2024 NFL Season: A.J. Brown Season Stats Odds
Brown Should Have Another Big Year
The Philadelphia Eagles paid a hefty price — a 1st rounder and 3rd rounder — to the Tennessee Titans for A.J. Brown before the 2022 season and, to the surprise of no one, the star wideout has fit like a glove in the Philadelphia offense. He has posted nearly 1,500 receiving yards in each of the past two seasons and, last year, caught over 100 passes for the first time in his career.
So, the 2024 A.J. Brown season props are expecting more big things from the former Ole Miss product.
Brown has emerged as Jalen Hurts’ top target, easily surpassing DeVonta Smith in targets, receptions and yards. There was some concern over Brown being unhappy and possibly wanting to be traded but that wound up being — like so many other similar situations — the result of overblown talk on social media. He’ll be in the lineup for the Eagles when they open up on the NFL scoreboard for the first time in September.
So, what kind of season will Brown have? Based on the current odds, he’s in the mix for both Offensive Player of the Year and MVP — albeit at a low likelihood — and could lead the NFL in receiving yards. He also has a very achievable receiving touchdowns over/under. Let’s check out the odds:
Offensive Player of the Year: +3300 / MVP: +25000
At +3300, the 2024 A.J. Brown season props don’t necessarily expect him to win Offensive Player of the Year but there aren’t a ton of players ahead of him in terms of odds so there is a chance he can win. Brown finished 11th in Offensive Player of the Year voting in 2022 and somehow didn’t receive any votes in 2023 despite putting up a monster season. That kind of history doesn’t bode well for him but +3300 is very good value for an award that quarterbacks tend not to win.
He is a complete longshot to win MVP at +25000 which makes much more sense because it’s such a quarterback-focused award and because of how much competition there is around the league. Don’t necessarily hold your breath about Brown being in the MVP mix even if he has another All-Pro campaign and does get enough recognition to garner some Offensive Player of the Year consideration.
Crazier things have happened, to be sure, but it’s not a good idea to bet on Brown to win MVP. Offensive Player of the Year is a stretch albeit within the realm of possibility.
NFL Receiving Yards Leader: +900
One of the NFL picks that is a good idea is for Brown to lead the NFL in receiving yards. Brown has the fourth-best odds to wind up with his first receiving yards crown and after he finished fifth in yards in 2023, he is firmly one of the top contenders.
Tyreek Hill led the way with 1,799 and was followed by Ceedee Lamb (1,749), Amon-Ra St. Brown (1,515), Puka Nacua (1,486) and then Brown (1,456). Unsurprisingly, Hill (+600) and Lamb (+700) lead the way from an odds perspective and then it’s Ja’Marr Chase at +800.
After compiled over 1,400 yards in each of the last two seasons, Brown is right there. While he may not get the same amount of opportunities as Hill or Lamb, as Hurts’ top option he is the main target in a really good Eagles offense.
The challenge for Brown will be to convert more of the huge target amount he gets into receptions and to get more yards after catch. He had seven drops last season and his yards after catch dropped almost two yards per catch.
If any of the the 2024 A.J. Brown season props are going to pan out, Brown will have to improve in certain areas to make himself a more viable candidate in an extremely crowded wide receiver field. He’ll never be the speedster that Hill is or the pure possession guy that Lamb is but he is a nice mix of the two which is why he’s such a good player.
8.5 Receiving Touchdowns: Over (-105)/Under (-125)
The NFL betting odds think that Brown will improve on his relatively low seven receiving touchdowns from a year ago by bumping up his over/under to 8.5. After getting 11 scores in 2022, he found the end zone four fewer times last season despite having 18 more catches overall.
Look for Brown’s touchdowns — a notoriously fickle stat — to bounce back in 2024. He’s Philadelphia’s primary option and while the Eagles do score a lot on Hurts sneaks at the goal-line using the Brotherly Shove, defenses may be catching up to that strategy.
That could result in the Eagles throwing more in those goal-to-go situations and, accordingly, Brown may be the recipient of additional scoring opportunities.
Plus, the under value is so low that it’s smart strategy to take the over in a statistic that, on paper, Brown should easily exceed.
There are no guarantees ever with touchdowns because they are so dependent on other circumstances but if anyone is set up well to surprise people with more scores, it’s Brown.
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