Baker Mayfield’s New Contract Puts the Pressure On
2024 Baker Mayfield Season Odds, Predictions and More
The 2024 Baker Mayfield Season Odds are in and we are going to take a look at the NFL lines to see if he is likely to go over or under his season props.
- Mayfield’s opening lines for the 2024 NFL season were 3650.5 (over/under -110) passing yards and 23.5 touchdowns (over +100/under (-125). FanDuel now has his passing yards prop at 3500.5 (over/under -112) and his passing touchdowns line at 22.5 (over -108/under -118).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defied expectations last season, winning the NFC South and advancing to the playoffs Bracket. However, the 2024 season brings a few uncertainties for Mayfield’s squad.
Key offensive coordinator Dave Canales departed to become the Carolina Panthers head coach, but the team’s core remains intact.
Star receiver Mike Evans, quarterback Baker Mayfield, and safety Antoine Winfield Jr. all received extensions, showcasing the Buccaneers’ belief in their existing formula.
Mayfield’s long-term contract was certainly a gamble. After struggling with multiple teams in recent years, Mayfield thrived in Tampa Bay, leading them to a division title.
- This success earned him a $100 million deal with half guaranteed. While not a massive investment by today’s standards, it commits the Bucs to Mayfield for two seasons, a potentially risky move considering his inconsistent past.
Mayfield’s performance will be crucial to the Buccaneers’ success. If he replicates last season’s form, the contract will be a steal. However, a return to his previous struggles could derail the team’s championship aspirations.
Let’s dive into the 2024 Baker Mayfield Season Odds and see if we can learn anything from our NFL picks and parlays for the season.
Watching 2023 Bucs highlights & holy hell 🔥👀
Love him or hate him Baker Mayfield was a menace in the pocket – extending many plays and creating yardage with his legs 🧑🍳 🏈
Proud to say the Bake show is my QB 🫡
Excited to see him behind this revamped OL in 2024. Let’s ride… pic.twitter.com/gCHezrRB7e
— Tampa Tones (@TampaTones) July 7, 2024
Career So Far
- Mayfield has played five full seasons as a starting quarterback during his seven-year NFL career. Last season he was 9th in total passing yards with 4,044 and seventh in passing touchdowns with 28.
He has amassed 20,332 total passing yards and 130 touchdowns over his career.
In his first four seasons in Cleveland, Mayfield would have crossed his current line of 3500.5 yards in three of his four seasons. In fact, in every season that Mayfield has played at least 14 games, he has reached the 3,500-yard mark in four of the five seasons.
- His touchdown pass history is not as successful. In his five seasons playing at least 14 games, he has thrown 27, 22, 27, 17, and 28 touchdowns. This would put him over his line of 22.5 in three of the five seasons.
The Bucs offense hasn’t gotten much worse on paper and Mayfield had 28 touchdowns last season with them. Both his yards and touchdown line are ripe for an over for those who believe last season wasn’t a flash in the pan.
Other Props
It is unlikely Mayfield will lead the league in passing yards or touchdowns. He also probably won’t win MVP. That being said, here are some of his odds for various NFL awards and achievements this season.
Mayfield has the 17th-longest odds to throw the most passing touchdowns at +3200 (last season he was seventh). He is the 21st longest to throw for the most passing yards at +3700.
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | +500 |
| Josh Allen | +800 |
| C.J. Stroud | +1000 |
| Joe Burrow | +1000 |
| Lamar Jackson | +1400 |
| Jordan Love | +1400 |
| Jalen Hurts | +1400 |
| Brock Purdy | +1600 |
| Dak Prescott | +2000 |
| Justin Herbert | +2000 |
| Jared Goff | +2500 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +2500 |
| Matthew Stafford | +3000 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | +3000 |
| Trevor Lawrence | +3000 |
| Kirk Cousins | +4000 |
| Anthony Richardson | +4000 |
| Kyler Murray | +5000 |
| Christian McCaffrey | +5000 |
| Caleb Williams | +7500 |
| Deshaun Watson | +7500 |
| Baker Mayfield | +7500 |
Was it a Flash in the Pan?
Many Mayfield believers probably think the 2024 Baker Mayfield season odds are too low. The Bucs offense hasn’t gotten much worse on paper and Mayfield had over 4,000 passing yards and 28 touchdowns last season with them.
Both his yards and touchdown line are ripe for an over for those who believe last season wasn’t a flash in the pan.
Here are some fun team props for Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers:
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Score 1+ Touchdown in Every Regular Season Game | +200 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Beat New Orleans Saints On the Road and at Home in the Regular Season | +220 |
| Baker Mayfield to Score 5+ Rushing Touchdowns in the Regular Season | +850 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Score 1+ Passing Touchdown in Every Regular Season Game | +1500 |
| Baker Mayfield to Throw 40+ Passing Touchdowns in the Regular Season | +1900 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be 6-0 in NFC South Regular Season Games | +2600 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Score 1+ TD & 1+ FG in Every Regular Season Game | +5000 |
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