Super Bowl Betting Line Moves: The Kansas City Boom

Money Keeps Coming in on the Chiefs

NFL Odds Moving Towards the Underdogs

Since the NFL betting lines opened, money has come in mostly on the Kansas City Chiefs. The 2020 Super Bowl champions opened as underdogs and remain as such, but the line has tightened considerably. Kansas City opened at +125 on the moneyline and was bet down to -105 at one point.

Now, it sits at +105 while the Philadelphia Eagles are at -125 as the Super Bowl betting line moves continue.

The Line Movements Thus Far

The point spread followed the same pattern. The Chiefs, who opened as +2.5 underdogs went down to as low as +1 with the juice on their line. Of course, Eagles backers did not wait long to adjust the lines. They bet the Eagles back to where the juice now sits on their -1 spread (-120).

Some books will have their spread back at -1.5 or have the juice at -125 on -1 depending on where you look.

Judging by the Super Bowl betting line moves, the spread is unlikely to go past the -2.5-point mark for the Eagles. Once it starts to hit that number, expect Chiefs backers to quickly bet that up.

Some books will put in teaser protection lines so with six points, you can tease Kansas City to +7.5.

Those also looking to catch the Chiefs’ NFL Superbowl moneyline at the lucrative +125 line may need to wait until the money comes in on the Eagles again. One way to track this, other than staying glued to the sportsbook and line movement trackers, is to watch any news regarding both teams’ rosters.

Boosting the Chiefs or Fading the Eagles?

We know the Super Bowl betting line moves have fluctuated between the Chiefs and the Eagles. But what could be behind this? For one, a lot is dependent on both teams’ quarterbacks.

Both Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts are not fully healthy. Mahomes hurt his ankle and has literally limped across the turf even as he led the Chiefs to a late win over the Cincinnati Bengals.

As for Hurts, he’s not listed on the Eagles’ NFL injury report. But he has not looked that great since returning from a shoulder injury two weeks ago. He’s thrown for just 275 total yards and 5.6 yards per attempt.

Against the San Francisco 49ers, he did not throw for a touchdown and was held to a 72.2 passer rating.

“I’m getting there. I’ve made it clear this whole time it’s something I’m dealing with,” Hurts said via Eliot Shorr-Parks of WIP.

Of course, even with Hurts’ pedestrian play, the Eagles routed both the New York Giants and 49ers. This team is still playing at a high level thanks to its potent rushing attack and defense.

As for the Chiefs, Mahomes continued to prove why he’s the best by outplaying Joe Burrow with plenty of help from Chris Jones and the defense.

Totals Going Up, Up, and Away

The total, on the other hand, is not going back and forth. It’s mostly just going up as it has now gone from an opener of 49 (or 49.5) to 50. Fans are expecting a high-scoring game and on Wednesday, some significant action even pushed the total to as high as 51 points.

Of course, buyback money pulled it back to where it sits now at 50 points.

Some shrewd bettors may look to recent history and bet on the under. When the total has been set at 50 or over, the under has hit on six of the seven times.

The only exception is Super Bowl LI in 2017 when the game went over the total of 57 thanks to overtime.

When the total is set between 45 and 50 points, the over sits at 6-2. The over hit in the last six times the total was set here, which could also explain why bettors have steamed the total to go over.

Another reason would be these teams’ offenses. Kansas City is the NFL’s highest-scoring team while the Eagles are third-most potent.

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