2024 NCAAF Cheat Sheet: TCU Horned Frogs Stats & Odds
2024 TCU Horned Frogs Stats Project 7.5 Wins
Are better days ahead for the TCU Horned Frogs? That’s at least the hope after a disappointing 2023 season that saw them win only five college football games and fail to make a bowl game. Only a few years removed from a trip to the national championship game, the Horned Frogs hope to compete again with the sport’s upper tier.
With that in mind, here’s a closer look at the projected 2024 TCU Horned Frogs stats.
TCU Horned Frogs At A Glance
| Odds to Win | Opening Odds | Current Odds |
| Championship | +35000 | +35000 |
| Conference | +1800 | +1800 |
| Regular Season Win Total | 7.5 (o+122, u-150) | 7.5 (o+125, u-150) |
| To Make Playoffs | Yes +1800 | Yes +1800 |
Improvement Needed After 2023 Letdown
TCU took a big step back following its run to the national championship game, finishing 5-7 (3-6 Big 12) and failing to qualify for a bowl game last season. Sonny Dykes has the pieces to get the Horned Frogs back on track, though it’s unrealistic to expect them to compete again with college football’s upper echelon.
Josh Hoover, who took over at quarterback midway through his redshirt freshman season, is now the unquestioned No. 1. Chandler Morris transferred to North Texas.
If Hoover (2,206 yards, 15 TD, 9 INT) continues to develop, and TCU solidifies its patchwork offensive line, then the Horned Frogs will easily beat expectations and compete again atop the Big 12 Conference.
With perennial powers Texas and Oklahoma leaving for the SEC, Utah and Kansas State have taken over as the conference’s teams to beat.
Dykes brought on former Boise State head coach Andy Avalos to call the defensive signals, a move that could potentially pay big dividends.
The Horned Frogs allowed an average of 27.8 points per game last season, including 40-plus points three times. Multiple transfers were added to address the secondary, though Avalos will be responsible for properly arranging all the pieces ahead of the Aug. 30 opener at Stanford.
Oddsmakers have pegged the Horned Frogs for 7.5 regular-season wins, with the Over juiced to +125. Let’s look at the rest of projected 2024 TCU Horned Frogs stats.
Championship Odds: Time Has Really Flown
TCU is just two seasons removed from 13 wins and a surprising run to the CFP Final. Frankly, it seems like more.
Last year was a giant letdown for a program that appeared to be on an upward trajectory under Dykes. The Horned Frogs were upset by Colorado in their opener and never really got on track, failing to live up to its No. 17 preseason ranking.
The Horned Frogs are talented enough to get back to a bowl, but that seems like the ceiling at this point. They’re nowhere near ready to compete again for a national title. Their +35000 odds say as much, which is important to keep in mind when dissecting the projected 2024 TCU Horned Frogs stats.
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Conference Odds: Far From the Top of New-Look Big 12
The pecking order has shifted, with Utah and Kansas State replacing Texas as the Big 12’s team to beat. TCU, with +1800 odds, is more of a longshot.
Schedule-makers didn’t do the Horned Frogs any favors. Three of their first five conference games are on the road, including trips to Kansas (Sept. 28) and Utah (Oct. 19). The Horned Frogs also play Oklahoma State (Nov. 9), though that’s fortunately at home.
All in all, it’s a tough road for an NCAAF team lacking proven options.
Regular Season Wins: Recent Trends Not Overly Favorable
The Horned Frogs have surpassed 7.5 regular-season wins just once in the last six years. That includes the COVID-shortened 2020 campaign, in which they went 6-4.
If that seems like a high bar to clear, it’s because, well, it is. The Horned Frogs should get off to a decent start, with Stanford, LIU and UCF on the schedule in Weeks 0-2. But navigating Big 12 play may be difficult, especially on the road.
The Horned Frogs, for what it’s worth, were just 1-4 away from home last college football season, including an embarrassing 69-45 loss to Oklahoma to close things out.
Hoover — who threw for 344 yards and accounted for five touchdowns against the Sooners — may be the key to TCU’s season. He should get better with experience, though Dykes must hope his makeshift offensive line doesn’t wreck Hoover’s progress.
Bettors can get the Over at plus odds, so there’s at least solid value at play for those feeling optimistic about TCU’s chances.
To Make Playoffs: Don’t Count on It
Let’s get right to the point. The playoffs seem like a stretch for a team that many believe will finish closer to the bottom of the Big 12 than the top.
Even if Hoover builds on his strong cameo from last season, there are questions about the viability of TCU’s defense. Can Avalos answer enough of them to turn this team into a contender?
The Horned Frogs will likely have to win the Big 12 to secure a berth, though there’s also a path as a potential at-large. Regardless, their college football playoff odds are 18/1.
Hoover Heisman Longshot
Can Hoover win the Heisman? Probably not. But hey, as a quarterback who should post big numbers, he’s got a shot, right? College football lines list him at +25000.
Hoover threw for at least 300 yards five times last season and twice surpassed 400 yards. His 62.2 completion rate was impressive given his age.
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