2024 NFL Cheat Sheet: Buffalo Bills Stats and Odds

The Buffalo Bills continue with immense expectations despite coming off a third straight loss in the AFC Divisional Round. Buffalo has one of the NFL’s elite quarterbacks in Josh Allen, only ratcheting up the pressure on the franchise to return to a long-awaited Super Bowl.

What’s in store for this season? Here’s what the 2024 Buffalo Bills stats and projections say.

Buffalo Bills At A Glance

Pressure Intensify for Bills

The Bills fell painfully short yet again last season, losing for the third straight time in the AFC Divisional Round. It was also their third playoff loss in the last four years to Kansas City. Buffalo won 11 games and an AFC East title, but that was little consolation after another disappointing finish.

Expectations remain high heading into 2024, though the Bills reconfigured their core by trading one of Josh Allen’s favorite targets in wide receiver Stefon Diggs.

Gabe Davis joined Diggs in leaving, signing with Jacksonville in free agency. With Buffalo favored again to win the division (+170), head coach Sean McDermott faces immense pressure to win and win often.

The AFC still runs through Kansas City, but the Bills will be on the short list of contenders as long as Allen stays healthy.

Allen threw for 4,306 yards and 29 touchdowns and also ran for a career-best 15 NFL scores last season, continuing to separate himself as one of the NFL’s best dual-threat quarterbacks.

Buffalo’s offense performed accordingly, ranking fourth in total offense (374.5 yards/game) and sixth in scoring (26.5 points/game).

To maintain that production, Allen needs to build chemistry with his new set of receivers. That includes rookie Keon Coleman, the 33rd overall pick out of Florida State.

Here’s a closer look at the projected 2024 Buffalo Bulls stats.

Super Bowl Odds: Championship or Bust

It is Super Bowl or bust for the Bills. Anything less won’t cut it. They are +1500 to win the big game, matching Philadelphia for the sixth-shortest odds on the board.

McDermott, who’s just 5-6 in the postseason over seven seasons in Buffalo, will be out of scapegoats if the Bills fall short again. Another trip to the divisional round won’t satisfy Bills Mafia if it means the end of the road.

That likely means getting past Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, who continue to be their kryptonite. Kansas City is a +500 favorite to win its third straight Super Bowl, something no team has ever done.

Conference Odds: Allen Holds the Keys

The Bills’ AFC title NFL odds are trending slightly in the wrong direction (from +750 to +800) as training camp begins. Even so, they remain one of the biggest favorites in the conference behind Kansas City (+300), Baltimore (+550) and Cincinnati (+700).

That’s as much a bet on Allen as it is on the Bills, who will go as far as their star quarterback takes them.

If Allen’s able to limit the mistakes, which were an issue last season — his 18 interceptions were second-most in the NFL — the Bills have the firepower to compete with Kansas City as the best NFL team.

Of course, recent history is not on their side.

Ladies and gentlemen…

Josh Allen.#BillsMafia @BuffaloPlus pic.twitter.com/FsaFNsXJOX

— Dan Fetes (@danfetes) July 24, 2024

Division Odds: Slight Favorite in AFC East

Buffalo overcame a pedestrian 6-6 start to win its fourth straight AFC East title last season, defeating Miami 21-14 on the road in Week 17.

• The Bills are favored once more (+170), though with both the Jets (+190) and Dolphins (+200) in the mix, this could be arguably the league’s most competitive division.

Much of that, as always, depends on health. How will Aaron Rodgers bounce back from a torn Achilles? Is Tua Tagovailoa over his concussion issues? That’s a lot to dissect.

Buffalo may have the most talented team in the division, but things tend to change on a dime in the NFL. This year is no different. That’s important to remember when projecting the 2024 Buffalo Bills stats.

Regular Season Wins: Daunting Start Could Shape Season

Buffalo has gone over its win total in all seven seasons under McDermott, the longest active streak in the NFL. It’s also won at least 11 games in each of the last four years.

The Bills (projected for 10.5 regular-season wins) must overcome one of the league’s toughest NFL schedules. Its 2024 opponents had a combined .516 win percentage last season, higher than all but five teams.

They open with Arizona at home — the Bills are 6.5-point favorites per NFL Week 1 odds— before hitting the road in four of the next five weeks: Dolphins, Ravens, Texans, and Jets.

That’s a daunting start, albeit one that’s manageable if the Bills play to their potential. They also have back-to-back home games against Kansas City and San Francisco in Weeks 11 and 13, with a bye sandwiched in between.

To Make Playoffs: Nothing Less Will Suffice

The Bills have cemented themselves as perennial contenders, with six postseason appearances over the last seven seasons. Anything short of another playoff trip would be a colossal disappointment and likely spell the end of McDermott’s time in Buffalo. There’s no sugar-coating it.

Their odds of qualifying have shortened from -165 to -175 over the last few weeks.

All Eyes on Allen

It seems to be a matter of when, not if, Allen wins his first NFL MVP. At +850, he shares the second-best odds to win the award this season with Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud. Only Mahomes (+450) is a shorter favorite.

Allen accounted for 44 touchdowns last year and shoulders an even bigger load with Diggs and Davis elsewhere.

Be sure to keep that in mind when making your NFL betting predictions.

For NFL odds, betting analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine

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