WNBA Betting Preview: Wings vs Sun Series Odds

The Dallas Wings will travel to the East coast to meet the Connecticut Sun in the first round of the WNBA playoffs on Thursday. Connecticut finished the regular season with a  25-11 record, earning the No. 3 seed while Dallas finished 18-18 to earn the No. 6 seed. Despite the Sun being the higher seed, the Wings won the season series between the two teams two games to one. However, the Wings vs Sun series odds tell us that Connecticut is the heavy favorite because they are a 10.5-point favorite over Dallas entering Thursday’s game at Mohegan Sun Arena. The total for this game is set at 163.5.

Game Information

• Game: Dallas Wings (18-18) at Connecticut Sun (25-11)
• Location: Mohegan Sun Arena
• Day/Time: Thursday, 8:00 p.m. ET

In their first meeting of the season, the Wings won 85-77 despite being an 8-point underdog. Dallas shot slightly better than Connecticut in that game, but other than that, both teams were fairly equal in almost all statistical categories.

The two teams met again the very next game and the Sun clobbered the Wings 99-68 and covered as -8.5-point favorites. Connecticut shot better in that game, won the rebounding battle 42-28, and forced Dallas into 19 turnovers. The third and final meeting of the regular season once again went to Dallas 82-71 with the Sun failing to cover as only -4.5-point underdogs this time.

The Wing vs Sun series odds in Thursday’s matchup is a spread of -10.5 in favor of Connecticut, but we think it’s too big based on how the Wings have performed against them this season. The Wings have proven that if they can shoot well from the field and stay in the rebounding battle, they have as good a chance as anyone at beating the No. 3 seed in the WNBA playoffs standings.

Both teams come into the first-round matchup after a strong finish to the regular season. The Sun have won five of their last six games and are currently on a three-game win streak. Meanwhile, the Wings have won six of their last eight, including wins over top teams like the Chicago Sky and Las Vegas Aces leading into the playoff schedule WNBA.

Dallas also earned those wins without their best player Arike Ogunbowale. She has been sidelined with an ab injury for the last few weeks but is expected to return for this game. She averaged 17.3 points per game during the regular season, so the Wings will definitely need her offensive production.

Teaira McCowan is another Wings player that they will have to heavily rely on. She has upped her scoring over the month of August, averaging 17.4 points and 11.5 rebounds per game. With the Sun leading the league in net rating and rebounding percentage over their last five games, McCowan’s presence on the boards is going to be critical.

Overall, in the Wings vs Sun series odds, the Sun is the favorite to win and advance and we agree with that outcome. Yet, our play in Thursday’s matchup is for the Wings to cover +10.5.