Maple Leafs vs Lightning Betting Tips: Ready to Electrify
Leafs Enter as Underdogs In Potential High-Scoring Affair

Atlantic Division Stalwarts, Evenly Matched…
It’s the much-anticipated rematch between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Tampa Bay Lightning. Meeting for the first time since their seven-game playoff series last season, the NHL odds favor Tampa Bay at -145 with a game total of 6.5 goals. These teams have alternated beating each other with many of their matchups producing plenty of goals, hence why bettors should dig deeper with these Maple Leafs vs Lightning betting tips.
Game Information
Toronto Maple Leafs (15-5-5), Tampa Bay Lightning (14-8-1)
Date, time (TV):
Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa Bay
Maple Leafs Flourishing Away From Home
After a slow start to the season, the Maple Leafs have been on a roll. Toronto has a 10-game point streak with eight coming via wins (8-0-2). More impressively, Toronto is getting it done on the road. The Leafs have won six straight road games and improved to 7-3-2 for the season. They’ve beaten Minnesota, and Carolina, and even snapped the unstoppable Devils’ winning streak.
The Leafs, who were struggling to convert on their scoring chances, has now averaged 3.4 goals a game during this hot stretch. That’s the 11th-best mark in the NHL. But even more significant is the team’s defense and goaltending. Toronto has held opponents to two goals or fewer in seven of these 10 games. This contributes to their totals trending to the under – seven of these games went under or pushed (3-6-1).
Matt Murray has held his own and Ilya Samsonov played well in his return from a knee injury. The duo has combined to lead the NHL with a 93.6 save percent in this stretch. Combined with Toronto’s 11.5 shooting percent, the Leafs stand atop the league with a 1.051 PDO.
Toronto is now rapidly ascending the current NHL standings. The NHL odds have the Leafs ahead of their new rivals, the Lightning, as far as Stanley Cup odds go. Now, Toronto is in its best form as it seeks revenge against the team that extended its playoff heartbreak.
“We’re getting sick and tired feeling like this,” star forward Mitch Marner said following their Game 7 loss to Tampa Bay in their final game last season. “It’s gonna sting for a while.”
Marner, who tied a franchise record with an 18-game point streak, is staking his name for the Hart Memorial Trophy. As far as Maple Leafs vs Lightning betting tips go, he’s a solid bet to record a point against Tampa as he will need to be in fine form for Toronto upset the home team.
Lightning Light-Up Amalie Arena
This game feels similar to their playoff series. The build-up was that Toronto was a team on the rise and Tampa Bay, the grizzled champion was due for the slaying. The “Bolts” took the Leafs’ best punches and outlasted them. Tampa relied on defending and good ol’ Andrei Vasilevskiy in net. But in this game, it may be the offense that sparks as the Lightning’s home games have produced.
top five in 5-on-5 metrics like high-danger scoring chances produced (six per game) and shooting percentage (10.5 percent)
Eight of Tampa’s 11 home games have gone over the total thanks to Tampa producing an average of four goals. But it comes at the expense of defense at times. At least one team has scored four or more goals in nine of these games at the Amalie Arena. Tampa gets a surge playing in their home ice and they rank in the top five in 5-on-5 metrics like high-danger scoring chances produced (six per game) and shooting percentage (10.5 percent).
Tampa, despite its roster turnovers through the years, is still deep. The team has six players on pace to score 25 or more goals per the NHL team stats. They are led by captain Steven Stamkos, who just joined the 1,000-point club in their win over Philadelphia.
“It means a lot,” Stamkos said. “It’s an individual stat, but so many people have helped me get here. You just reminisce. Just brings back so many amazing memories.”
Toronto will bring plenty of firepower into the Amalie Arena and Tampa Bay is more than ready to match them. Per the Maple Leafs vs Lightning betting tips and stats, their last five games in Tampa have gone over the total.
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