Clemson vs Wake Forest Betting Odds: Not the Friendly Confines of Death Valley
Wake Hasn't Beaten Clemson Since 2003, Do the Numbers Indicate an Upset?
Before jumping into our Clemson vs Wake Forest betting odds preview, let’s look at some of the relevant trends that may give us an edge when throwing down our cash this weekend. The Tigers are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Winston-Salem, while Wake has covered four straight games following an ATS loss and six of seven on field turf. The under is 22-7 in the Tiger’s last 29 games in September.
- Game: Clemson Tigers (3-0/ 1-2 ATS) at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-0/1-1 ATS)
- Location: Truist Field, Winston-Salem, North Carolina
- Television: ABC
Early Season Conference Showdown Has Massive ACC Implications
Continuing our Clemson vs Wake Forest Betting Odds: The fun and games for Clemson Head Coach Dabo Swinney are over after being more than a 24-pt favorite in each. The Tigers have failed to cover their last two games against Louisiana Tech (-33.5) and Furman (-45.5), after getting a cover in their conference opener, 41-10, against Georgia Tech (-24) to start the season.
The winner of this game will essentially own a two-game lead over the other with a better conference record and a head-to-head win. Injuries have played a major role in Clemson’s inability to cover big spreads. Last week against La Tech, Sweeny’s team was down several defensive players due to various injuries.
Of course, hearts were heavy on both sides with Bryan Bresee’s sister passing away from brain cancer forcing him to miss last week’s game as well. Injuries at the college level often make it difficult for bettors to understand how depleted from week to week because there’s not an injury report like there is in the NFL.
There is a rule of thumb that the public should use and that’s even if a team is close to 100% it will take the returning players some time to get acclimated back to football. Too often the public rushes out to bet on a team in every sport when a notable player comes back, the experience will tell you to give it a game or two. Sweeny did say in his Sunday press conference that he expects everyone to be available Saturday.
Defending Coastal Champions Get First Test
Seasoned bettors will tell you that just because the Deacons squeezed by Liberty last week as a 17-point favorite, that has nothing to do with how you should proceed to the window this week, Let’s chalk up last week’s near upset by Liberty to a typical letdown spot the week before a big game. Players look ahead and coaches are not willing to put too much on film for their next opponent to study.
After a 20-8 lead at the half, Wake saw its lead evaporate five minutes in the third quarter after a Dae Dae Hunter 43-yard run giving Liberty a 23-20 lead. The Deacons rallied with 17 fourth-quarter points, preceding a defensive stand on a 2-point conversion that would have given the Flames the lead with just over a minute left.
Over the last three seasons, Wake Forest is 14-10 ATS, +292 units, including a 7-3 ATS mark (+341 units) at home. Since 2006, when the Decons are getting seven or more points at home they are a profitable 15-7 ATS, +732 units.
One of those covers was against the Clemson Tigers as a 34-point home dog (48-27). The final score would indicate a blow-out but Wake was behind by just seven points at the half and outscored the Tigers in two of the four quarters.
Tigers’ Early Season History Doesn’t Sway Bettors
The send-out number on this game was shocking because the oddsmakers usually put big numbers up on the Tigers because they’re such a public team, even if they’re playing a ranked opponent on the road. Clemson is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss and has failed to cover nine of their last 10 games in September.
To conclude our Clemson vs Wake Forest Betting Odds: We are recommending Wake Forest (+7.5). Of all the NCAA College Football point spreads this week, this is the one that stood out. It seems like the books are begging you to fall into their Clemson/Wake point spread trap by offering a small road number against a team that could have lost to Liberty. What seems easy never is.Follow us on Twitter