March Madness Final Four: Alabama vs UConn Score

Alabama vs UConn Expert Pick: Huskies Up to -12 Favorites

Alabama vs UConn Final Score


Alabama vs UConn Preview

As the men’s Final Four convenes Saturday in Glendale, Ariz., No. 1 seed UConn has separated itself as a prohibitive favorite.

On the heels of a blowout victory over Illinois in the Elite Eight, the Huskies are -195 to win back-to-back NCAA titles. Those are the second shortest odds for any college basketball team at this stage in the last quarter-century since 2021 Gonzaga.

Uncover Exclusive Picks & Predictions From Our Experts.

UConn opened as 11.5-point favorites and have climbed to -12 over Alabama at -105 odds. The Huskies are also -750 on the moneyline, with the Crimson Tide priced +525 to win outright. Meanwhile, the projected total is 160, with a slight edge to the Over at -112.

How should bettors proceed? Read on as we break down both teams and assess the NCAAB odds while making our Alabama vs UConn expert pick.

NCAA Final Four

Crimson Tide logo Alabama vs UConn Huskies logo

Day/Time:
Location: State Farm Stadium; Glendale, Ariz.
Streaming: TBS

Alabama vs UConn Betting Trends

The Alabama Crimson Tide have been one of the most profitable teams for bettors, evidenced by 21-15 mark against the spread and 27-9 against the Over/Under. The Crimson Tide have hit the Over at a rate of 75%, second highest in Division I.

The UConn Huskies have been plenty reliable as well, covering in all four NCAA Tournament games to run their record ATS to 26-12. As for the Over/Under, the Huskies are just 16-21-1.

It is important to remember these betting trends when assessing our Alabama vs UConn expert pick.

Tide Rolling Along

It’s easy to see why Alabama is in this spot. The Crimson Tide (25-11) are supremely skilled on the perimeter, an elite offensive team capable of blitzing opponents at a moment’s notice. They rank third in Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted offensive efficiency metric, scoring 125.9 points per 100 possessions.

The Crimson Tide play with a distinct style, speeding up and down the floor at one of the fastest rates in the country. With sure handed guards like Aaron Estrada and Mark Sears, the Most Outstanding Player of the West Regional, the Crimson Tide can afford to operate at that manner without being reckless.

Alabama’s biggest flaw is on the defensive end. It’s 104th in the NCAAB rankings in adjusted defensive efficiency, allowing opponents to shoot at a 43.6% rate. The Crimson Tide have already given up 90 points nine times and 100 points or more thrice.

Despite that, Alabama managed to hit 25 wins for the second straight season and third time in five years under Nate Oats. Arguably none was more impressive than the Sweet 16 victory over No. 1 seed North Carolina.

Head of the Class

Nobody wins these days like UConn. The Huskies (35-3) are a force, beating one opponent after another into submission. The top overall seed, UConn has covered the spread in 10 straight NCAA Tournament games since a first-round loss to New Mexico State.

Its average margin of victory in those NCAAB games is a whopping 23.1 points. Be sure to keep that in mind when analyzing our Alabama vs UConn expert pick.

The Huskies are the first defending champions to return to the Final Four since Florida in 2007. They are also bidding to be the first team since those Gators to defend their national title.

Dan Hurley’s team operates with elite precision. Averaging 81.5 points, the Huskies are first in adjusted offensive efficiency and fourth in adjusted defensive efficiency.

Of course, having a roster loaded with NBA talent helps, including 7-foot-2 sophomore Donovan Clingan. Clingan was named the East Regional’s Most Outstanding Player after recording 22 points, 10 rebounds, five blocks and three steals in an Elite Eight win over No. 3 seed Illinois.

As a double-digit favorite, UConn is in familiar territory. The Huskies are 14-7 ATS and 21-0 OU in this position this college basketball season. Altogether, the Huskies have been favored all but once: a 69-65 loss to then-No. 5 Kansas on Dec. 1.

For NCAAB scores and odds, betting analysis and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


Can’t get enough? Here’s more!

Back to top button

pointspreads

WHO WILL WIN?

Submit your vote and view the results
Hey Again

vote all you can

pointspreads

PS-email

PS-email

Robot_subscription sombras
Subscribe to get
get_expert_img
Thank you for subscribing subscribed_icon