The Aces Are Trending In The Right Direction

Aces vs Dream Predictions: Atlanta's Offense Won't Keep Up

The Las Vegas Aces are creeping back up the Western Conference standings. They’ve gone 8-2 in their last ten games and are currently on a two-game winning streak heading into their road tilt against the Atlanta Dream.

While the Aces are red-hot, the Dream aren’t. Atlanta has fallen to 7-14 on the season and has lost four consecutive games. The defense hasn’t allowed more than 85 points in any of those four games. However, the offense has been held to 77 points or lower in three of those last four games.

The Dream escaped the Aces earlier in the season with a home victory, 78-74. But that was back in late May. A lot has changed since then. That’s why the Aces are currently -13 against the spread (ATS), with the total hovering at 166.5.

Can the Dream pull off another elite upset, or can the Aces notch their first win against the Dream this season?

Read about our Aces vs Dream predictions to begin your weekend right.

Aces vs Dream

📊Records: Las Vegas Aces (14-7), Atlanta Dream (7-14)
📍Location: Gateway Center, College Park, GA
⏰Day/Time: Friday, July 12, 7:30 p.m. ET
📺Streaming: ION

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Aces vs Dream Predictions & Trends

The Las Vegas Aces are 10-11 ATS. However, they’ve gone 7-3 in their last ten games. Meanwhile, the Dream are 9-12 ATS and have gone 4-6 in the previous ten games.

The Aces are headed in the right direction, while the Dream are going in the opposite direction.

That said, both teams have hit the Over and Under five times each over the last ten games.

The Dream already defeated the Aces as eight-point underdogs at home on May 31. The total for that game closed at 172.5 and went Under after the scoring ended 78-74.

What Happened to Dyaisha Fair?

Dyaisha Fair was selected as the No. 16 overall selection by the Las Vegas Aces in the 2024 WNBA Draft. The former Syracuse guard finished as the NCAA’s third all-time leading scorer but was cut by the Aces early into the season.

Fair announced on Monday that she’ll take her talent to Maccabi Haifa, an Israeli Female Basketball Premier League team.

The Las Vegas Aces standings are where they are because they’re not afraid to make moves like this.

There’s Still Support For The Atlanta Dream

The Atlanta Dream sold out its season ticket allocation, becoming the second WNBA team in 28 years to do so.

Expectations were probably a little higher earlier in the season. But we’re sure fans are still excited to watch the Dream and all the other teams in the WNBA. The talent is greater than ever, and fans recognize it, especially in Atlanta.

Read on for our WNBA predictions for this game.

How Will The Dream Keep Up?

The Atlanta Dream have the worst offense in the WNBA. They score 75.5 points per game and add just 93.2 points per 100 possessions.

In addition to those weak stats, the Dream have also shot a field goal percentage of just 41.1% and have an effective field goal percentage of only 45.4%.

All of those stats are at least 11 of 12 teams in the WNBA. Atlanta’s WNBA scores are very underwhelming, but we can keep going.

The Dream have added just .85 points per play and have shot only 44.5% from inside the arc. Imagine getting easy buckets around the rim and still shooting just 44.5% from the field. That’s incredibly bad.

Especially when you compare these numbers to those of Las Vegas.

The Aces have added 89.1 points per game, which leads the WNBA. The Aces have also added 106.4 points per 100 possessions and have earned 83.6 possessions per 40 minutes.

In addition, the Aces have shot the second-highest field goal percentage and have drained 52.2% from inside the arc and nearly 35% from deep.

Beyond that, Las Vegas has scored a league-best .99 points per play and has scored 1.14 points per scoring attempt. The Aces are also second in effective field goal percentage.

So, how does Atlanta keep up with Las Vegas?

The Dream likely don’t.

Opponents are shooting over 35% from downtown against Atlanta. Teams have also shot 52.1% from inside the arc against the Dream. While Atlanta is in the middle of the rankings in free throws allowed, the Aces typically get their way when it comes to calling fouls.

Las Vegas has a 17.5% free-throw rate and has scored 19% of its points from the foul line this season.

We should also mention the Aces are No. 1 on the defensive glass and lead the league in assists-to-turnovers. Meanwhile, the Dream are 10th in assist-to-turnovers. You can also expect more turnovers from the Dream in this game.

Our Aces vs Dream predictions have Las Vegas to cover the spread at -13.

For WNBA scores today, betting analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine


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