2024 Cheat Sheet: UCF Knights Stats

Knights Need Transfers to Live Up to Expectations

The UCF Knights are about to enter their second season in the Big 12 Conference. Last season was a bit of a learning curve, but the Knights did manage to get to a bowl game with a 6-6 record. The Knights had a win total of seven, so they were just below what was expected.

It wasn’t a bad debut in one of the Power Five conferences, but there’s room for improvement. The 2024 UCF Knights stats should be a little better than they were a year ago.

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At A Glance

Odds to WinOpening OddsCurrent Odds
Championship+25000+25000
Conference+1200+800
Regular Season Win Total7.5 (o-105, u-115)7.5 (o-115, u-115)
To Make PlayoffsYes +1000Yes +1000

Quarterback Play Will be Key

UCF has a good chance to eclipse last year’s six victories, but the players coming in through the transfer portal must live up to their billing.

The biggest transfer is quarterback KJ Jefferson, who started for Arkansas. Jefferson is a solid two-way threat and is a huge boost to the offense. Leading rusher RJ Harvey is back after running for 1,416 yards and 16 touchdowns. The rushing attack was No. 4 in the nation last year. The Knights were 0-5 in NCAAF games when not gaining 220 yards on the ground.

When the defense played well, the Knights won. When it didn’t play well, the Knights lost. UCF was 0-6 when allowing 27 or more points. The 2024 UCF Knights stats must improve against the run this season for the team to challenge for the conference title.

UCF was busy in the transfer portal, bringing in a slew of linebackers and defensive backs. Deshawn Pace, coming in from Cincinnati, is a big-time player, who can play linebacker or safety. He is usually around the football.

Championship Odds: No Chance This Season

The Knights are a small conference powerhouse, but things are tougher in the Big 12 Conference. UCF opened +12500 to win the NCAA championship a year ago and are at higher odds this season. It doesn’t mean the Knights are worse, just that they’ll have a tough time with the elite teams in college football.

This UCF team can surprise but not to the extent of winning the title.

Conference Odds: Would be a Minor Surprise

The Knights aren’t without a chance to win the Big 12 Conference this season. It has to be considered unlikely, but completely out of the question. Utah and Kansas State are the two favorites, but you don’t want to sleep on this UCF team. The Knights have a favorable schedule and host Utah. UCF would have to come up with wins over the likes of TCU, Arizona, and Iowa State, but it’s possible.

The Knights were +4000 to win the Big 12 at the start of last season. Many NCAAF picks and predictions will have UCF expected to win most conference games.

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Regular Season Wins: Knights Should Get There

The Knights are one of those college football teams likely to finish close to their win total. Between seven and nine wins looks to be the most likely scenario for UCF. Other than a game at Florida, UCF should be in every game they play this season. New Hampshire and Sam Houston are two games the Knights should win, meaning they would need to go 6-3 in the others. That’s entirely possible with the schedule.

Games at Iowa State and TCU won’t be easy, although UCF has the talent to win either one. UCF gets Utah and Arizona at home and you can’t count out the Knights at home.

The NCAA football lines should see UCF favored in all of their home games except for Utah.

To Make Playoffs: A Longshot at Best

The Knights need everything to go right to make the 12-team playoff field. It’s not entirely out of the question, but it’s also hard to bet on. UCF has the pieces in place for a solid season and maybe a mid-tier bowl game, but that looks like the ceiling.

Side Bets

  • You can bet the Knights will have over or under 5.5 conference wins. The over returns at +120, while the lay price on the under is at -150. The 2024 UCF Knights stats have to be a little bit better defensively for this one to have a chance at going over.
  • Jefferson has gotten a little bit of play for the Heisman Trophy. His odds are down to +4500 after opening at +10000. He’s still a long shot, but he’s coming into an ideal situation and could have a huge season.


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