Mountain West Football Conference Odds: Boise State Favored Again
Fresno State, Air Force Expected to Battle for MWC Title

The Mountain West football conference odds have the Boise State Broncos as solid favorites to win the conference title. The Broncos return nine offensive starters, including dual-threat quarterback Taylen Green.
Fresno State and Air Force are the next two betting choices, but both have some talent to replace. The same can be said for San Diego State.
One team that can’t be said about is Wyoming, which returns 82% of its offensive production and 84% of its defensive production from last year. The Cowboys were 7-6 a year ago and should be a better team this NCAAF season based on returning talent.
Boise State Broncos +200
The Boise State Broncos return quite a bit of talent from last year’s 10-4 team. The Broncos were 8-0 in conference play. The big-play guys are back for Boise State. In addition to Green, the Broncos also return running backs George Holani and Ashton Jeanty. The defense could use a little revamping, especially up front. But Boise State usually has a solid defense and this year’s team should fit that mold.
Fresno State Bulldogs +350
The Mountain West football conference odds have the Bulldogs at +350 after Fresno went 7-1 in conference games last year. But Fresno does lose quarterback Jake Haener and the Bulldogs weren’t very good without him last year. Running back Jordan Mims also departs, as do several talented receivers. Fresno State is going to need the defensive line to step up and dominate games. They have the potential and the Bulldogs return 71% of their defensive production.
Air Force Falcons +440
The Falcons are going to be on the right side of the NCAAF scores more often than not this season. Air Force has an outstanding offensive line, but does have to replace quarterback Haaziq Daniels and running back Brad Roberts. The Air Force defense is a little better than advertised and they’ll be counted on a bit more than in the past. The Falcons return 70% of their defensive production, so they’ll be in good shape.
San Diego State Aztecs +700
Last season was a bit of a down year for San Diego State, as the Aztecs were 7-6. The Aztecs do return 70% of their offensive production, but just 40% on defense. Jalen Mayden didn’t look all that bad at quarterback, but it’s hard to see the Aztecs jumping back into the title chase. San Diego State looks to be a bit below the likes of Boise State and Air Force.
Wyoming Cowboys +1100
The Mountain West football conference odds have Wyoming at +1100 and the Cowboys return more talent than anybody in the conference. Whether those players are good enough to challenge Boise State is the big question. But based on returning production, Wyoming should be close to five points better than it was last year. The Cowboys could be a decent team to bet on against the NCAAF odds if they get underpriced early in the season.
San Jose State Spartans +1350
The Spartans were 7-5 last year, but lost quite a bit of talent from last year’s team on the defensive side of the ball. The Spartans should be able to score enough to win some games. Quarterback Chevan Cordeiro and wide receiver Justin Lockhart are solid players. If the defense can come together, another bowl berth should be in store for the Spartans. But winning the conference seems like a tall order.
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels +1600
The Runnin’ Rebels finished 5-7 last year, which was a good season by UNLV standards. This is a team that has one bowl appearance in over 20 years. The Rebels return Doug Brumfield at quarterback, but lost several key players after coach Marcus Arroyo was let go. First-year coach Barry Odom has his work cut out.
Utah State Aggies +2200
The Aggies took a step backward last season, going just 6-7. Utah State returns a lot of its defense, although that’s not necessarily a good thing. The Aggies allowed 31.2 points per game last year, which was second-worst in the conference.
Colorado State Rams +2500
The Rams should be better than last year’s 3-9 team, but battling for the conference title appears to be out of the question. Colorado State has the potential to double its win total from a year ago and earn a minor bowl bid. But that appears to be the ceiling for Jay Norvell’s squad this season.
Nevada Wolfpack +4500
Nevada wasn’t a very good team last year. The offense was particularly poor, averaging just 18.8 points. The Wolfpack went to the transfer portal and loaded up on PAC-12 players. The team’s fortunes will likely rest on how long it takes all of the newcomers to learn to play together.
New Mexico Lobos +10000
New Mexico hasn’t won more than three games since 2016 and this year’s team doesn’t look to change that. The Lobos have a decent defense. But you’re not going to win many games when you only score 13 points a game.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +10000
Hawaii had another rough season last year under former quarterback Timmy Chang. It doesn’t look any better for the Warriors this season. Hawaii returns the lowest production of any team in the Mountain West Conference. Add in a tough non-conference slate, and the Rainbow Warriors are probably looking at another three-win season.
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