Can Stanford Keep Oregon Away From An NCAA Tournament Appearance?
We've Added Some Interesting Nuggets In Our Oregon vs Stanford Betting Preview
The Stanford Cardinal are just looking to finish above .500 this season. At 12-13, they’re in danger of not even completing that task.
The Cardinal will face an Oregon team that is 17-8 on the season. The Ducks have won three of their last five games and are now 9-5 in conference play. Stanford is just 7-8 in the Pac-12 basketball standings.
Oddly enough, Stanford had a major win against Arizona at home earlier this season. However, the Cardinal have struggled on the road in their last two games, losing both games by double-digits to Washington and Washington State.
Although Oregon is on the road, the Ducks are still favored against Stanford, sitting at a pick-em with both sides at -110. The total is at 152.5, despite Stanford scoring no more than 65 points in its last two games.
Here’s our Oregon vs Stanford betting preview for this late-night Pac-12 game on ESPN2.
Oregon Ducks vs Stanford Cardinal 
Day/Time:
Location: Maples Pavilion, Stanford, CA
Streaming: ESPN2
Oregon vs Stanford Betting Preview & Trends
The Ducks have outperformed Stanford this season, winning five more games than the Cardinal.
However, both teams are 13-12 against the spread. Oregon and Stanford have each added at least 14 Overs and have hit the Over in more games than the Under this season.
Stanford is weak on the road, but they’ve gone 9-4 at home. The Cardinal will be home against an Oregon squad that is only 5-3 on the road this season.
In the last five meetings between Oregon and Stanford, the Cardinal have covered all five games despite being underdogs in all of them.
Stanford only won two games outright of the five but did what good teams do. They won against the spread and covered.
Is Oregon An NCAA Tournament Team?
The Oregon Ducks are currently in the bubble when it comes to the NCAA Tournament. The Ducks are 17-8 but have teams like Cincinnati and Gonzaga ahead of them in the latest ESPN and CBS Sports projections.
As of now, ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has Oregon as the 10th team on the NCAA Tournament bubble.
Oregon will need a win at Stanford. That should help its NET rating. Meanwhile, the Ducks will eventually play Colorado and Utah, who are both ahead of Oregon per the rankings. Wins against those teams would help, too.
If Oregon wins out the rest of the season, they’ll make the NCAA Tournament. But even a slight slip could alter their chances drastically.
Stanford Struggling To Make An Impact On Offense
The Stanford Cardinal have added only 23.2% of offensive rebounds and rarely get to the foul line, holding an FTA/FGA of 27.
Both of those numbers are in the bottom 30 in college basketball. While the Cardinal shoot the ball well, on off nights, the team has no chance. The Cardinal aren’t aggressive and also turn the ball over much more than they turn other NCAAB teams over.
It’s just not a recipe for success for Stanford. That’s ultimately why the Cardinal are below .500 this season, despite having a team full of premium scorers.
Can Stanford At Least Cover?
The Stanford Cardinal doesn’t have great offensive rebounding skills and ultimately doesn’t get to the line much.
The Cardinal also turn the ball over 18.3% of the time, which is also a below-average number in college basketball.
However, Stanford has nailed 38.8% from deep and has hit 53.2% from inside the arc. Although the Cardinal don’t see the foul line often, they’ve still nailed 75.7% from the foul line this season.
Meanwhile, Oregon has allowed a 50.9% effective field goal percentage, giving up 34.2% from three and 50.7% from inside the arc. Oregon will limit second chances. But Stanford should still make plenty of three-pointers against Oregon, especially at home. The Ducks also typically foul more than Stanford on the defensive end.
On the other hand, Oregon doesn’t shoot the ball as well as Stanford. They’re better at earning second chances, with 29.4% of offensive rebounds. The Ducks also normally get to the foul line more consistently.
However, Stanford has limited teams to 26.1% of offensive rebounds and haven’t put teams at the foul line at a high rate this year.
Oregon, like Stanford, will get some wide-open looks from three-point land. The Cardinal also aren’t terrific at defending inside the arc. However, at home, Stanford should be able to stick around in this game with their effective shooting percentages.
Don’t just look at the Stanford record. The Cardinal are a dangerous group that can shoot lights out at any moment.
That’s why we’ll ride our NCAAB predictions with Stanford at -110 to conclude this Oregon vs Stanford betting preview.
Stanford will cover against the spread in their sixth straight meeting against Oregon. The Cardinal could also ruin any hope for Oregon to make the NCAA Tournament. You’re not going to want to miss this matchup!
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