The fact that the Maryland Terrapins are 5-0 and unranked lets you know quite a bit about their schedule so far. It hasn’t been that tough, with Jeff Sagarin’s college football ratings giving Maryland the No. 132-ranked schedule. Ohio State hasn’t exactly played a rough schedule itself, with Sagarin having Ohio State at No. 63. But both teams have taken advantage of softer slates and Saturday’s game will see two unbeaten teams battle it out. The Maryland vs Ohio State odds have the Buckeyes favored by 18 points and the total is sitting at 55.5 points.
Date & Time: Streaming: FOX
Line: Ohio State -18
Maryland’s Stats Are Impressive
Regardless of the level of competition Maryland has played, the Terrapins have wracked up some pretty impressive stats. There isn’t much difference between what the Terrapins have done offensively compared to Ohio State. Maryland is averaging 38.6 points per game and running for 157.4 yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry. The Terps are throwing for 297.4 yards per game.
Defensively, Maryland is allowing 13.2 points per game and 328.2 total yards. The run defense has been average, allowing 3.5 yards per carry to teams that average 3.5 yards per carry. Against the pass, Maryland is slightly better than average.
Still, you can’t get a complete picture of Maryland without looking at who it’s played against. The Terrapins have been favored by at least 14 points in four of its five games. The lone exception was Michigan State, who Maryland beat 31-9 as 7-point favorites. But Maryland was -14 against Indiana at home, while Ohio State was -30 at Indiana. That tells you the point spread is pretty accurate in this game. The Terrapins are 3-2 against the spread this season.
Ohio State Overcomes Scare vs Notre Dame
The Buckeyes haven’t been challenged much in the past few seasons. But their last game at Notre Dame was an exception. Ohio State won 17-14 as 3-point road favorites. The Buckeyes are 1-2-1 against the spread this season, as the offense hasn’t really gotten untracked. Ohio State is averaging 34.5 points per game and 149 rushing yards with a 5.1 yards per carry average. The Buckeyes are passing for 298.5 yards per game.
The Ohio State defense has been strong, allowing 8.5 points per game and 255.5 total yards. The Buckeyes are allowing 3.1 yards per rush and just 149 passing yards per game. Teams are completing 58.6% of their passes against the Buckeyes.
Ohio State’s offense should come on a little bit as the season goes on. The Buckeyes were favored by more points than they scored in each of the first two games. At least there was little doubt they weren’t going to be covering the NCAA lines football bets. But when you’re favored by 30 points, you should be scoring more than 23 points.
What to Expect
There’s no doubt this is a huge step up in class for Maryland. The Terrapins haven’t been challenged this season. But that will change Saturday. Maryland may have a little more success through the air than on the ground. But the Terrapins can’t get one-dimensional against the Ohio State defense. The Terrapins have to run the ball some. They don’t need to have a lot of success but run enough to make sure Ohio State respects the rushing attack.
The Buckeyes need to do a better job of capitalizing on their opportunities. Ohio State has had chances to add more points to the scoreboard in three of their four games but isn’t taking advantage of them. Ohio State’s NCAAF scores have been closer than they should have been.
Who to Bet On?
The Maryland vs Ohio State odds are hard to argue with, especially when you look at comparative lines against Indiana. Bettors who place a lot of emphasis on strength of schedule will like Ohio State. But Maryland had a larger winning margin against Indiana than Ohio State. And the Buckeyes are coming off an emotional win over Notre Dame. You can really make a case for both teams on the side bet.
The Maryland vs Ohio State odds on the total could be a little bit on the high side. While both teams are scoring points, they can both play some defense. Especially the Buckeyes. The NCAAF teams allow a combined 21.7 points per game, so the under is likely the best game on the game.
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