The NASCAR Cup Series continues Sunday at the DuraMAX Drydene 400 at Dover International Speedway. The Monster Mile comes a week after high speeds at Talladega. For viewers, it’s a whole different experience. Drivers, on the other hand, will be quick to adapt. Below are some of the NASCAR Drydene 400 Odds
Big Names Atop Oddsboard
Unlike the odds for Talladega that saw even the favorite fetching double-digit odds, the numbers are much lower this time around for the 1-mile track at Dover. Kyle Larson opened as the betting favorite at +550. Rightfully so as Larson, the current favorite in NASCAR championship betting odds, has dominated Dover. In last year’s race at Dover, Larson finished second after starting fourth and led 263 laps while winning Session 1 and Session 2. Before that? A first-place finish back in October 2019 after starting second. He led 154 laps. At Dover, Larson has seven top-five finishes and 10 top-10 finishes.
Next in the NASCAR race odds for the Drydene 400 are William Byron (+750) and Chase Elliott (+800). Elliott has had quite a wide variance of luck at Dover. He finished third in last year’s running at Dover. In 2020, when they ran back-to-back races at Dover on consecutive days, he finished fifth on Saturday, followed by 39th the following day due to an accident. In the fall race in 2019, he finished 38th with engine trouble. If you take out those two fluke finishes, he has an average finishing position of 4.3. Elliott has one victory at Dover with seven top-5 finishes under his belt as well.
As for Byron, he’s one of two drivers with multiple wins this season. He doesn’t have the career success at Dover as Elliott, but he’s started to figure it out lately, illustrated by back-to-back fourth-place finishes. He was also able to find his way to the front and lead a handful of laps. Byron will be rocking a throwback paint scheme this weekend, similar to Jeff Gordon’s old car.
Value in Wisdom?
While Kevin Harvick (+1600) may no longer be a part of NASCAR’s elite, it would be wrong to gloss over what he’s accomplished at the Monster Mile. Harvick has won three times at Dover during his long career, the most recent coming in 2020. He’s also finished inside of the top five 10 times along with 22 top-10 finishes. He’s also the active leader in laps led at Dover with 1,621. Harvick hasn’t taken a checkered flag since 2020, but if there’s a place he’s comfortable, it’s Dover.
Five drivers share +1200 odds: Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. But only one of those drivers has multiple wins at Dover. Out of that group, the value is on Truex.
In 31 races at Dover, Truex has taken the checkered flag three times with nine top-five finishes and 18 top-10s. While his 19th-place finish last year was his worst at Dover since 2013, he still started the race on the pole. Prior to that, he had finished second or better in his previous four outings at Dover.
Busch is the only other active driver with three wins at Dover. He has 13 top-five finishes at Dover, the most by any active drivers, and is second to only Harvick with 20 top-10 finishes. Among these Drydene 400 predictions, it’s safe to say one of these drivers will be in the running come Sunday.
What Happened Last Time?
In last year’s Duramax Drydene 400 NASCAR race, Alex Bowman took the checkered flag, which is likely why he enters this year’s race at +900. Larson placed second, Elliott placed third, Byron fourth, Logano fifth, Harvick sixth, Denny Hamlin seventh, Tyler Reddick eighth, Daniel Suarez ninth and Cole Custer 10th.
Given everyone’s experience and odds, Truex at +1200 is great value for someone who seemingly is always in the running at Dover. This could also be a value spot for Harvick.
A Puncher’s Chance?
If you’re looking for a longshot among the NASCAR Drydene 400 Odds, one name comes to mind. While he has limited experience on the track, Cole Custer has been nothing short of consistent at Dover. In three races, he has finished in the top 10 each of the last two times along with an 11th-place finish.
This is clearly a track where Custer is comfortable. He moved up 20 spots from his starting position of 30th at Dover for his second-consecutive top-10 finish. Considering he has nine top-10 finishes in his career and two of them came at Dover, this is a great chance for the Stewart-Haas Racing driver to take the next step and capture his second career victory. At +12500 odds, he’s definitely worth a look.