NFL MVP Odds: Buffalo’s Josh Allen Ahead of Class

Quarterbacks Expected to Dominate NFL MVP Race

Can Buffalo’s Josh Allen Beat Out Former MVPs?

When the subject turns to the NFL MVP odds, it is good to be a quarterback. The top 13 players in the current MVP odds are quarterbacks. That makes sense since the last nine winners of the regular season MVP awards have been quarterbacks.

Four of those recent winners (Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers, Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes, Tampa Bay’s Tom Brady, and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson) are among the top candidates.

The top non-quarterbacks are running backs Derrick Henry of the Tennessee Titans and Jonathan Taylor of the Indianapolis Colts. The most eye-opening name on the list is Deshaun Watson of Cleveland who could be facing a lengthy suspension from the NFL.

Here’s a look at the top candidates in the 2022 NFL MVP race with the start of the regular season just two months away.

Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (+700 odds to win the MVP)

Allen finished second in the 2020 Associated Press voting for MVP when he threw for 4544 yards and 37 touchdowns. He threw a few more interceptions in 2021. The NFL MVP odds currently have Allen as the front-runner.

Buffalo continues to surround Allen with more receiving options so perhaps this is the year that he breaks through.

Allen is one of the reasons why the Bills come into the season as the favorite to win the Super Bowl.

Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+800 odds to win the MVP)

The ageless wonder briefly retired before having a change of heart.

Brady finished second in the Associated Press MVP voting in 2021 as a 44-year-old when he threw for a career-high 5316 yards. His 43 touchdowns were the most since he had 50 during his MVP season in 2007.

Right now, tight end Rob Gronkowski is retired and if it remains that way, Brady will look like the player he has the most on-field chemistry with. It will also be interesting to see how the offense looks with Bruce Arians no longer the head coach.

Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs (+800 odds to win the MVP)

Mahomes lost one of his top targets when receiver Tyreek Hill was traded to the Miami Dolphins. Without the speedy Hill on the field, the Chiefs may spread the ball around a little bit more. When it comes to the NFL MVP odds, Mahomes is always a good pick.

Mahomes won pretty much every award in 2018, his first season as the starter in Kansas City. After throwing 11 interceptions in 29 games during the 2019 and 2020 seasons, he had 13 in 17 contests a season ago.

Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers (+1000 odds to win the MVP)

His top receivers (Keenan Allen and Mike Williams) are back. The 2020 Rookie of the Year threw for more yards and touchdowns in 2021 but also had more interceptions.

The Chargers continue to tweak the roster with the hopes of breaking through and reaching the Super Bowl. It seems like more a case of when and not Herbert will win the MVP award.

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers (+1000 odds to win the MVP)

Another candidate losing a primary receiving option as Davante Adams was traded to the Las Vegas Raiders in the offseason. The chemistry between Rodgers and Adams was off the charts. Teams knew Adams was the No. 1, 2, and 3 option when Rodgers went back to pass and were powerless to do anything about it.

Rodgers was named the Most Valuable Player by the Associated Press following the 2020 and 2021 seasons. Former Green Bay quarterback Brett Favre is the only player to win the award three years in a row.

Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos (+1200 odds to win the MVP)

It is hard to know what to expect from Wilson now that he has been traded to the Denver Broncos. There are some talented young receivers (Courtland Sutton, Tim Patrick, Jerry Jeudy) to throw to but will they be as productive as Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf were in recent years when Wilson played for Seattle?

Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (+1400 odds to win the MVP)

The first former No. 1 overall NFL Draft pick to show up on this list, Burrow led the Bengals to the Super Bowl in his second season. It took no time for Burrow to reconnect with his former LSU teammate Ja’Marr Chase, who was the Offensive Rookie of the Year. Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd are other top receivers. Playing the first-place schedule will provide some challenges for Burrow and the Bengals.

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (+1400 odds to win the MVP)

Amari Cooper is gone, but CeeDee Lamb is ready to make that jump to become one of the elite receivers in the NFL.

Prescott bounced back after an injury-shortened 2020 season to post his second season with more than 4000 passing yards. There are questions about the offensive line in Dallas. If that unit holds up, he could be a player to watch in this race.

Best of the rest

Matthew Stafford is coming off a Super Bowl run with the Los Angeles Rams and he comes in at +1600 odds to win NFL MVP award.

It has been an offseason of discontent for Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray of Arizona. If they are in the right frame of mind, they could be factors in the MVP race. A key for Murray will be if star receiver DeAndre Hopkins can get his six-game suspension reduced. Baltimore will be relying on a young group of receivers to go with elite tight-end Mark Andrews.

The trades of receivers A.J. Brown to Philadelphia and Adams to Las Vegas have helped the MVP odds for their quarterbacks (Jalen Hurts and Derek Carr) jump to +2000.

Adrian Peterson is the last running back to be named MVP and that was a decade ago. Henry and Taylor each come in at +4000 in the current odds and they will have plenty of chances to move up the list.

The group at +5000 in the NFL MVP odds includes Watson, who may not even play a down in 2022, unproven San Francisco quarterback Trey Lance, veterans Kirk Cousins, and Matt Ryan as well as Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa.

San Francisco’s Deebo Samuel and Cooper Kupp of the Rams have the best odds (+8000) among the receivers.

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