Sun Put Perfect Record on the Line Against Mercury
Mercury vs Sun Odds Favor Connecticut

The Connecticut Sun will put their undefeated record to the test when they host the Phoenix Mercury on Tuesday (7 p.m. ET) at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Connecticut is an 8-point favorite and -340 on the moneyline, with Phoenix +270 to win outright. Meanwhile, the projected total is 165.5.
Who has the edge? Read on as we break down both teams and analyze the Mercury vs Sun odds in our WNBA game preview.
Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun
Day/Time:
Location: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, Conn.
Streaming: CBSSN
Mercury vs Sun Betting Trends
The Phoenix Mercury are 4-2 against the spread over their last six games dating to last season. Meanwhile, the Connecticut Sun are just 1-4 ATS.
That’s important to remember when assessing the Mercury vs Sun odds.
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Copper Doing Heavy Lifting
The Mercury continue to get brilliant play from Kahleah Copper and steady production from Natasha Cloud. Copper, acquired in an offseason trade with Chicago, is averaging a league-high 29.2 points per game. The three-time All-Star had 32 points in Saturday’s 107-92 loss to Dallas, her third 30-point game this season.
Cloud, meanwhile, leads the WNBA in assist rate (8.8 per game).
Their performances have helped Phoenix overcome Brittney Griner’s absence. Griner, a nine-time All-Star and two-time WNBA scoring champion, has been sidelined since breaking her toe in training camp. She averaged 17.5 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.6 blocks last year, her first action after missing all of 2022 while imprisoned in Russia.
While health remains a concern with Phoenix’s veteran-laden roster — Diana Taurasi is the league’s oldest player at 41 — the Mercury certainly can benefit from a strong start. Projected for 18.5 wins, the Mercury (3-2) have seen their WNBA championship odds climb from +4000 to +3500 in the last few weeks. Those are the sixth-shortest odds on the board.
Phoenix has been steady offensively, averaging 88.2 points (third in WNBA) on 42.3% shooting. The Mercury lead the league in made 3-pointers (12.2 per game) and rank second in efficiency at 38.1%.
They’ve failed to cover in back-to-back games on the WNBA schedule — including as 5-point favorites to Dallas on Saturday — but are 4-2 ATS. Be sure to keep that in mind when analyzing the Mercury vs Sun odds.
Top of the Heap
So far, so good for Connecticut, the WNBA’s lone remaining unbeaten at 5-0. The Sun have shown an impressive ability to close out games, with their last three wins coming by a combined nine points per WNBA scores.
Their success is no surprise. The Sun kept their core intact this offseason, bringing back Alyssa Thomas, DeWanna Bonner and Brionna Jones. They also made some important moves around the margins, improving their depth with the additions of Moriah Jefferson and Tiffany Mitchell.
On the heels of a WNBA Finals appearance in 2022, the Sun won 27 games and reached the semifinals, losing in four games to New York. Still seeking their first championship, the Sun have the third-best title odds at +1200. Only the two-time defending champion Aces (+100) and Liberty (+180) are bigger favorites.
Much of Connecticut’s hopes will depend on Alyssa Thomas. Nicknamed “The Engine” for her relentless style of play, Thomas is one of the league’s most indispensable players. A four-time All-Star, Thomas is averaging 15.4 points, 9.6 rebounds, 7.8 assists and 1.8 steals. She is +800 to win her first MVP, trailing only Las Vegas’ A’ja Wilson (-105).
Like Phoenix, health is a significant factor. Thomas (32), Bonner (36) are both over 30, while the 28-year-old Jones is coming off a torn Achilles. Jones is averaging 11.6 points and 5.2 rebounds in 22.6 minutes per game.
Handicapping the Game
Despite its undefeated record, Connecticut has been a liability in the betting market. The Sun are 1-4 ATS, having failed to cover in four straight games. They’ve been far more profitable for Over/Under bettors, going Over the total in seven of their last eight games dating to last season.
Both teams are largely healthy, except for Griner. The Mercury are also without forward Rebecca Allen (concussion), who is averaging 5.8 points and 3.6 rebounds.
Phoenix has a negative point differential (-1.6) despite its winning record, so regression may be in store.
For WNBA scores and odds, betting analysis and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.