New York Jets 2023 Future Odds

Jets Will Either Be Super Bowl Favorite or Train Wreck

The concept of “boom or bust” doesn’t even begin to describe the New York Jets’ upcoming season. When the team traded for four-time MVP Aaron Rodgers, the message was clear: they are swinging for the fences. A mere playoff appearance won’t cut it as the Super Bowl-starved franchise want to win it all. Thus, expect the 2023 New York Jets stats and odds to be significantly altered from 2022.

Jets logo New York Jets At A Glance

Odds to WinOpening OddsCurrent Odds
Super Bowl+2500+1600
Conference+1400+900
Division+500+225
Regular Season Win Total9.5 (o-145, u+125)9.5 (o-135, u+105)
To Make PlayoffsYes -150, No +125Yes -145, No +115

Jets: Zeroes or Heroes? No Middle Ground for This Team

The 2023 New York Jets are shooting for the stars. Thus, this team will either soar high or crash and burn. We’re talking about the season’s most popular team, which will now also have the pressure of being on HBO’s Hard Knocks.

The Jets will look to be the first featured team to win the Super Bowl. Their opening NFL lines pegged them at 25-1 to win it all. That puts them in the top eight thus it’s a realistic probability per the oddsmakers. And why not?

This team won seven games in 2022 and went over its 5.5 regular-season win total. In fact, it was even 7-4 at one point with Zach Wilson and Mike White as its quarterbacks. The Jets managed to beat the Bills and Rodgers’ Packers despite scoring the fourth-fewest points. The defense carried the team and finished fourth in both scoring and yardage.

By adding Rodgers, the consensus dictates that the Jets should be better. This is assuming a lot. Firstly, Rodgers must play like the all-time great he is supposed to be. He’ll need to overcome deficiencies from the offensive line. The Jets’ o-line was one of the worst in 2022 and the team did not make too many upgrades this offseason.

Rodgers could significantly improve the 2023 New York Jets stats on offense if he and the offense can gel. On top of that, the defense needs to maintain its ferocity, especially against more potent opponents. These are quite the challenges. But the Jets need to be up for it.

Super Bowl Odds: The First Superstar QB?

The Jets have not won a Super Bowl since 1969, which is coincidentally the last time the team had a “superstar” quarterback in Joe Namath. New York has managed to make some playoff runs with serviceable QBs and a strong defense. This time, the Jets may just have its best-ever team on paper.

This is if Rodgers can return to MVP form. The future Hall of Famer is coming off a subpar season by his standards. Rodgers’s 91.1 passer rating is his lowest since his first full season as a starter in 2008. And the Packers had a better offensive line than what the Jets have now.

If Rodgers can’t live up to expectations, it could all just go off the rails for the Jets and the 16-1 odds will look too short in hindsight.

Conference Odds: How Does Rodgers Compare?

The focus stays on Rodgers as he will have to outduel a quarterback-loaded conference. In his own division, he already has to outdo Josh Allen twice. Then he’ll have to get through Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, Joe Burrow and the Bengals, and others. This isn’t the NFC anymore where Rodgers was easily one of the two best quarterbacks.

Now, Rodgers may not even be in the top five. But that’s okay, as his team may have a better defense than most of the others. But at 9-1, the Jets are considered the fourth-likeliest winner of the AFC.

Division Odds: More Droughts to End

The Jets also haven’t won its division in 21 years. New York has had to settle with a Wild Card spot and win on the road. Getting to the Super Bowl is already tougher this way. While a lot has changed since New York still has to overcome two major hurdles in Buffalo and Bill Belichick.

New York at +225 to win the division is just slightly longer than Buffalo at +135. The Jets split the season series with the Bills last year but are just 6-3 against Allen. The team has also lost 14 straight games against Belichick’s Patriots and is just 10-37 against him. This is why the public has bet the team’s division wins to go under 3.5 games (-140).

Regular Season Wins: Nothing is Easy

The Jets may have the hardest 2023 NFL schedule. The team already plays in a hard division then adds the AFC West with the Super Bowl champions and the NFC East with the Super Bowl runner-ups. New York gets no breathers even at its start.

Buffalo arrives in the home opener in Week 1. Then the team travels to Arlington to face Dallas in Week 2. It then hosts the Chiefs in Week 4 and the Eagles in Week 6 just before a bye. But if the Jets can get to the break with a few wins, the schedules ease up a little.

Still, things can get bad real quick for the Jets and it may have to work its way from the bottom of the NFL team standings to start.

To Make Playoffs: Fading Down the Stretch

If the Jets find themselves in an early hole due to its schedule, can it dig itself out by finishing strong? Part of that answer lies with Rodgers. The 10-time Pro Bowler starts strong but fades towards the end. This applies to both his games and career.

In the season, Rodgers’ passer rating is 104.7 in the first half and it dips to 102.3 in the latter half. In the playoffs, Rodgers’ rating goes from 111.7 in the Wild Card Round to just 83.7 in the Conference Championship. And in games, Rodgers starts games with a 107.7 rating in the first but fades to 100.2 in the fourth.

The Jets are expected to make the playoffs at -145 so the team needs to start strong if Rodgers continues this career trend.

Side Bets: Breakout Watch for Wilson

While most of the pressure is on Rodgers, sophomore Garrett Wilson is also worth keeping an eye on. The 23-year-old won the Offensive Rookie of the Year award last season by hauling in 83 catches for 1,103 receiving yards and four touchdowns with subpar quarterback play.

Imagine what Wilson can do when Rodgers is throwing him the ball? As such, Wilson could blow up his 2023 New York Jets stats. He’s listed at 25-1 to lead the league in receiving yards and at 40-1 to lead in receptions. These may be worth some bets if Wilson and Rodgers quickly develop chemistry.

For NFL betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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