Packers vs Cowboys Odds: Dallas Big Favorites

Cowboys Unbeaten at Home This Season

The Green Bay Packers will try to become the first team to knock off the Cowboys in Dallas this NFL season. The Cowboys are pretty average on the road. But you can’t argue with their 8-0 record at AT&T Stadium, where they won games by an average margin of 21.5 points. The Packers haven’t been world-beaters away from Lambeau Field, going 4-5 on the road this season. So it isn’t a big surprise to see the Packers vs Cowboys odds show Dallas as 7.5-point favorites and -375 favorites on the moneyline.

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The Cowboys opened as 7-point favorites, but that half-point move is pretty significant. Dallas is being asked to win by two NFL scores to cover the spread. The total has moved from 48.5 to 51.

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Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Streaming: Watch Live Sports

Packers Come Up Big Down Stretch

Green Bay isn’t a great team, but it did what needed to be done to advance to the NFL Wild Card Playoffs. The Packers won their final three games of the season when it counted most.

Green Bay and Tampa Bay are the only teams to make the playoffs with 9-8 NFL records. Still, you have to give the Packers credit for doing what needed to be done to reach the postseason.

As their 9-8 record would indicate, the Packers are a little better than average in most areas. Green Bay averaged 22.5 points per game against teams, allowing 21.7 points. The Packers rushed for 112.1 yards per game and 4.3 yards per carry.

Their foes allowed 4.1 yards per rush, so the Pack was better than average running the football. Jordan Love threw for 233.4 yards per game and 6.8 yards per pass attempt against NFL teams that allowed 6.6 yards per pass. So again, Green Bay was a bit better than average, but not much.

It was more of the same on defense, where Green Bay allowed 20.6 points to teams averaging 20.8. The Packers allowed 4.4 yards per run to teams averaging 4.1 yards, so Green Bay is a little worse than average there. Green Bay did allow some passing yards, but did a fair job keeping teams out of the end zone.

Dallas Gets a Little Help From Eagles

The Cowboys appeared headed for a wild card berth. But the Eagles were busy playing horrible football, losing four of their last five games. That allowed Dallas to upend the NFL playoff picture bracket and sneak in as division champions. That keeps the Cowboys at home to open the playoffs, which is where they’re at their best.

Dallas was solid offensively, averaging 29.9 points per game against teams who allowed 23.8 points a contest. The Cowboys were a little below average running the ball, gaining 4.1 yards per rush against teams, allowing 4.3 yards a carry. But Dak Prescott was solid through the air.

Dallas averaged 258.6 passing yards per game and 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The Cowboys’ opponents allowed 6.6 yards per attempt and 226 yards per game.

The Cowboy offense gets most of the attention. But Dallas can play some defense. The Cowboys allowed 18.5 points per game to teams averaging 21.2 points. Dallas held teams averaging 4.4 yards per rush to 4.2 yards a carry. The pass defense was a little better, holding teams to 187.4 passing yards per game.

What to Expect

The Packers may want to try running the football a bit early on. Dallas is pretty solid against the run and pass. But the Cowboys are a little more challenging to throw against. The Packers won’t try to force Love to do too much in the early stages of the NFL game.

Dallas needs to come out and throw the football. They pay Prescott big money to throw the ball, and that’s what it does best. The Packers aren’t the best team at stopping the pass, so Dallas could take advantage of Green Bay’s secondary here.

Has Line Finished Moving?

The Packers vs Cowboys odds may not be finished moving. Dallas moved from 7-point favorites to 7.5-point favorites despite Green Bay getting the majority of the wagers. A move to Cowboys -8 wouldn’t be a huge shock. But it depends on how the wagers will come in the rest of the week.

The Packers vs Cowboys odds on the total may see another move. But the number is pretty much dialed in now. The public has been betting the over pretty well, and the sportsbooks have responded in turn. You can’t blame anybody for liking the over here. Green Bay was 7-2 in road totals. The Cowboys were 5-3 at home.

For NFL betting news, NFL odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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