Can Saquon Barkley Outrun the Oddsmakers on His New Team?
2024 Saquon Barkley Season Odds, Predictions and More

The 2024 Saquon Barkley season odds are in and we are going to take a look at the NFL betting lines to see what chances he has of covering his props with the Eagles this season. Saquon’s rushing props for next season opened with an over/under of 1000.5 yards and a touchdown total of 6.5. The odds have now shifted to 1025.5 for the over(-112)/under(-112) and the 6.5 touchdown total has gone from -110 for the over and the under to -130 for the over and +102 for the under.
Here are some regular season specials for Barkley as well:
Special | Odds |
---|---|
Saquon Barkley to Score 6+ Regular Season Rushing TDs | -200 |
Saquon Barkley to Record 1000+ Regular Season Rushing Yards | -115 |
Saquon Barkley to Score 8+ Regular Season Rushing TDs | -115 |
Saquon Barkley to Score 10+ Regular Season Rushing TDs | +240 |
Saquon Barkley to Record 1250+ Regular Season Rushing Yards | +380 |
Saquon Barkley to Record 500+ Regular Season Receiving Yards | +460 |
Saquon Barkley to Score 3+ Regular Season TDs vs the New York Giants | +500 |
Saquon Barkley to Score 12+ Regular Season Rushing TDs | +550 |
Saquon Barkley to Lead the NFL in Regular Season Rushing Yards | +1000 |
Saquon Barkley to Score 4+ Regular Season TDs vs the New York Giants | +1700 |
Saquon Barkley to Lead the NFL in Regular Season Rushing TDs | +2100 |
Let’s dive into the 2024 Saquon Barkley season odds and see what we can find to make some NFL predictions.
Learn From Last Year
Last season Saquon Barkley was the leading rusher for the New York Giants, and had mild success. Saquon Barkley shouldered a significant workload in 2023. He carried the ball on over half (54.4%) of the team’s rushing attempts (247 out of 454) and was responsible for 40% (10 out of 25) of their offensive touchdowns.
However, his efficiency wasn’t ideal. He averaged a modest 3.9 yards per carry, ranking 31st in the NFL, and his receiving yards per catch average (6.8) placed him at 126th. Despite a high volume of red zone carries (37, or 57.8% of the team’s total), his yards after contact remained low (453 yards, ranking 1595th in the NFL).
It’s worth noting that the Giants leaned heavily on the run game overall (46.7% run-pass ratio), which ranked 30th in the league in points scored. This likely impacted Barkley’s ability to put up explosive numbers.
Although Barkley had a somewhat disappointing season this year, he is now one season removed from his 1,312 yards on 295 carries rushing season in 2022. He also put in 10 touchdowns during that campaign.
New Team New Opportunities
Former Giants RB Saquon Barkley reached agreement with the Philadelphia Eagles on a three-year, $37.75 million contract that could be worth up to $46.75M and includes $26M fully guaranteed at signing, per sources.
Barkley now beats the franchise tag number and has a maximum… pic.twitter.com/d2TnEWhaQ0
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) March 11, 2024
Running back Saquon Barkley inked a three-year deal worth $37.75 million with the Philadelphia Eagles this offseason. The contract reportedly includes incentives that could push the total value to $46.75 million, with $26 million guaranteed. The Philadelphia Eagles standings from last season put them in second place in the NFC East, with a record of 11-6. Eagles fans are hoping with the addition of Barkley they can regain their spot as the number one team in the NFC East.
This move signifies a significant upgrade for both parties. Barkley, after six seasons with the New York Giants, lands in a potentially more favorable situation. The Eagles, meanwhile, solidify their backfield after D’Andre Swift’s departure.
While quarterback Jalen Hurts might take some short-yardage touchdowns, Barkley is likely to see a healthy number of carries and scoring opportunities. Although his rushing efficiency metrics weren’t ideal (ranking last in Rushing Net Expected Points per carry among backs with at least 200 carries), it’s important to consider the struggles of the Giants offensive line. A fresh start in Philadelphia could unlock Barkley’s full potential.
Heavy Workload Ahead
2024 Saquon Barkley season odds rushing props opened with an over/under of 1000.5 yards and a touchdown total of 6.5. The odds have now shifted to 1025.5 for the over(-112)/under(-112) and the 6.5 touchdown total has gone from -110 for the over and the under to -130 for the over and +102 for the under.
Eagle’s general manager Howie Roseman has mentioned that Barkley could see a heavy workload this season, and if his body holds up, that could mean big numbers for the veteran running back. The Eagles offense is surely going to put Barkley in the position to eclipse his rushing numbers from last season, and we like the over for his rushing touchdowns prop. Jalen Hurts will surely poach some of Barkley’s red zone opportunities, but we expect to see the Eagles pounding the ball in the run game and finding themselves in the red zone often next season.
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