Win or Go Home! Nuggets, Wolves Battle for the WCF

What Do Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game 7 Odds and Trends Say?

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game 7 is here and NBA betting fans should get ready for a show. The series is tied up 3-3 and is heading back to Denver to throw down in what should be an epic win-or-go-home game.

In the Game 7’s of NBA history, the home team is 37-13 straight-up, 30-20 against the spread (ATS), and 21-29 on the over-under. In the second round, the home team is 12-3 straight-up, 10-5 ATS, and 6-9 in over/under.

The odds for Game 7 opened at Denver -5 total set at 199.5. The betting history of the first six games went as follows. Games 1 and 2: Minnesota won straight up, covered, and the games went under. Games 3 and 4: Denver won straight up, covered, and the games went over. Game 5: Denver won, covered, and the game went over. Game 6: Timberwolves won, covered, and the game went under.

The underdog has won and covered in four of the six games. If that trend continues, taking the Timberwolves at +170 to win straight up may be the mood. Those believing in Denver would rather take the -205 moneyline for them.

We are going to take a look at the past NBA scores and the series so far and see what it could tell us about Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game 7.

Timberwolves logo Timberwolves vs Nuggets Nuggets logo

Records: Minnesota Timberwolves (62-29) @ Denver Nuggets (64-29)
Location: Pepsi Center, Denver, CO
Stream: TBD

Series So Far

In Game 1, the Minnesota Timberwolves stole home court from the defending champs with a 106-99 win in Denver. Anthony Edwards exploded for a playoff career-high of 43 points, leading the way for Minnesota. Nikola Jokic, the reigning MVP, had a solid night with 30 points, eight rebounds, and nine assists, but the supporting cast struggled.

Game 2 of the series was the Timberwolves game. Minnesota’s defense destroyed the Denver Nuggets 106-80. This dominant victory solidified their lead in the series and sent shockwaves through the NBA world. People started to write off the Nuggets after Game 2’s NBA results.

The tide turned dramatically in Game 3 as the Denver Nuggets bounced back with a convincing 117-90 victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves in Minnesota. Nikola Jokic put on a near triple-double performance, and after greatly struggling in Games 1 and 2, Jamal Murray came back scoring 24 points and adding five assists.

Game 4 was a back-and-forth nail-biter, with Denver ultimately emerging victorious 115-107. Nikola Jokic remained a force for Denver, recording 35 points, seven rebounds, and seven assists. He was a consistent scoring threat and orchestrated the Nuggets’ offense beautifully. Aaron Gordon had a breakout performance for Denver, scoring a highly efficient 27 points on 11-of-12 shooting. Anthony Edwards continued his incredible playoff run, resetting the Timberwolves and his playoff-scoring highs with a 44-point performance.

In Game 5 the Nuggets won their third straight in a 112-97 victory in Denver. The Nuggets’ defense made key adjustments, focusing on limiting Anthony Edwards‘ drives and contesting Minnesota’s three-point attempts, and it paid off holding the Wolves to under 100 points. The Nuggets’ defense made key adjustments, focusing on limiting Anthony Edwards’ drives and contesting Minnesota’s three-point attempts.

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Minnesota Dominates Game 6

Anthony Edwards’ 27 points spearheaded a dominant 115-70 victory for the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 6, forcing a thrilling Game 7. Jaden McDaniels chipped in 21 points and excelled on defense, while Mike Conley’s return from injury boosted the Wolves offense.

Nikola Jokic was held to a relatively quiet 22 points as Minnesota’s big men dominated the paint. The Wolves clamped down defensively, limiting Jamal Murray to just 10 points and Denver’s bench to a mere nine points.

A 24-0 run in the fourth quarter by the Wolves’ reserves sealed the deal, but the Nuggets were fighting from behind after Minnesota’s 25-5 first-quarter run. Edwards, whose previous 44-point performance wasn’t enough in Game 4, led the charge on both offensive and defensive ends.

Minnesota’s defense, which had struggled in the previous games, returned to form, holding Denver to just 14 points in the first quarter and then an unfathomable nine points in the fourth quarter.

With the series tied at 3-3, the fate of the Western Conference finals berth will be decided in a high-stakes Game 7 in Denver on Sunday.

Championship Pedigree

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game 7 odds opened at Denver -5 total set at 198. The Nuggets are 3-3 against the spread this series and over/under has gone 3-3.

The current NBA championship odds for these teams aren’t out yet but before Game 6 they were Denver +350 and Minnesota +850. Although the Nuggets will still have shorter NBA odds of reaching the top, we expect these numbers to get closer together once the updated odds come out.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Odds

For NBA picks, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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