Hamlin Holds Big Lead in NASCAR 2024 Brickyard Odds
After Finishing Second in Pocono, Hamlin's Favored for Fourth Win
Defending Cup Series champion Ryan Blaney’s regular season turnaround continued in Pocono with his second win of the season. That made for his second in the last five NASCAR races and he has re-established himself as a threat in the championship.
The NASCAR Cup Series heads to another high-speed oval this week in Indianapolis. Here’s how the 2024 Brickyard Odds break down.
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2024 Brickyard Odds: Favorites
Denny Hamlin (+350)
Hamlin won Stage 2 and finished a close second to Blaney last week in Pocono. It was a stark change from his recent NASCAR results of five consecutive finishes outside the top 10.
Hamlin is a favorite this week once again because of the similarities between Indianapolis Motor Speedway and Pocono. Both are higher-speed, big, flat-track ovals.
He’s never won in Indianapolis before but his strong track record there (top-10 in six of the last nine races) and results last weekend are promising.
Kyle Larson (+600)
Larson is out of the top spot in the NASCAR Cup Series standings after finishing 13th in Pocono. That result dropped him three points behind his teammate Chase Elliott.
He’s still second and in the top group of four including Elliott, Tyler Reddick, and Hamlin.
Larson’s track record in Indianapolis is good but not great. The last time he raced the oval layout was in 2019 when a crash ended his race on Lap 129.
He’s crashed out in two of his last three races on the oval. His consistency alone this season should have him in the hunt but his track record is not promising.
Ryan Blaney (+750)
Blaney hasn’t won back-to-back races since Michigan and Daytona in 2021. Coincidentally, that came after finishing second in a race on the Indianapolis road course.
His track record on the oval is better in NASCAR qualifying than the race. He’s started in the top 10 three times in six races but only one top-10 finish.
His win in Pocono is very promising for this weekend because of the track characteristics. That alone makes him a threat to win but it’s tough to repeat in the Cup Series.
Brad Keselowski (+800)
Keselowski moved up the order in Pocono after starting 14th to finish seventh. That broke a streak of non-top-10 finishes over the last three races.
His track record is one of the best on the grid in Indianapolis. He won this race from sixth on the grid in 2018 and finished fourth in the Cup Series’ last oval race here in 2020.
Keselowski’s made the top five in three of the last four races on the Indianapolis oval. A second win of the season wouldn’t be a surprise in NASCAR this weekend.
Sleepers
William Byron (+1000)
At +1000, Byron’s not much of a sleeper but offers a great payout compared to the favorites. He started second and finished fourth last week in Pocono for one of his better weekends since his most recent victory in Martinsville.
His limited track record on the Indianapolis oval isn’t great with just one top-five result in three career races. But his performance in Pocono is promising and his track record there is the best on the grid by average finish. He should be at the front once again.
Tyler Reddick (+1200)
Reddick is the form driver in the Cup Series lately. His sixth place in Pocono makes it seven top-10 finishes in the last eight races. No one else on the grid has more than five.
He raced once in the Cup Series on the Indianapolis oval layout in 2020 and went from 13th on the grid to eighth by the checkered flag. His lone victory in 2024 came at another high-speed track (Talladega) albeit at a far less flat oval. This is more of a bet on recent form than track record.
Joey Logano (+1500)
Logano bounced back from a poor result in Chicago (23rd) with his fourth top-five result of the season. He’s now up to 14th in the NASCAR standings with his playoff ticket punched thanks to the win in Nashville.
He has never won on the oval layout in Indianapolis. But the 34-year-old’s track record is great. In 2020, he took pole position and led 14 laps before ultimately finishing 10th.
He’s finished outside the top 10 at the Indianapolis oval just once in the last eight races. Between his good result in Pocono and that track record, he’s a solid sleeper pick this weekend.
Ty Gibbs (+1600)
Gibbs started from pole position and led 21 laps in Pocono but engine issues ended his day early and he was classified 27th. That was a disappointing result after finishing third and leading the most laps in Chicago.
This is a bit of a stretch but his strong pace in Pocono’s qualifying is a reason to be confident this weekend. Gibbs has never raced on the Indianapolis oval before at any NASCAR level but his strong track record in Pocono could translate well here.
2024 Brickyard Odds: Predictions
The Cup Series is back on the oval layout this year in Indianapolis to celebrate the 30th anniversary of the Brickyard 400. With high speeds and a relatively flat surface, it should make for exciting racing this weekend.
Of the favorites, we like Hamlin (+350) to get another win this weekend. He came close in Pocono and has the track record to back up some confidence this weekend.
Of the sleepers, we like Logano (+1500). His track record is outstanding and worth a flyer.
Here are our top five picks:
- Hamlin (-190)
- Logano (+225)
- Keselowski (+125)
- Reddick (+160)
- Byron (+150)
For NASCAR betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
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