Drive for the Cure 250 Odds & Betting Analysis

NASCAR Xfinity Series Playoffs Continue in Charlotte

October 5, 2022 185 4 minutes readNASCAR News

NASCAR Xfinity: Drive for the Cure 250 Odds & Betting Analysis — Sean Gardner/Getty Images/AFP

Updated Playoff Standings
Who are the Favorites?
Where’s the Value?

The NASCAR Xfinity Series heads to Charlotte Roval for a change-up following the race at Talladega. Here, you’ll find everything you need to know about the Drive for the Cure 250 odds, as well as betting analysis before you place your bet.

Updated Playoff Standings

Noah Gragson’s four-race winning streak came to an end at Talladega Saturday as he attempted to break the record, but ultimately fell short. A.J. Allmendinger won on a photo finish and is now tied with Gragson atop the NASCAR playoff standings after the victory with 2,134 points.

Ty Gibbs remains in third place with 2,113, 21 points behind Allmendinger and Gragson for the lead. He sits six points ahead of Austin Hill, currently in fourth. Hill quietly made a significant push at the end of the regular season and is now in a position to finish in the top five even if he’s unable to gain any more ground on the leaders.

Josh Berry rounds out the top five with 2,091 points. Berry will have to hope for Hill to have a bad day if he’s to gain any ground in the standings. Things tighten up behind Berry, as Justin Allgaier is just two points behind Hill for the fifth spot. The two JR Motorsports drivers will likely be neck-and-neck the rest of the way.

Sam Mayer, another JR Motorsports driver sits in seventh, 12 points behind Allgaier. RSS Racing’s Ryan Sieg holds the No. 8 spot, also the cutoff point for the next round of the playoffs. On the bubble is Daniel Hemric, six points off Sieg for the final spot. Both Riley Herbst and Brandon Jones are close behind, trailing Sieg by only 10 points. Anything could happen down the stretch.

Who are the Favorites?

It should be of no surprise to see Allmendinger atop the Drive for the Cure 250 odds board considering his background on road courses. His odds are so low, it’s almost not worth betting on him with that little value at just +180. In three starts at the Charlotte Roval, Allmendinger has taken the checkered flag in all three, despite starting outside the top 10 in two of them.

If it’s not Allmendinger, who stands the best chance to beat him for the checkered flag? According to the Drive for the Cure 250 odds, it’s Gibbs at +350. He finished 21st in his only start at the Charlotte Roval last season, but when we take a closer look, he did better than his finishing position indicated. Gibbs began in 12th and moved up to fourth by the end of Stage 1. He finished Stage 2 in eighth and even managed to lead a handful of laps.

Next on the Drive for the Cure 250 odds board is Hill. If you were to look up Hill’s past performances at the Charlotte Roval, you’d probably wonder why he has the third-lowest odds to win. Hill has performed well on other road courses this season. He finished second at Circuit of the Americas and third at Portland.

Sheldon Creed enters at +900. Creed has had decent success on road courses, including an eighth-place finish at Watkins Glen and a 10th-place finish at COTA. Looking at his stats from the truck series explains why the oddsmakers have him where they do. He has a first and second-place finish in two starts at Daytona Road Course. He also has a pair of wins in three tries at the World Wide Technology Raceway.

Gragson is coming off a historical stretch of races. While he wasn’t able to break the record, he still has his eyes on an Xfinity Series championship. Currently tied with Allmendinger, Gragson will have to put a lot on the line if he’s going to beat the three-time defending winner at Charlotte.

Gragson enters with +1000 odds. While Gragson isn’t a road-course expert like some of the other names, the fact that he’s getting double digits is incredible. In his only three starts at Charlotte Roval, he’s yet to finish lower than sixth and has a pair of top-five finishes with a second-place finish. Double-digit odds on arguably the best driver in the field? Yes, please.

Gragson enters with +1000 odds. While Gragson isn’t a road-course expert like some of the other names, the fact that he’s getting double digits is incredible.

Where’s the Value?

In this section last week, Allmendinger was the highlighted driver that held the most value. That’s one of the biggest NASCAR Xfinity betting tips: Look for the value. He was incredibly consistent on superspeedways, despite never having won at one before, so we recommended a top-three or a top-five finish if you didn’t want to lay the outright number. Well, Allmendinger secured his first-ever superspeedway win in a photo finish over Mayer, which cashed all Allmendinger bets.

This time, it’s Gragson. There have been multiple instances this season where Allmendinger was getting double digits, and he consistently cashed at least top-five bets. He can be had at +250 for a top-three finish and Even odds for a top-five finish.

One more driver that could be worth one of those types of bets at Charlotte Roval is Daniel Hemric. In his three career starts at Charlotte Roval, he’s placed in the top 10 in each one and has finished third in back-to-back starts. In last season’s race, he led at the end of both stages. Hemric’s outright odds are +1600 but can be had at +425 for a top-three finish and +175 for a top-five finish.

The next stop on the NASCAR schedule, drivers will head to Las Vegas.