2024 Cabo Wabo 250 Odds: Nemechek Favored for Repeat

After a Month Off, Xfinity Series Returns for Second Half Starting in Michigan.

The NASCAR Xfinity Series is back this weekend after the summer break. It’s been nearly a month since Riley Herbst notched his second career Xfinity Series win in Indianapolis. He’s one of the favorites in the 2024 Cabo Wabo 250 Odds this week but a Cup Series regular leads the way.

2024 Cabo Wabo 250 Odds: Favorites

John Hunter Nemechek (+400)

The full-time Cup Series driver is back in the Xfinity Series for the 11th time in 2024 this weekend.

He’s succeeded this year in the Xfinity Series with two wins in Nashville and Las Vegas. That latter win bodes well for Michigan because it’s a fairly similar track. But Nemechek won this race last year and led the most laps and that bodes even better for his chances this weekend.

Cole Custer (+450)

Custer took pole position and finished second in Indianapolis to stay atop the NASCAR points standings. He’s built a 56-point lead in the standings ahead of this weekend.

Custer’s record in Michigan is okay. He finished third in 2018 and 10th in 2017 but he’s never won here at any level. His pole position and second place in Las Vegas does give confidence this weekend, though. He’s on a remarkable run of top-10 results this season with 16 out of 20 Xfinity races in 2024. He should very likely at least keep that form going.

Justin Allgaier (+650)

Allgaier kept his top-10 streak going in Indianapolis before the break with ninth place. That marks his fifth consecutive top-10 result.

He’s never won in Michigan but he’s been consistently in contention. He’s made the top 10 in four of the last five Xfinity races there. His form in Kansas, the most similar track on the calendar to Michigan, is among his best. He’s behind Custer on the NASCAR leaderboard and another good result could close the gap at least a little.

Riley Herbst (+700)

Herbst’s win in Indianapolis sees him with some of his shortest odds of the season this week. It’s not completely without reason because he’s raced well in Michigan over the years. He won the ARCA Menards race there in 2020 from pole position. He finished sixth last year, ninth in 2022, and seventh in 2021. The top five should be achievable this weekend.

Austin Hill (+900)

Hill comes back from the summer break on the heels of his best form since the opening month of the season. He’s notched four consecutive top-10 finishes, the latest a sixth-place result in Indianapolis.

His track record in Michigan is solid. He won and led the most laps in the 2019 Craftsman Truck Series race there. In the Xfinity Series, he finished 11th last year and fifth the year before. But he’s one of the better drivers on the grid in Las Vegas and Kansas in recent years. It wouldn’t be big NASCAR Xfinity news if he won and he should be in contention.

2024 Cabo Wabo 250 Odds: Sleepers

AJ Allmendinger (+1300)

Allmendinger‘s one of the few active drivers who’s won this race in the Xfinity Series. He won and led the most laps in 2021. A year later, he finished seventh. In 2024, he raced well in Las Vegas (sixth), Charlotte (fifth), and Texas (fourth), all tracks that share some characteristics with Michigan. At these NASCAR odds, he’s a better option than most of the favorites.

Brandon Jones (+1600)

Jones is on a run of solid form lately. He’s finished between 13th and 17th in each of the last five races. That could change this weekend. He raced from 14th on the grid to fourth by the chequered flag in this race last year. He also went from fourth to second in the most recent race at Kansas. At these odds, he’s worth a flyer.

Parker Kligerman (+3500)

Kligerman is a long shot but he could surprise this weekend. He finished eighth from 17th at this race last year and fourth from 15th in Kansas last year as well. He’s a low-risk, high-reward pick who has three top-10 results in his last five races.

2024 Cabo Wabo 250 Odds: Predictions

After four weeks off, the Xfinity Series is back through the end of the playoffs. Michigan should be a good place for drivers to build momentum heading into the second half of the year.

Of the favorites, we like Nemechek (+400) to get another win. His track record is just too good to pass up. Of the sleepers, we like Allmendinger (+1300). His track record is very good for these odds. Our top five picks are:

Cabo Wabo 250 Top Five Picks

DriverOdds
Nemechek-120
Allmendinger+200
Custer-130
Hill+125
Kligerman+525

For NASCAR betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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