NASCAR Kansas 300 Betting Odds & Analysis: Xfinity Series

The NASCAR Xfinity Series heads to Kansas this week with the start of the Xfinity Series playoffs just two races away. The usual suspects, drivers like Ty Gibbs, Noah Gragson, etc. are safe and will make the playoffs. Unlike the Cup Series, the standings aren’t nearly as diverse and lack the drama the end of the regular season had. Read on for our analysis of the NASCAR Kansas 300 betting odds.

How they Rank

Ty Gibbs and Noah Gragson enter tied with 2,039 points in the playoff standings after Gragson’s win at Darlington last week. Gibbs currently holds the tiebreaker with more wins.

A.J. Allmendinger sits seven points behind Gragson and Gibbs in the playoff standings, despite still being in the lead for the driver standings. Justin Allgaier is two points behind Allmendinger and currently sits in fourth.

Rounding out the top five is Josh Berry eight points behind Allgaier.

Austin Hill sits sixth with a pair of wins to his name on the season with Brandon Jones in seventh. Sam Mayer is eighth with 12 top-10 finishes. Riley Herbst is ninth and has 15 top-10 finishes. Daniel Hemric, Ryan Sieg, and Landon Cassill round out the top 12. After that. there’s quite the drop-off. Cassill has 2,000 points with the next closest driver having less than 600.

Who are the Favorites?

Gibbs enters atop the NASCAR Kansas 300 betting odds board at +400. We said last week that the toughest part of evaluating Gibbs week to week is his inexperience, often only having one race at a track for his career. The same can be said for this race at Kansas, as Gibbs has only one Xfinity Series start there. To his credit, he did take the checkered flag after running in the top five nearly all day.

Gragson and Allgaier each enter at +450. There are plenty of tracks Gragson has performed well at, but this one might not be his cup of tea. In four Xfinity Series starts, he’s failed to finish the previous two races and has never finished higher than 13th in the races he has completed.

As is often the case, Allgaier has plenty of experience at Kansas with 12 races under his belt. Of the 12, he’s finished outside the top 10 just three times, one of which was an 11th-place finish. Allgaier is usually consistent, so it wouldn’t come to the surprise of many to see him finish in the top 10 once again.

Best of the Rest

Josh Berry is +600 on the NASCAR Kansas betting odds board while A.J. Allmendinger enters at +800. Allmendinger has two Xfinity Series starts at Kansas 14 years apart. He finished third at Kansas last season and even jumped out front to lead 10 laps early on. He’s also finished in the top three in each of his last three races, further proving he’s broken the mold of the road-course specialist.

Ross Chastain enters close behind Allmendinger on the NASCAR Kansas betting odds board at +850. Earlier this season, Chastain finished seventh in the Cup Series race at Kansas. His career-best finish was a fifth-place finish back in July of 2020. He’s placed in the top 10 in each of the last six stages in Xfinity Series races at Kansas and the top five in four of the six.

Austin Hill enters at +1200. He has just one Xfinity Series start at Kansas in which he placed fifth. It remains to be seen whether he will have another consistent run or if that fifth-place finish last season had some luck to it.

Where’s the Value?

If you followed this section last week, you probably made it out pretty well. Gragson took the checkered flag, cashing his outright bet as well as top-three and top-five bets. Allmendinger cashed both his top-three and top-five bets as well.

When looking to bet on NASCAR race, it’s all about value. The odds you get with the the driver is just as important as the driver you take.

One of the drivers perhaps offering the most value is Brandon Jones at +1400. In seven Xfinity Series starts, he’s finished in the top 10 in four. He narrowly missed out on the top 10 with two 11th-place finishes as well. Jones also won back-to-back races at Kansas in October 2019 and July 2020.

Ryan Sieg’s outright odds of +10000 might not instill confidence in bettors from the surface, but still provides some of the best value on the board. The number we’re looking at here is his NASCAR Xfinity odds to finish in the top five at +700. Sieg has done exactly that in each of his last three races at Kansas and has finished in the top 10 in each of his last five starts at Kansas.