Titans vs. Chiefs Betting Preview: A quick look at the NFL Injury report will show why two teams who seem to be on similar paths are far apart according to the oddsmakers. Titans Quarterback Ryan Tannehill, RB Derrick Henry, and DT Jeffery Simmons all were held out of practice on Thursday, a move that is being downplayed by the team.
Betting on Sunday Night Football has proven to be a home teams wager through the years, but with the Chiefs as a 12-point favorite, it may be a sharper wager to look at the total.
Game: Tennessee Titans (5-2) vs Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Mo
Day/Time: Sunday, 8:20 pm ET / 5:20 pm PT
Titans Hope History is On Their Side Again
Tennessee hopes their good fortune in Arrowhead continues, Sunday, as they try to extend their streak against Kansas City to five straight regular season games. Not only have the Titans had the Chiefs number, per se, but overall, they’ve won four of the last five meetings at Arrowhead.
Despite that success, the taste of their 2020 playoff loss likely still resonates in their minds. That loss sent the Chiefs to the Super Bowl where they would beat the San Francisco 49ers for their first championship in 50 years.
The season started off with consecutive losses to the New York Giants and Buffalo Bills, but since, Mike Vrabel’s team has rattled off five straight wins, with two of those as underdogs against Las Vegas (+2) and Indianapolis (+4.5). This is their second true test of the season after failing their first one miserably against the Buffalo Bills (41-7) in week two as a 10-point underdog.
The team has said that the reason Henry was out of practice Thursday was nothing more than a maintenance day, while Ryan Tannehill is battling an ankle injury. Both will likely play but for the NFL’s 32nd-ranked offense, it’s never good to have key players listed on the injury report. Let’s continue our Titans vs Chiefs betting preview by diving into Andy Reid’s club.
Mahomes, Chiefs Carrying Chip On Shoulder
When NFL betting there are two things that are important but often overlooked. First, where is the overall team state of mind, second, watch as many press conferences as possible. If you’ve done the latter you know that QB Patrick Mahomes is as focused on the Titans as he has ever been against any opponent. His words are often carefully measured but you could tell that the Titans give the 6th-year pro some extra pep in his step. He referenced the Titan’s 27-3 win last season when Mahomes completed just 57% of his passes.
From a betting perspective, there are still a few things for the Chiefs to iron out before we should consider laying 12-points.
The loss may have sent his club to their fourth loss in their first seven games to start the season, but it also was the catalyst for the club winning 9 of their last 10 to finish 12-5. From a betting perspective, there are still a few things for the Chiefs to iron out before we should consider laying 12-points.
They have failed to cover five straight conference games and have dropped four straight at-home ATS. They still haven’t found the peak consistency that allowed players to bet them blindly for much of the second half last season. As we continue our Titans vs Chiefs betting preview, let’s consider a sharper betting option.
Public on Kansas City, Divided on Total
We prefer to take a less-than-bold stance on the side, but the public has spoken with 62% of the money coming in on Kansas City. There is plenty of wiggle room before the books hit the key number of 13, so anticipate the Chiefs money to continue rolling in until there is clarity on the health of Tannehill and Henry.
The total is where the public and the pros clash. Professional money is on the under, which is why the total has moved from 47 to 45.5. The ticket count is on the over, which is a usual reflection of the public wagers. This isn’t uncommon as professional money will almost always be the reason a number moves.
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To conclude our Titans vs Chiefs betting preview,we officially recommend siding with the professionals, and bet the under.
Until the Titan’s offense becomes reliable it’s difficult to lean on them to do their part to push a game over.