We’ve got a battle for Florida on our hands this weekend. The Miami Hurricanes will travel to Florida State to take on the undefeated Seminoles. Florida State is currently 9-0 and sitting at the No. 4 spot in the College Football Playoff Rankings. A top-four seed would push them into the College Football Playoff.However, one loss would push them out. The Seminoles are walking on thin ice, and the margin of error is super thin.Can Florida State earn a multi-touchdown win over the Hurricanes on Saturday?
The line is set at -14.5 (-105) for Florida State, with Miami sitting at +14.5 (-115). Meanwhile, the total is currently at 50.5, with the under juiced slightly to -115.
Let’s break down the Miami FL vs Florida State CFB odds in the battle for Florida in the ACC.
Day/Time: Saturday, November 11, 3:30 p.m. ET, 12:30 p.m. PT
Location: Doak Campbell Stadium
Miami FL vs Florida State CFB Odds
The Miami Hurricanes haven’t covered a game since October 21, when they beat the Clemson Tigers 28-20. Miami has lost its last two NCAAF games against the spread despite being favorites by 6.5 points or more in both.
Miami defeated Virginia as a 19-point favorite but only won that game, 29-26 to finish October. Meanwhile, most recently, Miami lost outright to North Carolina State as a 6.5-point underdog. Miami lost that one by 14 points.
That’s pushed the Hurricanes to 4-5 against the spread this NCAAF season. However, they’ve hit the Over in five of nine games this season. The Hurricanes are also just 1-2 on the road this year.
On the other hand, Florida State’s three-game against the spread winning streak ended against Pittsburgh last weekend. The Seminoles were 20.5-point favorites on the road but only won by 17, 24-7. Still, the Seminoles have gone 6-3 against the spread and have hit the Over in six of nine games this season.
Florida State has won the matchup against Miami in the last two games and covered in both.
Miami’s Building Something
During the offseason, the Miami Hurricanes added a bunch of transfers to the program. At 6-3 this year, a few Miami reporters asked those transfers if they regretted coming to Miami.Those transfers acknowledged that if they had the opportunity to transfer again, in those same shoes, they’d still come to Miami.
They asked Miami’s center Matt Lee, the left guard, Javion Cohen, defensive tackle, Brandon Deen, and linebacker Francisco Mauigoa. All four transfers have really enjoyed their time at Miami with this football program.A lot of the praise is centered around head coach Mario Cristobal. They’ve said he’s been welcoming and has changed their perspective of the game of football.
So, while the Hurricanes won’t be playing in a New Year’s Six Bowl or the College Football Playoff, the camaraderie is still high. The excitement about being a Miami Hurricane is still real.
Can Florida State Stay Healthy?
The Florida State Seminoles have one of the best NCAAF teams in the nation. But the injury bug is starting to hit them.The team’s best receiver, Keon Coleman, has hauled in 38 receptions for 538 yards and nine touchdowns. But he wasn’t able to play against Pittsburgh due to an injury he suffered in the previous weekend. They’re hopeful Coleman will be ready for Saturday, but it’s not guaranteed.
Meanwhile, the second leading receiver on the team, Johnny Wilson, was also unavailable due to injury against Pittsburgh. He’s added 415 yards with 25 catches this season.Coleman and Wilson have combined for nearly 1,000 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns this college football season. Both are progressing, but again, it’s not guaranteed that those two will play against Miami.
Miami Matches Up Well Against FSU
This is a bad spot for the Florida State Seminoles. They have no room for error and could be without their top two receivers against one of the best defenses in the ACC.
The Seminoles survived against Pittsburgh. But it won’t be the same story against Miami if those two star receivers remain out.Even if Coleman and Wilson are available, we don’t even know if they’ll be 100%.
Miami’s got one of the most dominant run defenses in America. They’ve held teams to 2.91 yards per game on the ground this season. Teams have also earned just 4.97 yards per play this season.
So if Florida State fails to run the ball effectively, Jordan Travis will have to find success throwing the football. That’s where Coleman and Wilson come into play.
On the other hand, Miami’s looking at potentially benching their struggling quarterback, Tyler Van Dyke. He’s thrown for 2,057 yards and has 16 touchdowns with 11 interceptions. He’s making too many mistakes and will face one of the best secondaries in the ACC at Florida State. If he doesn’t play, it’ll be freshman Emory Williams.
He last played against Clemson and threw 151 yards with a touchdown and interception. However, his QBR is 81.3 on 48 passing attempts this season.
Miami should have success rushing the football regardless of who the quarterback is. That should help set the tone for the rest of the game. These two teams are very even on paper.
Don’t be afraid to sprinkle some cash on the Miami money line NCAA Football at +450. There are many spots to find NCAAF betting online. Find the best line possible for the Miami FL vs Florida State CFB odds.
The NCAA Football schedule this weekend is wild. This game will add to the chaos. I’ll back the Hurricanes at +14.5 (-115). Get that number before it gets to 13.5.