Odds to Win Super Bowl LVIII: The Newly-Crowned Champion Kansas City Chiefs are Team to Beat

Can the Dallas Cowboys or Buffalo Bills Find a Way to Return to the Super Bowl

The Kansas City’s thrilling 38-35 win over the Philadelphia Eagles in the Super Bowl, brought an end to a memorable 2022 season, it is time to look ahead.

The last time the Chiefs won the NFL title, they did reach the Super Bowl the following season only to lose to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as they failed short in the bid to win consecutive titles.

The New England Patriots were the last team to win back-to-back titles, accomplishing that feat following the 2003 and 2004 season.

When looking at the odds to win Super Bowl LVIII, the Chiefs are listed as the favorites at +550 with the Buffalo Bills and the Eagles next at +750.

Going for a Repeat

The Chiefs have proven that they know how to prosper as the defending champion even if the roster looks much different going into the 2023 season than it did going into the 2020 campaign, Kansas City is in a good spot and that is reflected in the odds to win Super Bowl LVIII.

The Chiefs are under the salary cap. However, there is some work to do when it comes to bringing back players set to hit the free-agent market.

The first move has already been made with veteran reserve quarterback Chad Henne announcing his retirement.

The biggest names that Kansas City needs to deal with are offensive tackle Orlando Brown Jr. and receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster. Receiver Mecole Hardman and safety Juan Thornhill are younger players that the Chiefs would like to retain.

Chasing the Champions

This was supposed to be “the year” for the Buffalo Bills. Once again, they fell short as the Bills once failed to reach the Super Bowl.

Most of the players on the 2022 Buffalo roster were not born the last time the Bills played for the NFL championship. That came on Jan. 30, 1994 with a 30-13 loss to Dallas as the Bills lost their fourth straight Super Bowl.

The Bills are the No. 2 pick among AFC teams, however, there is some work to do when it comes to managing the salary cap.

According to spottrac.com, the Bills have 21 unrestricted free agents while being $10 million over the cap. Leading rusher Devin Singletary, top tackler Tremaine Edmunds and offensive lineman Rodger Saffold are among the bigger names.

The Cincinnati Bengals have a pretty young nucleus and as a result have the sixth-most money to spend at the current time.

Germaine Pratt, Vonn Bell and Jessie Bates, three of Cincinnati’s top four tacklers, are all under the age of 30 and the Bengals figure to keep them on the roster.

There have been rumblings about receiver Tee Higgins being available for trade so that is worth watching.

The Bengals are currently at +900 in the odds to win Super Bowl LVIII.

Leading the NFC

Twelve different teams have represented the NFC in the last 17 Super Bowls with the Eagles, Los Angeles Rams, Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers and New York Giants getting there twice.

When looking at the current odds to win Super Bowl LVIII, the top NFC candidates are the Eagles at +750, the 49ers at +800 and Dallas Cowboys at +1200.

The Eagles are in better shape to repeat than the Los Angeles Rams as they didn’t make the playoffs after winning the Super Bowl.

There are some pretty big names among Philadelphia’s unrestricted free agents. Defensive linemen Fletcher Cox, Robert Quinn, Brandon Graham and Javon Hargrave, offensive linemen Jason Kelce and Isaac Seumalo, cornerback James Bradberry and the top two tacklers (T.J. Edwards and Kyzir White) lead the list. The Eagles are close to the salary cap number so this will be an interesting offseason.

San Francisco seems almost certain to move on from quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. Many of the other unrestricted free agents could be replaced.

Offensive tackle Mike McGlinchey and defensive end Samson Ebukam should be at the top of the list of the players San Francisco would like to retain.

It might surprise some to realize that the Cowboys have the seventh youngest roster in terms of players currently under contract. The biggest contract among the unrestricted free agents is Dalton Schultz and that is certainly a player the Cowboys could move on from.

It always seems to be “wait ’til next year” for the Cowboys so let’s see if next year is truly the year for Dallas to return to the Super Bowl.

The Dark-Horse Candidates

At this time last year, neither the New York Giants nor Jacksonville Jaguars were considered to be playoff contenders. They both defied the odds by reaching the postseason.

The Giants have the youngest roster in the NFL and plenty of cap space to work with so they are probably a bit undervalued at +4000 when looking at the Super Bowl odds.

The Jaguars come in at +2800 and they are not in a good place when it comes to the salary cap. Bringing back tight end Evan Engram and receiver Marvin Jones would seem to be at the top of the team’s wish list.

The Detroit Lions are suddenly a franchise to be taken seriously. Even though this was the sixth season in a row when the Lions failed to make it to the playoffs, they were right there until the final week of the season. The NFL future odds list the Lions at +3300 to win the Super Bowl.

Only the Giants have a younger roster of players under contract than the Lions. All the unsigned free agents are under the age of 30 led by receiver DJ Chark and leading tackler Alex Anzalone.

Things could be interesting in the AFC with the Los Angeles Chargers (+2200), New York Jets (+2500), Baltimore Ravens (+2500), Denver Broncos (+2800) and Miami Dolphins (+3300) teams to keep an eye on.

The Ravens are in the best shape from a salary-cap standpoint.

Uncertainty surrounding quarterback and former MVP Lamar Jackson’s future with the team could impact those odds. The Jets are being rumored as a potential landing spot for quarterback Aaron Rodgers. It would take some contract reshuffling for that to happen while the Dolphins and Chargers have serious salary cap issues.

Speaking of contract nightmares, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints rank at the bottom of the NFL when it comes to being in salary-cap jail. That is a major reason why they both are priced at +5000 in the championship odds.

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