Super Bowl Path: Las Vegas Raiders Future Betting Odds
Raiders Return to Postseason Leans Heavily on The Offensive Line
The Las Vegas Raiders head into their third season in Vegas with hopes of building on their 2021 playoff appearance, one that resulted in a loss to the AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals, 26-19, in the wild-card round. It was their first trip to the postseason since 2016. The hope in 2002 is to have an impactful season on the field, but a quiet one away from Allegiant Stadium. Let’s take a look at the Las Vegas Raiders future betting odds.
The Raiders won 5 of their last 7 regular season games, including four straight to end the year.
Las Vegas has to find a way to win the games they’re supposed to. In their two years in the Entertainment Capital of the World, the Raiders are just 4-12 ATS as a favorite (-819 units on a $100 bet). In 2021, the Raiders dropped all five games as a favorite ATS (-500). As a dog, Vegas is 20-13 (563 units), and was just 4-6 ATS, 0-3 ATS on the road. Take a look at the PointSpreads page, keep updated with the NFL news. What do the Las Vegas Raiders stats tell us?
The Raiders’ season win total is set at 8.5, many feel as if they will struggle to make the postseason in 2022 because of the question marks they have to address, starting with the offensive line. Head Coach Josh McDaniel and General Manager David Ziegler will head into their first season together, trying to settle down a staff that saw the dismissal of Jon Gruden for sending offensive emails’ to Washington Football Teams’ GM George Allen and Mark Mayock after just three seasons. Las Vegas has also hired a new team president Sandra Douglass Morgan who replaced Dan Ventrelle.
Carr Can’t Wait to Unleash Beefed Up Offense
Derek Carr
- Passing Yards: 4500.5 (over -115)
- Touchdowns: 30.5 (under -115)
- Interceptions: 12.5
Last season, Carr threw for 4,804 yards in 2021 but Josh McDaniel would rather see his quarterback not have to average 283 passing yards a game. The Raiders will make the playoffs if Carr is around the 250 mark like we saw at the end of 2021. The Silver and Black won their last four games of the season with Carr averaging just under 220 passing yards per game. To go over the 4500.5 total, Carr would have to average 265 per game. Anticipate the under-cashing because there are too many questions surrounding the OL which means there are also questions about whether Carr will be healthy all season.
Only once in his career has Carr finished with over 30.5 touchdowns, but with the addition of Davante Adams, the bookmakers anticipate that his number will rival what Carr put up in 2015 when he had 32 touchdowns. Anticipate Carr going over this number, not just because of Adams, but because of the many red zone weapons that he will have.
Expect Carr to bounce back to his 2019/2020 form where his interception totals settled in the single digits. The Raiders’ most recent offensive additions will allow Carr to consistently find open receivers when going through his progression. Again, it goes back to the play of the offensive line which will likely force Carr to find TE Darren Waller and slot receiver Hunter Renfrow more often than Adams. There are some that think that Carr’s 20-1 NFL MVP odds could be in play. It’s a safer wager to think that Carr’s ability to lead the Raiders on an 80-yard drive rides on the OL and running game, but you can count on a statistically efficient season from Carr.
Waller Seeking New Deal, Is He Ready?
TE Darren Waller is considered one of the top three NFL players at his position but his current salary pays him as just the 11th best. Waller will eventually be paid in the $11 million dollar range but his focus is winning with an offense that’s expected to be one of the best in the league.
Darren Waller
- Receptions: 71.5 (over -135)
- Touchdown Receptions:: 5.5 (over -140)
- Receiving Yards: 900.5 (over -115)
Waller played in just 11 games last season after suffering an ankle injury forcing him to miss week seven against Philadelphia and a grade one knee sprain against Dallas in late November. It’s safe to assume that Waller will at least miss a few games this season based on his career. That must be taken into account when betting on a Waller prop.
In his 10 games where he was considered to be healthy, Waller was targeted 8.7 times per game. With the addition of Adams, you must ask yourself whether you believe his targets will be enough to get him over the 71.5 prop total. We suggest that Waller will go over the 71.5 reception total both he and Renfrow will likely see a lot of single coverage. Never underestimate a player who is looking to get paid.
