Texas Tech vs Duke Game Preview Betting Analysis

Texas Tech vs Duke betting will be one of the headlining events on March Madness’ Sweet 16 betting sheets. 

The third-seed Red Raiders got past #14 Montana State and #11 Notre Dame in the opening weekend of tournament play, while the #2 Blue Devils cruised past #15 CSU Fullerton and fought off #7 Michigan State to reach the third round of bracket play.

This game will be one of the most popular betting picks and is set to tip-off at 9:39 p.m. ET on Thursday; here is everything you need to know about the matchup.

Texas Tech vs Duke

Texas Tech is known as one of the best defensive teams in the nation and is led by senior forward Bryson Williams, who is averaging 17 points in the tournament thus far. The Red Raiders’ offense was in full effect in the opening round before going completely absent against Notre Dame, leaving them to pull out a nerve-wracking 59-52 victory against the Fighting Irish. TTU is also dominant on the glass, posting the 15th-best rebounding percentage in America, and can usually limit opponents to one attempt per possession. 

Duke, on the other hand, is much more individual-based and often relies on solo plays from any one of its stars. Paolo Banchero is the obvious standout, but Jeremy Roach has often been the go-to guy in the clutch during the past month; Mark Williams has also been spectacular on defense, especially in dire situations, and has recorded five blocks in each of the Duke’s two tournament games. The major source of concern for the Blue Devils is the health status of forward AJ Griffin (10.3 points, 45.5% 3PT) after the young forward rolled his ankle against Michigan State.

This game will pit the team-oriented nature of Texas Tech against the individual brilliance of Duke’s players. Duke has notably been unsuccessful in stopping most of its opponents on the defensive end, excluding the blowout victory over CSU Fullerton, dating back to the Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament, so Texas Tech will need to prioritize getting its offense going instead of falling back on its defensive genius.

The winner in Texas Tech vs. Duke betting is going to be, simply, whoever executes their game plan better, even though these plans will look entirely different.

The Betting Numbers

Duke is 18-16-2 against the spread and 1-0 ATS as an underdog, which most point spreads point to them being this Thursday. Meanwhile, Texas Tech is 22-14 ATS and 26-12 ATS as the favorite, which is extremely impressive for a school that recently was more looked to for its NCAAF odds.

Duke is 3-4 ATS at neutral locations and split, covering 1-1 in the tournament; Texas Tech is 33-5 ATS at neutral sites and has also gone 1-1 ATS on this year’s March Madness odds.

The Texas Tech vs. Duke betting numbers look fairly similar, but the smart money is on the Red Raiders to win and cover the small one-point spread and earn a spot in the Elite Eight.

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