Super Bowl Path: Dallas Cowboys Future Betting Odds

The Dallas Cowboys enter the 2022-23 season as the defending NFC East champion. Given the state of the division, it’s no surprise the Dallas Cowboys’ future betting odds show them leading the divisional odds board again this preseason. Pointspreads takes a look at these odds and many more player totals in our Dallas Cowboys’ future betting-odds in the Pointspreads cheat sheet.

Dallas outperformed their projected win total of 9.5 games last season, ending with a 12-5 record. Their solid regular-season record — split 5-2 at home and 7-2 on the road — was unfortunately not enough for Cowboys fans, as Dallas’ postseason run came to an abrupt ending in the wild-card round to the San Francisco 49ers.

Currently, the Cowboys’ win total is set at 10 wins at most NFL future odds’ boards, down from 10.5 earlier in the offseason. This line move came after Jerry Jones and the front office traded Amari Cooper to the Cleveland Browns. On top of that, they released veteran offensive tackle La’el Collins, who started 71 games for the Cowboys over six seasons. The team also chose not to re-sign defensive end, Randy Gregory, when he became a free agent, who eventually signed with the Denver Broncos.

Dak Prescott Proved He’s Healthy

Dak Prescott

• Passing Yards: 4400.5
• Touchdowns: 30.5
• Interceptions: 10.5

Going into the 2021-22 season, there were legitimate concerns about Prescott. He had suffered a gruesome leg injury the season before and whether or not he would be the same player upon his return. He put those concerns to rest by setting career-high marks in touchdown passes (37) and completion percentage (68.8%). However, his rushing total of 146 yards was the lowest of his career, excluding the five-game 2020 season. He also had just one rushing touchdown. It’s possible Dak continues to improve.

Currently, Prescott is tabbed at 4400.5 passing yards for the upcoming season. He finished with 4,449 passing yards last season, good enough for the second-best mark of his career, and that’s while missing a start. Will this be the new norm for Dak after the dip in his rushing numbers? Before last season, he had only hit that mark in one of his first four full seasons.

He’s also tabbed at 30.5 touchdowns — again, a number he had only hit in one of his first four full seasons. In each of his first three seasons, Prescott finished with six rushing touchdowns. It took his rushing touchdown total to hit a career-low to get his career-best mark in passing touchdowns, so this too could be the new trend.

If he’s rushing less and throwing more, there will be more opportunities for interceptions. But even with the decrease in rushing attempts, he still kept his interception percentage at 1.7% and gave away only 10 on the year.

Prescott comes in sixth place on the overall odds board to clinch the most regular-season passing yards at +900. He finished seventh in the league in passing yards in 2021-22 but did miss a start, while the rest of the players in the top five missed no starts at all.

Cowboys Face Choices with Loaded Backfield

Ezekiel Elliott is far from the league-leading rusher we saw when he first came into the league. With Tony Pollard proving to provide an impact in certain ways Elliott hasn’t provided, Jerry Jones and head coach Mike McCarthy will have choices to make when it comes to the backfield this season.

Will Zeke’s Workload Continue to Shrink?

Ezekiel Elliott

• Rushing Yards: 875.5
• Rushing Touchdowns: 8.5

It’s both safe and unfortunate to say, but Ezekiel Elliott likely will never be the guy we saw early in his career. The 300-carry seasons seem to have caught up to him. While he topped the 1,000-yard mark for the fourth time, his workload has gone down every season since 2019.

If you take his average yards per attempt over the last two seasons and divide it by the figure of 875, you would get 213.5. Round it up to 214 and that’s still almost a 10% drop off in workload. If he does indeed end up with less than the mark above, it would be the lowest rushing total of his career by over 100 yards.

Meanwhile, his touchdown mark is still set reasonably high at 8.5. Elliott has gone over this mark in three of his six seasons with the Cowboys; however, one of those seasons he didn’t hit the mark was his sophomore campaign in which he was limited to 10 games and still scored seven touchdowns. Even if the Cowboys start to give more every-down work to other members of the backfield, Elliott will still likely be the guy who handles the rock around the goal line. Considering it’s not juiced to either side makes it look like this number is right on the money.

Should Pollard Get More Touches?

Tony Pollard

• Rushing Yards: 700.5 (-130u)
• Rushing Touchdowns: 3.5 (-130o)

In his third season out of Memphis, Tony Pollard showed some electric flashes. He made his living in college as both a traditional running back and returning kicks. He’s also shown more bursts than Elliott at this point, as well as incredible top speed. He finished with 719 rushing yards a season ago and could be in line for more. Assuming Elliott’s numbers continue to trend downward, particularly in the carries department, there’s almost no reason Pollard couldn’t go over this total, particularly if he’s the one benefiting from more carries.

Pollard had a great stretch in the early part of last season. From Week 2 through Week 5, Pollard was averaging 6.48 yards per carrying, which included a 13-carry 109-yard performance against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 2.

Despite Pollard’s rushing total being juiced to the under, his mark of 3.5 touchdowns is juiced to the over. Pollard will likely get more work this season, but Elliott will remain the goal-line back. A majority of Pollard’s touchdowns will likely come on big runs.

Who Steps Up in the Receiving Game?

During his time with the Cowboys, Amari Cooper proved to be Prescott’s favorite target. He had back-to-back seasons with over 1,100 receiving yards going into last season. Last season was just the second time in his career he failed to register a 1,000-yard season — finishing with 865. Still, there are that many yards and 68 receptions, and eight touchdowns to be replaced.

Can Lamb Be a True No. 1?

CeeDee Lamb

• Receptions: 90.5
• Receiving Yards: 1200.5
• Receiving Touchdowns: 7.5 (-125o)

Jerry Jones and the Dallas Cowboys surprised many when they selected CeeDee Lamb with their first-round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft in the face of more glaring team needs. The decision has proven to be a good one though, as Lamb registered the first 1,000-yard receiving season of his career after netting 935 as a rookie.

While he had all the tools to be a number-one receiver, he did benefit from having Cooper that defenses had to account for. Last season, however, Lamb became the arguable top option on the team as he surpassed Cooper in receptions and yards. His career high for receptions in a season was 79, set last year. With all of Cooper’s production up in the air to be split from Dallas’ current options, it’s not out of the question to think Lamb can hit that mark now that he’s the true A-receiver in Dallas.

As for his yards, we saw a close to 15% increase from his rookie season to his sophomore campaign. He would only need an 8.2% jump from his receiving yard total this season to hit the over on 1200.5 next season.

Lamb is posted at +4000 to win Offensive Player of the Year and is tied for the fourth-best odds to lead the league in receiving yards at +1400.

Is Dalton Schultz Elite?

Dalton Schultz

• Receptions: 74.5 (-125o)
• Receiving Yards: 725.5 (-120u)
• Receiving Touchdowns: 5.5 (-130o)

Dalton Schultz burst onto the scene for the Cowboys last season. He was just one reception off the Dallas Cowboys’ stats and outpaced Cooper in that respect. Schultz finished third among all tight ends last season with 78 receptions, so his mark of 74.5 suggests he’ll repeat last year’s performance.

His 808 yards were sixth-most among tight ends. With Cooper’s yards and touchdowns needing to go to someone else, Schultz is in prime position to hit the over 725.5 yards again, but tight ends from year to year can fluctuate.

His eight touchdowns were the fifth-most in the league. (Four tight ends tied for first, with nine.) Even with a hypothetical regression, he’s still proven to be one of Prescott’s favorite red-zone targets and should be in a good spot to hit the over 5.5 touchdowns — even if he doesn’t quite live up to what he did this past season.

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