NASCAR Cup Series: Hollywood Casino 400 Odds & Betting Analysis

Playoffs Continue in Kansas

The NASCAR Cup Series continues its playoffs with Kansas being this week’s stop. Who sits atop the Hollywood Casino 400 odds board? Read on to find out, as well as our analysis before you bet on NASCAR this weekend.


Track Info

Kansas Speedway is a 1.5-mile track built in 2001. Its capacity of 48,000 will be rocking for the second week of the playoffs. The track did host IndyCar races until 2011. The track is a bit similar to Pocono with its tri-oval shape. Drivers will race for 400.5 miles over 267 laps.

Who are the favorites?

Let’s take a look at our NASCAR Cup series betting tips. Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch each enter tied atop the Hollywood Casino 400 odds board at +650. Hamlin has enjoyed success at Kansas recently, as he finished fourth back in the spring. In the second race at Kansas in the 2021 season, Hamlin finished fifth. He won back-to-back races at Kansas in the fall of 2019 and spring of 2020. Hamlin has 11 all-time top-10 finishes, 10 top-five finishes, and three wins in 28 races.

Busch has had his stretch of success at Kansas as well. In 29 races, he’s placed in the top 10, 14 times, in the top 10, 10 times, and has two wins. His most recent win at Kansas came in the spring of 2021. In his last six races at Kansas, he’s placed outside of the top 10 only twice, inside the top five four times, and inside the top three times.

Kyle Larson comes in at +700 on the Hollywood Casino 400 odds board. He won this event last season and came in second in the spring race at Kansas. In his last nine Kansas starts, he’s placed outside the top 10 only three times, one of which was an engine failure. In that same stretch, he’s placed inside the top 10 six times and inside the top five four times.

Larson’s teammate Chase Elliott is +750 to take the checkered flag. Elliott won at Kansas back in the spring of 2018 and has come close to winning again on numerous occasions. He placed second in this race last season, as well as the fall race in 2019. In 13 races, Elliott has finished in the top 10 eight times and in the top five six times.

Best of the Rest

NASCAR betting odds change as the event approaches, let’s take a look at where they stand at the time of this writing. Martin Truex Jr. comes in at +800. While he hasn’t won at Kansas since sweeping back in 2017, he’s enjoyed consistent success. In his last 11 starts at Kansas, he’s placed outside of the top 10 only once. This race is shaping up to be favorable toward the Toyotas and this could be a race where Truex gets out in front and helps his Toyota teammates.

Despite never finishing better than seventh and having only two top-10 finishes in six starts, Tyler Reddick comes in at +1000. He qualified second back in the spring and even got out front for a handful of laps before finishing 30th. Reddick has the talent to get out front yet again and he’s been able to do so in each of his last two starts, but there may be better value on the board.

William Byron and Christopher Bell are +1200 to take the checkered flag on Sunday. Byron has finished in the top 10 in five of his last six Kansas starts and has been able to get into the lead in six of his nine Kansas starts, although he has just one top-five finish. If he can get there late and battle, it’s not out of the question for him to win.

Bell doesn’t have much experience at Kansas, only five starts, but he qualified first back in the spring before he finished fifth. Out of the five races, he’s finished in the top 10 three times. We mentioned earlier it might be the Toyotas’ day, so why not take a chance on the driver that’s been the most successful of all of the Toyotas this season?

Where’s the Value?

Kevin Harvick and Joey Logano each come in at +1400 on the Hollywood Casino 400 odds board. Harvick has enjoyed quite a bit of success at Kansas. In his last 13 races at Kansas, he’s placed in the top 10 in 10 races. More recently, He’s placed in the top five in all but once in his last five Kansas starts.

As for Logano, he’s tied with Harvick and Hamlin for most wins at Kansas by active drivers with three. His last win at Kansas came in the fall of 2020. He and Harvick didn’t fare that well back in the spring, neither of them breaking the top 10, but their track records for the price, make both of them solid candidates… even if it’s for a top-five or top-10 finish prop bet.

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