2024 NCAAF Cheat Sheet: Texas Tech Red Raiders Stats & Odds
2024 Texas Tech Red Raiders Stats Forecast 7.5 Wins
The Texas Tech Red Raiders face modest expectations on the heels of last season’s Independence Bowl victory over California. Will they make more progress in the revamped Big 12 Conference?
Let’s look more closely at the projected 2024 Texas Tech Red Raiders stats.
Texas Tech Red Raiders At A Glance
| Odds to Win | Opening Odds | Current Odds |
| Championship | +25000 | +25000 |
| Conference | +1000 | +1400 |
| Regular Season Win Total | 7.5 (o-105, u-115) | 7.5 (o-158, u+128) |
| To Make Playoffs | Yes +1000 | Yes +1000 |
Texas Tech Riding Momentum Into ‘24
Texas Tech, on the heels of a 7-6 season, looks to make it three-for-three in bowl appearances under coach Joey McGuire. The Red Raiders return only eight starters, but quarterback Behren Morton is back following concerns about his shoulder.
Morton was impressive during last season’s Independence Bowl against California (27-of-43, 256 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT), and the Red Raiders surely will need more from him to continue their upward trajectory.
Running back Tahj Brooks, one of the conference’s top playmakers, also returns following a 1,500-yard campaign. His production will depend heavily on a revamped offensive line.
- Oddsmakers are a tad bullish, forecasting the Red Raiders for 7.5 wins.
McGuire is 15-11 in two seasons and has a chance to be the first coach since Mike Leach to lead Texas Tech to three consecutive bowl games. That’s no guarantee in the new-look Big 12, though the Red Raiders have reason to be optimistic.
The departures of perennial powers Texas and Oklahoma have created more opportunities atop the conference, with Utah taking over as the presumed favorite. The Red Raiders will have more than a few cracks to show they belong.
With that in mind, let’s dissect the projected 2024 Texas Tech Red Raider stats.
Championship Odds: Mahomes Couldn’t. Neither Will Morton.
McGuire may have the Red Raiders moving in the right direction, but they’re nowhere near ready to compete at this level. If Patrick Mahomes couldn’t lead them to a college football national championship, what makes anyone think Morton will? And that’s no disrespect to the latter.
Even a best-case scenario has them winning what, eight or nine games? That still wouldn’t even be enough to qualify them for the College Football Playoff.
The defense has made strides under Tim DeRuyter, but with only four starters back, it may struggle to keep pace in the offensive-heavy Big 12.
Conference Odds: Longshots to Start
The Big 12 is a bit more open with Texas and Oklahoma off to the Big 12. Still, the Red Raiders are longshots to win the conference at +1400 — down from opening odds of +1000.
The Red Raiders are 5-4 each of the last two seasons in Big 12 play but haven’t won six or more conference games since 2008. In other words, it’s been a while.
Texas Tech should get off to a decent start in conference play, with back-to-back home games against Arizona State and Cincinnati to kick things off.
But their fate will likely be decided following November trips to Iowa State (Nov. 2) and Oklahoma State (Nov. 23).
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Regular Season Wins: Recent History Not Encouraging
Texas Tech hasn’t won more than seven games in the regular season since 2009 (9-4). Oddsmakers, however, don’t seem too concerned. The Over is even juiced to -158, up from -105 when college football spreads opened.
The Red Raiders open with a buy game on Aug. 31 against Abilene Christian, but we should learn more about them when they visit Washington State a week later.
They also host North Texas. If they leave that stretch unscathed, the Red Raiders have a real shot at starting 5-0.
Losing Tyler Shough to Louisville hurts, but Morton appears ready to step in and perform capably at quarterback. It helps that he’ll have the dynamic Brooks to count on when needed.
While 7.5 wins seems like a high bar to clear, the Red Raiders will have opportunities to cash in.
To Make Playoffs: Wait ‘til Next Year
Texas Tech is a 10/1 longshot to qualify for the CFP. Likely the only way this bet hits is if McGuire and Co. win the Big 12. That seems highly unlikely, but crazier college football results have happened. Right?
Don’t count on it.
Brooks for Heisman? Unlikely, But Not Too Far-Fetched
Brooks may be a +25000 longshot to win the Heisman Trophy but don’t discount his ability to captivate some voters. He was fourth in FBS in rushing last season, averaging 5.3 yards per carry while scoring 10 touchdowns. He had eight 100-yard rushing games, including a season-high 182 yards against UCF.
The biggest obstacle here may be Texas Tech’s record. Can the Red Raiders win enough for Brooks to grab attention? That will be a big question when assessing the 2024 Texas Tech Red Raiders stats.
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