2024 NFL Cheat Sheet: Miami Dolphins Stats & Odds

After making the AFC playoffs in each of their first two seasons under head coach Mike McDaniels, the Miami Dolphins hope to take the next step in 2024. They’ve had little to show for their success — Miami’s last playoff win came in 2000 — but fortunes can change on a dime in the NFL.

What’s in store for this season?

We break down the possibilities and assess the potential 2024 Miami Dolphins stats.

At A Glance

Dolphins Seek Better Finish After Late-Season Swoon

The Dolphins made their second straight playoff appearance in as many seasons under head coach Mike McDaniel, but a late-season swoon spoiled any optimism about its case as a legitimate Super Bowl contender. Miami finished with 11 wins after a 9-3 start, coughing up the AFC East title in Week 17 to Buffalo at home. Kansas City then beat Miami the following week in the wild card round.

Expectations remain high as Tua Tagovailoa enters a pivotal season as Miami’s quarterback. The Dolphins’ offense sputtered down the stretch in 2023, scoring only 40 points over their final three games after an historic start. The Dolphins averaged an NFL-best 401.3 yards on offense and ranked second in scoring, producing 29.2 points per game.

Miami will have to contend again with the Bills and Jets for AFC East supremacy. Projected for 9.5 wins, the Dolphins must hope Tagovailoa stays healthy after repeated concussion concerns. He made his first Pro Bowl last season after leading the NFL in passing (4,624 yards).

While offense is the Dolphins’ bread and butter, they should also be improved defensively after adding solid veterans in linebacker Shaq Barrett and safety Jordan Poyer.

What can bettors expect? Let’s break down the potential 2024 Miami Dolphins stats.

Super Bowl Odds: Jury’s Still Out on McDaniels, Tagovailoa

• The Dolphins have the 12th-shortest NFL Super Bowl odds at +2200, which puts them in the middle of the pack in the 32-team league. They may deserve better, but it’s getting harder and harder to pinpoint what their ceiling is with McDaniels at the helm.

Dolphins were among the favorites last season before a disheartening Week 14 loss to Tennessee without wide receiver Tyreek Hill dropped them to 9-4.

They bounced back with wins over the Jets and Cowboys but disappeared over the final few games. Injuries to star pass-rushers Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips didn’t help.

• Six AFC teams have better odds, including both the Bills (+1200) and Jets (+2000).

Conference Odds: All Roads Lead Through KC

Can the Dolphins beat Kansas City? Or Cincinnati? Or Houston? All three look like better bets at the moment because of their quarterback play.

Tagovailoa posted impressive stats last season — 4,624 yards, 29 touchdowns and a 69.3% completion rate — but underperformed when he was needed most. He had five interceptions over the final three games after throwing 10 over the previous 15.

The Dolphins share the sixth-best odds to win the AFC (+1100), with all roads again leading through two-time defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City. Until proven otherwise, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are the team to beat.

That’s important to remember when projecting the 2024 Miami Dolphins stats.

Division Odds: AFC East Anyone’s Guess

The Dolphins’ last AFC East title was way back in 2008 with Chad Pennington at quarterback. A lot has happened since then.

Both the Bills (+170) and Jets (+190) have better divisional odds than Miami, though not by much.

Obviously, things can change with injuries. But as training camp rolls around, this is shaping up to be one of the tightest divisions in the NFL. Even the Patriots, +2500 longshots, should be improved with rookie Drake Maye under center.

• No other division has three teams at +200 or better. Thus, there’s some value in taking Miami.

Regular Season Wins: Schedule Should Do Some Favors

Miami has either hit or gone Over its projected win total each of the last six seasons, making it one of the most profitable teams in that market for bettors.

The Dolphins were also ticketed for 9.5 wins last season and surpassed it with room to spare, improving to 10-4 with a Week 15 shutout of the Jets.

Three of the Dolphins’ first four games are at home, including a Thursday Night affair in Week 2 against Buffalo. Their schedule’s shaping up to be one of the easiest in the NFL, as their opponents boasted a combined winning percentage of just .488 last season.

Of course it may not play out that way, but on the surface, the Dolphins certainly have a decent path to 9.5 wins.

To Make Playoffs: Postseason or Bust

The Dolphins have made the playoffs in each of the last two seasons and three times since 2016. Given their abundance of playmakers, including Hill, running back Devon Achane and wide receiver Jaylen Waddle, anything less than that would be a major disappointment and could spell widespread organizational changes in Miami.

The AFC is loaded with star quarterbacks, but few teams can match the Dolphins’ firepower on both sides of the ball.

At -155, the Dolphins are among the better bets to reach the postseason.

Hill for OPOY?

Tyreek Hill was the frontrunner for NFL Offensive Player of the Year for much of last season but wound up finishing second in the AP voting to 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey.

The speedy receiver finished second in the league with 119 receptions and led all players with 1,799 receiving yards. He also scored 13 touchdowns.

Hill’s abilities are unquestioned. Few, if any, receivers command as much attention downfield.

• He opened as a +700 favorite to win OPOY, ahead of Cowboys receiver CeeDee Lamb (+900) and McCaffrey (+900). Given his track record, he’s a strong bet. Consider that when making your NFL predictions.

For NFL scores and odds, betting analysis and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine

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