JR Motorsports Dominates Odds for Xfinity Series A-Game 200

After a wreck-filled race in Talladega, the Xfinity Series heads north to Dover

Talladega’s Xfinity Series race was good. A thrilling race featuring multiple wrecks culminated in Jeb Burton taking his second career victory and second at Talladega. He took the win in double overtime by just 0.113 seconds over Sheldon Creed.

Two red flags due to pileups extended the race to one of the longest of the season. The last incident involved 12 cars with just three laps to go. Creed and Burton raced for the win, with the latter taking the win.

Now, the Xfinity Series heads to Dover for the A-Game 200. Championship leader Austin Hill made it through the wrecks in Talladega to finish 18th and remain on top of the NASCAR Xfinity standings. Here’s how the Xfinity odds look this week:

Title contenders at the top

Talladega saw many of the season’s top performers finish farther down the order than usual. Oddsmakers have them bouncing back at The Monster Mile.

Justin Allgaier and Josh Berry are tied for the best odds for victory at +400. They finished 30th and 28th last week, respectively, but both have seen more success in Dover.

Allgaier won this race in 2020 and 2018. In 22 Xfinity Series races in Dover, he’s won twice and finished in the top five 11 times. His team, JR Motorsports, has won three of the last five events. Allgaier’s still winless in 2023. This could be his weekend to bounce back and jump higher in the standings.

Fellow JR Motorsports driver Berry also has a recent win in Dover. He won this event last season and finished second the year before. Though he doesn’t have as many NASCAR Xfinity races under his belt there as Allgaier, Berry’s been a standout driver in limited running. He could become the first repeat winner at the A-Game 200 since Joey Logano in 2012-2013.

John Hunter Nemechek finished much farther down the order than usual in Talladega with a 32nd-place result. This came after his second win of the season in Martinsville. His odds for the win are +550 at a track that historically is not his best. In six events at Dover, he’s finished eighth at best in the two races in 2019. The past two years have seen 32nd- and 37th-place results. Last year, his race was cut short at 83 laps due to brake problems. A win would be a change in form at this track, but he’s been consistently well in 2023.

Cole Custer is next up at +600. He benefitted from the mayhem in Talladega last week to score his third consecutive top-five finish. The last time he raced in Dover, he took his ninth career Xfinity win at the 2019 Drive Sober 200. No driver can match Custer’s results in the last three races. He could capitalize on that momentum for his first win of the season on Saturday.

Rookie Sammy Smith rounds out the top group at +800 for the win. He’s had a limited career running in Dover with just two events in the ARCA Menards Series East category. He finished fourth in 2021 and fifth in 2022. A win would be a surprise here, but so was his first Xfinity win in Phoenix earlier this year.

Longer odds worth considering for A-Game 200

Championship leader Hill is +1600 for victory on Saturday. He has limited running in Dover — just one Xfinity race — and you’d have to go back to 2014 for his last win there in the K&N Pro Series East event. He took the pole last week ahead of the 18th-place result. A bounce back in Dover would be vital to regaining his form from earlier this season.

Daniel Hemric is +3300 for a win on Saturday. He has just one podium in 2023 (Atlanta), but Dover is one of his best tracks. Seven races have led to five top-10 finishes and one of the best average results (seventh) on the Xfinity grid. A win would push the 2021 Xfinity Series champion higher up the 2023 standings.

Predictions for A-Game 200

A wild race in Talladega could give way to a return to form this Saturday. Many drivers have a reasonable shot at winning a championship, with just 36 points covering the top five.

But Berry looks like the choice among the favorites for the win. He’d be the first repeat winner in years, but he’s been in good form before the result in Talladega. Last week marked just the second time he’s finished lower than eighth all season. A bounce-back performance this weekend seems right.

If you want a better payout this weekend, Hemric could be a good surprise. He’s raced well in Dover and has been relatively consistent this year.

Follow us on Twitter

Can’t get enough? Here’s more!

Back to top button

pointspreads

WHO WILL WIN?

Submit your vote and view the results
Hey Again

vote all you can

pointspreads

PS-email

PS-email

Robot_subscription sombras
Subscribe to get
get_expert_img
Thank you for subscribing subscribed_icon