Upset-Minded Arizona State Looks to Flip Script in Trip to Hollywood
What a difference a year makes. The last time Arizona State and Southern California met, it was the host Sun Devils coming out on top. This weekend the Arizona State vs USC odds are most certainly in favor of USC. The Trojans were lucky to get out of last week’s Oregon State game with a win as the talented offensive unit was held without a touchdown in the first three quarters.
USC has scored touchdowns in 13 of 19 trips to the red zone compared to the Sun Devils reaching the red zone seven times in 13 trips
Both teams are looking to finish drives better as USC has scored touchdowns in 13 of 19 trips to the red zone compared to the Sun Devils reaching the red zone seven times in 13 trips. It is a different story on defense with the Trojans giving up TDs on just eight of 16 drives into the red zone by the opposing team while five of the 16 red zone trips for foes of the Sun Devils resulted in field goals.
When looking at the NCAAF week 5 betting odds, this is one of the three Pac-12 games with double-digit lines.
USC trails only defending champion Utah in the odds to win the Pac-12 title. Arizona State is well back at +25000. The Trojans (+1400) are tied for fourth in the national championship odds.
Despite a less than stellar effort a week ago, USC did move up a spot to No. 6 in both the Associated Press and American Football Coaches Association polls.
Arizona State vs USC Game Information
- Game: Arizona State 1-3 (0-1 in the Pac-12) Southern California 4-0 (2-0 in the Pac-12)
- Location: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles
- Television: ESPN
Arizona State Sun Devils
Following the departure of head coach Herm Edwards, it is hard to know what to expect from the Sun Devils.
Arizona State is 11th in the Pac-12 in scoring offense with 22.8 points per contests. The Sun Devils have scored touchdowns in just seven of the 13 trips to the red zone. That is just one of the reasons why the Arizona State vs USC odds have the visiting Sun Devils as a double-digit underdog.
Former Florida quarterback Emory Jones is completing 66% of his passes; however, he has just three TD passes and two interceptions. Jones also has three scoring runs.
Xazavian Valladay leads the running game with 391 yards on 6.5 yards per carry. Elijah Badger has 22 catches and 293 yards, but there is a need for a second receiving option to emerge.
Arizona State has just two sacks and 14 tackles for loss. Kyle Soelle leads the team with 51 tackles and two of the Sun Devils’ five interceptions.
Southern California Trojans
USC barely escaped with a win last week against Oregon State when Caleb Williams connected with Jordan Addison on the go-ahead touchdown late in the fourth quarter.
It was a forgettable effort for Williams as his Heisman Trophy odds dropped after completing only 16 of 36 passes. Williams does have nine TD passes and no interceptions. His presence is one of the reasons why the Arizona State vs USC betting odds favor the host Trojans.
Travis Dye and Austin Jones are both averaging more than seven yards per carry as they have combined for 567 yards and six touchdowns.
Tuli Tuipulotu leads the defense with seven tackles for loss while Eric Gentry (32 tackles) and Shane Lee (30 tackles) are other key defensive contributors.
Arizona State vs USC Injury Update
Arizona State running back Deonce Elliott and defensive back Ro Torrence (ankle) are questionable while defensive end Michael Matus (knee) and tight end Jacob Newell (leg) are out for the season.
For USC, defensive backs Briton Allen (knee), Joshua Jackson and Adonis Otey, receiver Michael Jackson, kicker Garth White and linebacker Chris Thompson are questionable. Tight end Jude Wolfe (foot) and quarterback Mo Hasan (Achilles) are out indefinitely while linebacker Romello Height (shoulder) is out for the season.
Arizona State vs USC Head to Head
The Trojans had won five of the previous six games against Arizona State before the Sun Devils won 31-16 a season ago as a 9.5-point favorite at home as Arizona State ran for nearly 300 yards.
The previous three meetings were decided by five points or less. Three of the last four games in the series hosted by USC have finished as one-score affairs.
Arizona State vs USC Odds & Betting Preview
This is the first time that Arizona State enters a game as at least a 25-point underdog since 2016 when the Sun Devils fell to Washington 44-18 with the Huskies faced by 27. When looking at the point spread from Southern California’s side of things, the line is currently at 26.5 and that could be a lot for USC to deal with. The last time the Trojans were favored by at least 20 points in conference play, the Trojans defeated Arizona 41-34 a season ago but didn’t come close to covering as 21.5-point favorites. In the lone contest in 2022 as at least a 20-point favorite, USC cruised by Rice 66-14.
There are many differences between the Trojans and Sun Devils; however, none stand out more than seeing USC +14 in turnover margin so far this season while Arizona State is -1 in that category. USC has yet to commit a turnover in the first four games while leading the nation with 11 interceptions and 14 takeaways.
Arizona State has covered in just one of its last six road games and are 2-5 against the spread in the last seven conference games. For the Southern California point spreads, the Trojans are 4-2 against the college football betting lines over the last six contests, but 1-6 in conference play over the last seven.
The Sun Devils would like to limit the USC offensive possession and keep this from being an offensive showcase each of Arizona State’s last five games went over the total. The total has gone over in seven of USC’s last eight games at home.
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