NFL Cheat Sheet: 2024 Jacksonville Jaguars Season Odds
Jags Look to Erase Memories of Last Year's Collapse

The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off a disappointing 9-8 season that saw the team lose five of its last six games and miss the playoffs. After its 8-3 start, the Jags sputtered down the stretch, losing outright as a favorite three times. That should serve as a motivating factor for this year’s Jaguars, who didn’t make a big splash in the offseason. The 2024 Jacksonville Jaguars season odds have seen the team fall below Houston in the various bet offerings for the upcoming year.
At A Glance
Odds to Win | Opening Odds | Current Odds |
Super Bowl | +3500 | +4000 |
Conference | +1800 | +2000 |
Division | +260 | +270 |
Regular Season Win Total | 8.5 (o-115, u-115) | 8.5 (o-125, u-105) |
To Make Playoffs | Yes -110, No -120 | Yes -105, No -125 |
Jags Hold Pat For the Most Part
The Jaguars didn’t panic after last year’s late implosion and held course for the most part. The team did make the questionable move of replacing defensive coordinator Mike Caldwell. The offense was a bigger problem than the defense last season. Jacksonville brought in Atlanta’s Ryan Nielsen to replace Caldwell.
The team’s leading receiver last season, Calvin Ridley, moved to Tennessee, but it’s hard to blame the Jags for not handing him a four-year, $92 million contract as the Titans did. Jacksonville did draft LSU’s Brian Thomas Jr. in the first round to pick up some slack at receiver.
The team had a few other moves that might help, but nothing that would turn the team’s fortunes around. The Jaguars might not be finished yet. The latest NFL news and rumors have the Jags eyeing receiver Hunter Renfrow, who played with Lawrence at Clemson. Renfrow had 103 receptions in 2021 but has fallen to 36 and 25 catches in the past two seasons.
Jacksonville doesn’t need a massive overhaul. The Jaguars need to play a little better and play for the entire season. The team signed Trevor Lawrence and Josh Allen to big contract extensions, which are probably the best moves Jacksonville could have made.
The Jaguars were unkind to those who bet over 9.5 wins last season. What looked like a sure thing two-thirds of the way through the year, turned out to be a last-week loss when the Jags fell to Tennessee in the final game of the year.
Super Bowl Odds: Jaguars Have Little Hope
Jacksonville was +2500 to win the Super Bowl last season and they’ve climbed to +4000 this year. One reason for that is the expected improvement of Houston this season. Another reason is the Jags look like a good team at best and an average team if things don’t go their way. Jacksonville hasn’t shown it can hang with the top dogs in the NFL just yet.
Conference Odds: Jacksonville Given Slim Chance
The Jaguars were +1400 to win the AFC last season, so the odds haven’t dropped all that much. The 2024 Jacksonville Jaguars season odds still indicate a team on the outside looking in. If the Jags had managed to win another game or two down the stretch last season, their odds could look a whole lot different this season.
Division Odds: Jaguars With a Decent Chance
The Jaguars were solid -150 favorites a year ago and the Texans were the longest shot on the board. Now the Texans are favored and the Jags are No. 2. Jacksonville has a fair chance and at +260 isn’t the worst of NFL picks you could bet in the preseason. The Jaguars should contend for the division title, although that’s different than winning it.
Regular Season Wins: Jags Capable of Nine Victories
The 2024 Jacksonville Jaguars season odds have the team needing just nine wins to go over the season total. The Jags should be able to accomplish that and flirt with double-digit wins this season. The first four weeks of the season are going to be rough. But after that, the schedule gets much easier. Jacksonville opens with Miami, Cleveland, Buffalo, and Houston. If Jacksonville can go 2-2 in those games, things look pretty good for the season. A 1-3 start isn’t ideal, although it’s possible. Even that isn’t the end of the season for the Jags.
The schedule is pretty much middle of the pack. The Jaguars are forecast as having the 14th-toughest schedule in the league based on last year’s NFL results. It’s slightly tougher than average, but that’s about it.
To Make Playoffs: Jaguars Given Roughly 50-50 Chance
The Jaguars are pretty much a toss-up to make the playoffs and that’s reflected in the betting odds. It’s a much different story than last season when the Jaguars were -200 to make the postseason. Again, the increase in odds for the Jags is also due to the predicted upward trend of the Houston Texans.
Side Bets
Most of the player-specific odds deal with Lawrence, who may be tied as the highest-paid player in the league, but he isn’t the best. In fairness, Lawrence battled some injuries last season and played when he should have sat. He still managed to throw for more than 4,000 yards and his over/under this season is 3,800.5 yards (under -125). Lawrence had just 21 TD passes last year and his total is 22.5 (under -135) this season.
Lawrence has a decent chance of going over the total in both provided he stays healthy. The offensive line will have something to say about his health. Signing Mitch Morse from Buffalo should help a little in that regard.
The over/under for receiving yards by Thomas is 750.5, which could be asking a lot from a rookie. The total on Thomas’ touchdown catches is 4.5 (over -125) and he has a decent chance of grabbing at least five TD passes this season.
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