Can You Parlay Underdogs For a Massive Win?
Bellator may be closing shop soon. Hence, we’re seeing more stacked matchmaking with every event. But one thing hasn’t changed: oddsmakers continue to line these matchups widely. The Bellator 301: Amosov vs Jackson fight odds is no different, with at least half of the fights featuring an underdog nearing 2-1 odds or longer. Shrewd or ballsy bettors may just cash out big if they can parlay the right underdogs. But who?
Location: Wintrist Arena, Chicago, IL
Day/Time: Friday, 5:00 p.m. ET
Broadcast: Showtime, YouTube (Prelims)
Two Title Fights: Two Entirely Different Matchups
The two title fights headlining this event feature such different styles. The MMA odds are split here with Yaroslav Amosov moderately favored to defend his belt at -350 while Patchy Mix is at -275 to capture the bantamweight title as the challenger.
Amosov is the undefeated champion (27-0) and is a multiple-time combat sambo champion. He’s been able to outgrappled every opponent he’s faced, including NCAA Division I wrestlers like Logan Storley and Ed Ruth. His challenger, Jason Jackson, faces his widest odds (+260) as an underdog. His only defeat in Bellator was a split decision against Ruth.
Jackson has, otherwise, taken out former champions like Douglas Lima and Benson Henderson. That loss to Ruth looms large, hence why he faces steep Amosov vs Jackson fight odds. Still, he’s big and athletic and has a well-rounded skillset. He may be a little bit too underestimated here.
As for Mix, many have him as the uncrowned champion at 135 pounds. He has a significant size advantage over the champion, Sergio Pettis, who used to fight at 125 pounds. Mix has won five straight, while Pettis has won six. The champ, a +190 underdog, has won three straight fights as one and should be the better striker here. He may produce some stunning Bellator results if he can keep this fight on its feet.
Big Dogs Range From a Former Champion to Journeymen
Speaking of champions being underdogs, Patricky “Pitbull” Freire is the biggest one in the main card at +360. That implies he’s got less than 22% chance of winning this fight against Alexander Shabliy (-500). The Russian starched his last two opponents, one being another former champion in, Brent Primus.
Shabliy could outclass Freire here. Or Freire, owning a 68% knockout-to-win ratio, could land a big punch and cause the biggest upset on the main card.
A.J. McKee is another former champion in action, though, as the A-side of his matchup against Sidney Outlaw. The former 145-pound king is a -275 favorite with a comeback on Outlaw at +210. McKee is 2-0 since dropping the belt to Patricio Freire in a rematch, while Outlaw stunned Islam Mamedov as a +205 underdog.
And moving down to the prelims, we may catch even bigger upsets given the Amosov vs Jackson fight odds. Paula Cristina is +325, Pieter Buist is +575, and Randall Wallace is +425 in their respective matchups. They are all expected to get squashed against Bellator’s prospects.
Cristina takes on the former Bellator flyweight champion, Juliana Velasquez. She just lost to Denise Kielholtz, who also lost to Velasquez. The ex-champ is expected to rebound from consecutive defeats to Liz Carmouche as a -450 favorite.
Buist is a 24-fight professional from the Netherlands. He competed in ONE Championship recently and even defeated a former champion: Eduard Foloyang. But he’s set up against Archie Colgan (-900), an unbeaten fighter with a blue-chip wrestling pedigree. Buist has also lost three straight fights. Hence, his MMA vs UFC odds being the longest here.
Wallace is the second-longest underdog on the card as he takes on the undefeated Russian prospect, Ramazan Kuramagomedov. The Jackson-Wink fighter is 11-0 but is relatively unproven. The dog, Wallace, has several wins over UFC veterans. Given his odds, he’s being overlooked disrespectfully.
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