invade the metroplex tonight, and if you’ve never been to a game in Eastern Pennsylvania, let’s just say their presence will be felt through your television tonight! This may provide a huge advantage for the home team who have not faced the Astros at home since 2017.

With Suarez, Public Prefers Phillies and Over

Yesterday, the public pounced on the Houston Astros but with the rain comes change. Today the money is clearly on the Phillies (70%) and the over (86%).

 

To conclude our Astros vs. Phillies odds preview, our official recommendation is to play the over (8, Even). There seems to be a knee jerk reaction to the pitching change and it’s understandable to an extent, but these situations usually lead to higher scoring games because both teams are out of rhythm because of the delay in the series.

We have been reminded about the strength of the Astros lineup early in games one and two, but we often forget that the addition of Bryce Harper has given the Phillies big inning capabilities that they didn’t have for much of the season with Harper on the shelf. No longer do the Phil’s have to take chances on the base paths to manufacture big innings. The betting public is on the over and we agree.

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