Packers vs Bills Betting Odds Preview: Last week, the Packer’s defensive front was lit up for 166 yards on the ground against the Commanders. History tells us that this is a terrific bounce-back spot. The Pack allows just under 140 yards on the ground in 2022 but is 131-96 ATS (57.71%) when giving up an average of 135 yards or more. Since 2019, Buffalo is 14-8-3 against NFL teams under .500. This is just the fifth meeting since 2006.
Game: Green Bay Packers (3-4) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-1)
Date, time (TV):
Location: Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, New York
Green Bay Still Optimistic About Playoff Chances
With the better half of the season remaining it’s easy to see why Aaron Rodgers is still hopeful that Green Bay will find its way into the postseason. With the NFL injury report week 8 still reporting Rodgers as questionable with a right thumb injury, his prediction is predicated on the health of the 18-year veteran.
The NFL point spreads on this one shows that oddsmakers are convinced that the Bills are clearly the better team after this number was pushed up to Bills -10.5 after opening at -4.5 in the Summer. This is the middle chance that bettors dream of. Green Bay has never won in Buffalo (0-6) and is the only franchise that the green and gold haven’t beaten on the road.
It wouldn’t be too far of a reach to say that Rodgers is missing his top target Davante Adams who is now catching passes from Derek Carr in Las Vegas. As we continue our Packers vs Bills betting odds preview, perhaps there’s a sharper way to bet this game to avoid what looks to be a solid spread number.
Bills Coming off Bye Week, Fully Loaded for Pack
Although lengthy as are most teams; the week injury report doesn’t list quarterback Josh Allen as he and his team are coming off a needed bye week. Bills Safety Micah Hyde will be on the sidelines after suffering a neck injury in September, but outside of that, the Super Bowl contenders will be at full strength.
The week off couldn’t have come at a better time after avenging a postseason loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in week six. If they had to come back home the following week to face the Packers the handicap may have been different. This is just the fourth time since their Super Bowl appearance in 1993 that the team has started off 5-1.
Buffalo has faced a blitz on over 35% of their pass attempts this season despite Allen continuously burning teams as he did against Kansas City.
Since Allen joined the team in 2018, Buffalo is 40-27 ATS (1019 units) tops in the NFL. It will be interesting to see how Green Bay’s defensive coordinator attacks the Bills with most choosing to put pressure on Allen. Buffalo has faced a blitz on over 35% of their pass attempts this season despite Allen continuously burning teams as he did against Kansas City. We anticipate that both teams will take a bend but don’t break the defensive approach to avoid getting stung with a big play.
Public Likes The Packers With the Big Number
We get that it’s still a future hall-of-fame quarterback behind center in Green Bay, but it’s difficult to be motivated with a straight wager on either team because the number seems to be solid. Our power rankings indicated that 10 was in the right spot. At 10.5 there isn’t much value to be had.
To conclude our Packers vs Bills betting odds preview we’d like to jump over to the total. The weather forecast calls for temperatures to be in the high 30s with some rain scheduled to come in the following day. The combination of the Packers offense still trying to find themselves and the anticipation of both defenses concerned about the big plays, we think it will be a methodical passing effort from both mixed in with a solid dose of the ground game.
Buffalo is not a blitzing team, even in passing situations, allowing them to be more effective against the run. We recommend betting the under 37.5 but get it now because the money has poured in on the under forcing it down half a point. For bettors, every half-point counts so jump on this number now before we find out that the expected rain is coming early.Follow us on Twitter
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