NCAA Men’s Final Four: Top UConn vs Alabama Team Props
UConn vs Alabama Props: Huskies 10-0 ATS in Tourney Since 2022
The UConn Huskies have lived up to their billing as the NCAA Tournament’s top overall seed, hammering one opponent after another into oblivion as they continue their chase for back-to-back national championships.
The Huskies’ next opponent is the fourth-seeded Alabama Crimson Tide, against whom they are 11.5-point favorites and -750 on the moneyline.
While preparing for Saturday’s Final Four at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz., here are a few of our favorite UConn vs Alabama props to help you make your NCAAB predictions.
UConn Over 86.5 Points (-115)
UConn may average only 81.5 points, but it sure knows how to make the most of its chances. Nobody — that’s right, nobody — in college basketball is more efficient than the Huskies, who shoot almost 50% from the field.
The 7-foot-2 Donovan Clingan tends to see his share of high-percentage looks, which not only helps the offense but also draws more defensive attention to make things easier on the perimeter for 3-point shooters like Cam Spencer and Tristen Newton.
The Huskies should have no issues getting to the rim against Alabama, which ranks 104th in the country on Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive efficiency metric. The Crimson Tide have already allowed at least 90 points nine times and 100 points thrice.
Given Alabama’s breakneck pace, the Huskies—who average 126.7 points per 100 possessions—will have plenty of opportunities to capitalize on this UConn vs. Alabama prop.
UConn to Win by 17-20 Points (+700)
Nobody covers in March these days quite like the Huskies. An 11.5-point favorite, UConn has covered in 10 straight NCAA Tournament games dating to a 2022 first-round loss to New Mexico State. Its average margin of victories in those games is 23.1 points, meaning bettors haven’t exactly had to sweat.
The Huskies have been especially dominant in this tournament, hammering opponents by an average of almost 28 points. That includes Big Ten Tournament champion and No. 3 seed Illinois, one of the most proficient offensive teams in the NCAAB standings.
If Alabama falls behind early, it’s not good enough on defense to keep things from getting out of hand.
Over 160.5 Combined Points (-112)
When it comes to the Over/Under, Alabama has been quite favorable to bettors. The Crimson Tide have hit the Over 27 times in 36 NCAAB games or at a rate of 75%, matching the second highest percentage in Division I. That includes three times in this tournament.
The combined total of 160.5 is the lowest for any Alabama game since Feb. 17 against Texas A&M. The Crimson Tide blew past that number in a 100-75 win. When the total closes at or below this UConn vs Alabama prop, the Crimson Tide are 10-3 against the Over/Under.
UConn showcased its defensive potential against Illinois, holding the Fighting Illini scoreless for the first 7:19 of the second half during a remarkable 30-0 run. Illinois finished with an NCAAB season-low 52 points on 25% shooting.
On the same token, UConn is capable of dialing things up on the other end to help turn this into a high-scoring affair.
UConn -6.5 First Half (-110)
UConn has led at halftime in all four tournament games, carrying leads of 33, 22, nine, and five points. There is a strong chance that streak continues, given the Crimson Tide’s struggles on the defensive end.
The Crimson Tide raised the bar defensively in their Sweet 16 upset of No. 1 seed North Carolina, but the Huskies are on another level. Look for them to start fast as they continue their chase for another NCAA title.
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