2024 NFL OROY Odds: Williams Large Favorite Entering Season
Five Quarterbacks Near the Top of Odds List
With the run of quarterbacks in the first round of the NFL Draft, it’s no surprise to see many listed relatively high in the 2024 NFL OROY odds. Caleb Williams is a prohibitive favorite. You can’t count out Jayden Daniels, JJ McCarthy, Drake Maye, or Bo Nix, either. Martin Harrison may have been the best player in the draft, but can he earn more votes than the heralded quarterback class? We’ll try and answer that and find decent value in this look at the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds.
Caleb Williams +125
It’s no surprise to see Williams listed as a huge favorite entering the season. There’s no question he’s Chicago’s opening-day starter after the team traded Justin Fields to Pittsburgh. Williams has been hyped more than most rookie NFL quarterbacks in some years but will still have an adjustment to make. He’ll be learning on the job, and instant success isn’t guaranteed. You can’t tell that from his odds, however, and there’s simply no value in betting the favorite at these odds.
Marvin Harrison Jr. +600
Some draft pundits felt Harrison was the best player in the draft, regardless of position. Being a wide receiver doesn’t automatically work against Harrison here. The NFL MVP odds are slanted towards quarterbacks, as one usually wins, but a wide receiver or running back has won OROY seven times in the last 11 seasons. He has a solid quarterback in Kyler Murray to get him the ball, and the Cardinals should pass often. He does offer a slight value at +600.
Jayden Daniels +600
Daniels is a human highlight film and may be the most athletic quarterback in the league. His offensive line isn’t all that great, and Daniels takes off with the ball a little earlier than he should. That won’t work in the NFL quite as much as it did in college football, but you can’t count out Daniels.
Malik Nabers +1200
Nabers has looked good in training camp, but won’t have Daniels throwing him the ball any longer. In fact, finding somebody to get the ball to him is the No. 1 thing Nabors has working against him. New York was No. 31 in the NFL rankings for passing yards per game with 169.8. Only the Carolina Panthers were worse. Nabaers should help the passing game, but there’s a lot of work to be done.
JJ McCarthy +1400
The 2024 NFL OROY odds on McCarthy are intriguing. If he becomes the Vikings‘ starter in preseason, he could have a big year. He certainly has some offensive weapons like Justin Jefferson to throw the ball to. If Minnesota starts Sam Darnold, it could be tough for McCarthy to make up the group if and when he does become the starter. It’s not a bad situation for a rookie and McCarthy is worth a play at +1400.
Drake Maye +1400
Maye will be the eventual starter for New England, it’s just a matter of when. New England is in better shape at quarterback than they were a year ago. There are a few questions regarding when Maye will be ready to become the starter. The Patriots may roll the dice with him early on, it’s more of a wait-and-see proposition.
Bo Nix +1400
Nix has a good chance of starting early on in Denver but doesn’t have a great surrounding cast. He has some talent and was finally able to let it show last year at Oregon. In terms of value, Nix doesn’t look as good as McCarthy or Maye at +1400.
Xavier Worthy +1400
Worthy steps into a pretty good spot with Kansas City. What receiver wouldn’t like Patrick Mahomes throwing him the football? The biggest problem with Worthy is the Chiefs have some pretty good receivers and Travis Kelce. Worthy could have a pretty good year, but the Chiefs spread the ball around well and that makes it a little tougher on Worthy.
Rome Odunze +2000
Odunze is going to have a tough time doing well in this spot. Not only do the Bears have a couple of pretty good receivers, but if he has a good year, it will be Williams throwing him the ball. Odunze will be a good receiver but could be a little limited as a rookie behind Keenan Allen and DJ Moore.
Brian Thomas Jr. +2200
Thomas landed in a pretty good spot with the Jaguars. The team isn’t getting a lot of respect in the early NFL lines and is an underdog or small favorite in most games. That could mean a lot more passing for Jacksonville. Trevor Lawrence doesn’t have the greatest group of receivers to throw to and Thomas could step in right away and become his go-to target.
Keon Coleman +2600
Coleman could be a pleasant surprise for the Buffalo Bills. While not garnering the attention some of the other receivers got, Coleman had some nice stats in college. He’s entering a good situation in Buffalo and despite being taken in the second round, could contribute right away for the Bills.
Ladd McConkey +3000
McConkey was drafted right after Coleman and didn’t end up in a bad spot with the Chargers. Justin Herbert didn’t have the greatest season a year ago and will be out to make amends. He has a chance to be a solid contributor to the offense right from the start.
Adonai Mitchell +3300
Mitchell is another receiver taken in the second round and gives Anthony Richardson another solid target to throw the ball to. Mitchell could be a factor for the Colts right from the start, but he’ll have a tough time finishing in front of some of the other receivers taken in the draft.
Brock Bowers +3300
The 2024 NFL OPOY odds on Bowers are a bit on the high side considering he was easily the best tight end in college football and went high in the draft. The Raiders are a little unsettled at quarterback, with either Gardner Minshew or Aidan O’Connell behind center. Whoever starts has a solid target down the middle in Bowers.
For NFL picks, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
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