Health is the major reason why this may not be the most attractive money-making opportunity on the Raider prop board but the over 5.5 touchdowns look to be the winning selection if you’re willing to give up -140.
Adams, Carr to Rekindle Bulldog Magic
Davante Adams
- Receptions: 99.5 (-115o)
- Receiving Touchdowns: 10.5 (-115o)
- Receiving Yards: 1200.5 (-115o)
Davante Adams was offered similar money to stay in Green Bay, but the 9-year veteran decided he would rather make a move to Las Vegas after Aaron Rogers failed to make up his mind as to whether he was returning in time.
Let’s take a look at his player props and what we anticipate from Adams in 2022.
To hit over 99.5, Adams would have to average almost seven receptions per game. Last season, Aaron Rodgers threw to Adams 31% of the time, good for 123 receptions, but that percentage will more than likely go down with the Raiders’ skill position power. Adams has averaged over 1400 yards receiving over his last two seasons, but it’s best to suggest that maybe a prop bet on Adams might be best to pass on. There is too much uncertainty about his role and how it will mesh with this dynamic offense despite the fact that over 1200.5 yards might be too good to pass up for some.
Renfrow The Key to Raiders Offense
It seems that every player prop preview comes down to the Raiders’ offensive line, but once again, it does. Hunter Renfrow is one of the best slot receivers in the NFL because of his ability to get open quickly. That’s music to the ears of Carr who wants to get the ball out of his hand as quickly as possible until his confidence with his OL grows.
Hunter Renfrow
- Receptions: 77.5
- Receiving Yards: 825.5 (-115o)
- Receiving Touchdowns: 5.5 (-125o)
If protection breaks down for Carr there will be two players that he’ll rely on to move the offense and that’s Hunter Renfrow along with Darren Waller.
The 4th-year veteran won’t be allowed to order an UBER for his teammates anytime soon but will be relied on to be a consistent contributor. If the Raiders can find a third receiver, Renfro’s numbers will go over most of his prop projections. Renfrow finished 2021 with 103 receptions in 17 games, making his 77.5 reception prop appear enticing. So much of the success of all the players is directly related to one another.
Each prop shows diluted numbers for the season before but it’s Renfrow’s props that may provide us with the best chance to find success. Every quarterback has their favorite receiver with Renfrow likely filling that role once again for Carr. There is little doubt that Renfrow will go over the 5.5 touchdown total. Last season the former Clemson Tiger had a career-high nine touchdowns to go with 1,038 yards receiving. His strength lies in his short yardage quickness to coincide with his route running. Renfrow gets out of his breaks quickly and is a receiver that doesn’t require passes to be perfect to make a reception. Add in his ability to be a big-time third-down target, and Renfrow can be counted on to have a huge season.
Running Game Will Determine Raiders Run at Postseason Berth
Josh Jacobs
- Rushing Yards: 750.0 (-115o)
- Rushing Touchdowns: 7.5 (-115o)
Talk about a motivated running back. Josh Jacobs fits that moniker, as well as anyone on Vegas after his 5th year on his contract, was not picked up, meaning that this season is his chance to prove that the Raiders should keep him in their long-term plans.The word from camp is, that Jacob’s first step and speed are explosive, a fact that was backed up by his early performance in this year’s Hall of Fame Game.
Jacob’s touches decreased in 2021 by 11.4% but that didn’t put a damper on his production with 1,120 total yards. He had a career-best in receptions (54) and receiving yards (348). Despite those numbers, he must finally be a big-play back that would solidify the Raiders’ offense as one of the best. Only four times last year did he have runs over 20 yards, averaging just four yards per rush. Looks for Jacobs to go over the 750-yard mark but under 7.5 touchdowns. Be sure to stay focused on the preseason odds as well as any breaking news that you can find right here, along with the Las Vegas Raiders future betting odds.
