Sun Resume WNBA Title Chase Against Lowly Wings

The Sun vs Wings WNBA Odds Favor Connecticut

The Connecticut Sun returns from the Summer Olympic break to visit the Dallas Wings. The Sun vs Wings WNBA odds have Connecticut as a 5.5-point favorite and –225 on the moneyline, with Dallas +5.5 and +185. The projected total is at 159.5, which is down from the opener of 161.

Connecticut Sun LogoSun vs  WingsDallas Wings logo

🏀Records: Connecticut Sun (18-6), Dallas Wings (6-19) 
⏰Day/Time
: 📍Location: College Park Center; Arlington, TX
📺Streaming: ION

Sun vs Wings Betting Trends

The Sun are 10-14 against the spread (ATS), including 5-6 ATS on the road. As for the Over/Under, Connecticut is 12-12. The Wings, meanwhile, are just 8-17 ATS, including 3-8 ATS at home. Dallas has fared far better for Over/Under bettors, going 17-8.

Remember these betting trends when assessing the Sun vs Wings WNBA odds.

Basking in the Sun

Connecticut’s chase for an elusive WNBA title continues, with the Sun carrying the second-best record in the league at 18-6. They won four of their last six games before the Olympic break, with both losses coming to New York.

  • Oddsmakers are understandably bullish, as Connecticut’s championship odds have climbed from +1000 to +800. Only two-time defending champion Las Vegas (+160) and New York (+170) begin the second half as bigger favorites.

Connecticut has played in the semifinals for five straight seasons, advancing to the Finals in 2019 and 2022. Despite that the franchise, which relocated from Orlando in 2003, continues to search for its first WNBA championship. It won’t be easy to end that drought, but the Sun seem to have the necessary pieces to make another deep postseason run.

The Sun lead the league in scoring defense (72.9 PPG allowed) and are second in scoring margin (+6.9). Only the Liberty (+9) have won by more on a night-in, night-out basis.

Connecticut is talented, experienced, and deep, with five players averaging double figures in scoring, and its eight road wins are tied for second-most in the WNBA. Forward Alyssa Thomas (11.4 PPG, 9.2 RPG, 7.6 APG) has been in the mix for the WNBA MVP award, though Las Vegas’ A’ja Wilson is now the prohibitive favorite at -3000.

Despite its success, Connecticut has failed to cover three of its last four and is just 10-14 ATS, including 5-6 on the road. Bettors should remember this when analyzing the Sun vs Wings WNBA odds.

Struggles Abound for Last-Place Wings

What could go wrong, has gone wrong for Dallas. The Wings have lost six of their last eight and share the WNBA’s worst record at 6-19. They are still only 4.5 games out of the final playoff spot, though three other teams sit between them and eighth-place Chicago (10-14).

  • Injuries have been a big factor in Dallas’ underwhelming start. Forwards Satou Sabally (shoulder) and Maddie Siegrist (broken finger) have both missed significant time but are expected to return following the break. Second-leading scorers Odyssey Sims and Monique Billings were released to make room for both players on the active roster.

A two-time All-Star, Sabally missed all 25 games before the break after hurting her shoulder in February during Olympic qualifying. The fourth-year forward averaged 18.6 points, 8.1 rebounds, and 1.8 steals last season, winning the league’s Most Improved Player award. She should figure prominently into your plans for WNBA prop bets.

Siegrist, meanwhile, missed the last 12 games because of a broken left index finger that required surgery. She was averaging 14.6 points and 4.2 boards, both significantly more than her rookie season in 2023.

The Wings rank last in scoring defense (89.7 PPG allowed) and have been outscored by a league-high 7.8 points per game. They’ve also been a major liability for bettors, going just 8-17 ATS.

Sun vs Wings Handicapping

Sabally seems likelier to return before Siegrist, who has been cleared to practice but isn’t expected to rejoin the lineup until Tuesday in New York. Regardless, it’s a big lift for the Wings, who are just 3-16 since a 3-2 start.

Sabally’s presence should create more opportunities for guard Arike Ogunbowale, the WNBA’s third-leading scorer (22.3 PPG). Forward Natasha Howard should also benefit.

Connecticut has already beaten Dallas twice, 74-72 on May 31 and 85-67 on June 15. The Sun went 1-1 ATS in those games, though its cover rate is only 41.6%. The Wings, however, have been even worse.

For WNBA picks and parlays, betting odds, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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