NASCAR Cup: Bank of America ROVAL 400 Odds & Analysis

Will There be Fireworks at The Roval?

October 7, 2022 315 4 minutes readNASCAR News

NASCAR Cup: Bank of America ROVAL 400 Odds & Analysis — Tilton/Getty Images/AFP

Track info
Current Playoff Standings
Who are the favorites?
Best of the Rest
Where’s the Value?

After an exciting weekend at Talladega Superspeedway, the NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs continue as drivers head to Charlotte. Here, you’ll find the odds, as well as an analysis of the Bank of America Roval 400 odds.

Track info

The Charlotte Roval is the second race held at Charlotte Motor Speedway. Unlike the first race, this is a road-course setup. The 2.28-mile course contains 17 turns with 24-degree banking. Kyle Larson is the defending champion and would explain his standing among the Bank of America ROVAL 400 odds.

Current Playoff Standings

There’s a new driver atop the NASCAR Cup standings after Chase Elliott took the checkered flag at Talladega in the previous race. His 3,103 points secured him the lead, for now. Ryan Blaney is right on his tail, however, as he trails Elliott by just two points.

Elliott and likely Blaney are safe, as the playoff field cuts down from 12 drivers to eight drivers after Sunday. That will end the championship hopes for four drivers, as the other eight move that much closer to securing a championship.

Ross Chastain is third in the standings with 3,097 points. Hamlin trails Chastain by seven in the fourth spot. Joey Logano rounds out the top five with 3,087 points. Larson is tied with Logano at 3,087 points.

Daniel Suarez has the seventh spot with 3,081 points and Chase Briscoe is eighth with 3,069 points. Austin Cindric is currently on the bubble in the ninth spot but is tied with Briscoe in points.

The other three drivers that will be fighting for their championship lives are William Byron in the 10th spot and trailing the cutoff by 11 points. Christopher Bell trails by 33 and Alex Bowman trails by 54.

Who are the favorites?

It should come to the surprise of nobody to see Chase Elliott atop the Bank of America ROVAL 400 odds at +350. His track record at Charlotte Roval is superb. In four career starts, he’s walked away the winner twice.

Elliott has been great on road courses for much of his career. Out of 17 races on road courses, he’s finished in the top five 12 times with six victories. He’s already guaranteed a spot in the next round, but a typical Elliott road course performance can set him up well for the next round.

The driver with the second-lowest Bank of America 400 odds is Tyler Reddick at +550. He secured the first Cup Series win of his career at Road America and later went on to win at Watkins Glen. Reddick also came in second at Charlotte Roval last year, so he’s a driver to keep an eye out for Sunday and on road courses going forward.

The driver with the second-lowest Bank of America 400 odds is Tyler Reddick at +550

Third on the odds board is Larson at +700. He’s performed well on road courses recently. He won at Watkins Glen back in August and finished third at Road America earlier this season. He finished with three road-course wins last season, including Charlotte Roval. We’ll see how Larson and Elliott work together, if at all, as Larson ran Elliott wide at Watkins Glen with Elliott leading.

Best of the Rest

A.J. Allmendinger enters with +1000 odds. His best finish at Charlotte Roval in the Cup Series was seventh. On the Xfinity Series level, he’s won all three races he’s started here.

He’s finished in the top 10 of every road course on the Cup Series level this season, including a second-place finish at Watkins Glen. His last win was at Indy Road Course in August of the 2021 season.

Byron, Cindric and Hamlin come in tied at +1200 odds. Byron has led 20 or more laps in each of his last three outings at Charlotte Roval, though his best finish is sixth. Hamlin had his best Charlotte Roval showing last year in a fifth-place finish. Cindric has yet to race here as a member of the Cup Series but has finished in the top 10 in five of his last six races on road courses.

Where’s the Value?

Road courses are almost the exact opposite of superspeedways. Not just in the style of racing, but how the odds are set up. With superspeedways, anything can happen and the odds account for it. With road courses, particular drivers get favored heavily.

Allmendinger at +1000 has plenty of value. He’s dominated the Charlotte Roval in the Xfinity Series and will have that many more laps of practice over the rest of the field since he will be driving both races. Even Allmendinger to finish in the top three at +260 or the top five at +125 has value.

Daniel Suarez also brings value at +1400. He’s finished in the top five in three of his last four road course races, including a win at Sonoma. Suarez will be fighting to maintain a spot in the top eight. He’s also +175 to finish in the top five.

Next on the NASCAR 2022 Schedule, the Cup Series heads to Las Vegas.

Want more articles like this? Check these out:

October 7, 2022

315 4 minutes read