Super Bowl Scoring Props Preview

Tons of Offensive Prop Bets, Tons of Defensive Prop Bets as Well

Super Bowl scoring props have become big business when it comes to big-game betting. Last year, $8 billion dollars was wagered on the Super Bowl and it’s expected to be even bigger over the next two years with games in Glendale and Las Vegas where sports wagering is legal. With a definitive emphasis on individual prop wagers, we wanted to provide some insight on bets that will give you an edge when it comes to some of the NFL’s best defensive players. Many are focused on betting on the Super Bowl moneyline, spread, or total, we suggest that defensive props can be just as profitable. Let’s continue our Super Bowl prop betting series with a focus on scoring plays.

Will There Be a Defensive or Special Team TD?

YESNO
+250-350

The number on a few of these defensive props puts the player in a difficult situation. The likeness of a defensive touchdown is small, so if you were to get involved with this prop you would have to lay too large of a number to get on the right side or cross your fingers betting the other way.

The clearest way bettors will cash a +250 ticket is a pick-six. The Philadelphia Eagles have the top defensive unit against the pass, but unless the Kansas City Chiefs are playing catch-up, we don’t see them being a factor. To break it down further, Andy Reid’s team had just 11 interceptions all season while Nick Sirianni’s Eagles had 17. That equates to the bettors having one chance for a pick-six when an interception occurs. Neither team has had a special teams touchdown this season, making it easy to understand why the books are being generous with their +250 number. The ‘no’ is the side but not at that price.

Will There Be a Two-Point Conversion?

YESNO
+280-380

Here’s a NFL prop that we might be able to sink our teeth into. At +280, a 2-point conversion provides a chance to get involved with something that has a real chance of happening. First, two-point conversion attempts are successful over 48% of the time, giving players a legit chance to cash out if there is an attempt. Second, you have two mobile quarterbacks who will test the defense more than teams with a pure drop-back passer. Bettors also have the element of surprise to play with, especially with Reid who likes to do unconventional things to set the tone of a game or to shake things up. We think the ‘yes’ has a decent chance of bringing home a winner.

Will There Be a Safety?

YESNO
+750-1600

The number writes our opinion by itself. We’re never going to recommend a -1600 wager, so the only option is to pass or to put a small amount of money on the ‘yes’ for fun. For the record, there were just 13 safeties this season, with the Bills and Lions accounting for four of them. Kansas City had one and the Eagles had none. We all remember the last time there was safety, that was nine years ago when the Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks cashed a ‘yes’ bet on the first play from scrimmage. That only paid +200, but that single play pushed books to set a more inviting plus money as the seasons went on. There have been nine safeties in Super Bowl history but if you do the math, that means bettors have a slightly better than 16% chance to win big. With so many other options, it’s a fun, small wager on the plus money or nothing at all.

Will There Be an Interception Returned for a TD?

YESNO
+700-1800

Earlier we stated that it wouldn’t be likely that there wouldn’t be a pick-six and we don’t feel any different here. The books are trying to lure you into props that simply won’t happen in an effort to gain an edge even bigger edge. Neither Patrick Mahomes nor Jalen Hurts has not thrown an interception that resulted in a touchdown all season long and it’s not happening here either. Don’t throw your cash away.

That does it for a look at the Super Bowl defensive scoring props. Get behind the 2-point conversion prop while viewing any of the others as just fun, maybe I’ll get a lucky bet.

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WHO WILL WIN?

March Madness
gonzaga
Gonzaga
Purdue
Purdue
Friday, March 29, 2024
50%
50%
March Madness
creighton
Creighton
Tennessee
Tennessee
Friday, March 29, 2024
50%
50%
Serie A
napoli
Napoli
Atalanta
Atalanta
Saturday, March 30, 2024
50%
50%
Bundesliga
bayern munich
Bayern Munich
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Saturday, March 30, 2024
50%
50%
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