NHL Tuesday Match-Up Review
Favorites Won 7 of 10 games Tuesday Night, Bettors Fail to Take Advantage
Favorites continue to dominate on a game-by-game basis after a 7-3 night, Tuesday. To date, the team with the NHL betting line advantage is 619-402 (60.63%), but even with that stellar record, the books have managed a $4488 profit based on a $100 wager. Bettors tried to take advantage of what appeared to be live dogs with Montreal (+280) and Anaheim (+235), but neither came through.
Overall the public money went just 5-5 (-$131). Let’s go deeper into last night’s NHL scores and odds by looking at a few key games followed by where the public stands overall against the book.
Betting Public Crushed Books With Avs Getting Win
Of all of the books monitored, the San Jose Sharks‘ visit to Colorado was bet the heaviest with almost 28,000 tickets. The public clearly wanted to go against whatever the Sharks have been handing out of most of the season with 80% of the moneyline dollars coming in on the Avs.
The opening number of -320 rose to -350 before puck drop. Not only did bettors get the best of the book on the moneyline but 84% cashed puckline tickets after Colorado dispatched the Sharks, 6-0. 90% of the total money was on the over (6.5), which fell just short, giving the books some of their money back.
Jared Bednar’s team has never truly reached the same level of confidence they did last season on their way to a Stanley Cup, but are just a couple of wins away from finally getting into the black for the season (-$144). The San Jose Sharks continue to be the worst team in hockey, losing bettors -$1926, or $301 more than the Calgary Flames.
Bettors Fell for The Trap Again
We know the Arizona Coyotes have been one of the worst teams to bet on through the years, but the public still has not caught on to the fact that they are not the automatic go-against that they’ve been thought of for at least the last five years. If you run the numbers, they’re not as bad as you might think despite a 142-211 (40.23%) record.
In fact, there are 12 teams that have cost bettors more money than the Coyotes since the 2018-19 NHL season. This year, they are one win away from carrying bettors into the black (-$85) despite a 22-42 record. Tuesday, the public was all over the St. Louis Blues with 90% of the money taking St. Louis and what looked like a reasonable -145, bet up from -135. It was a logical way to think, but logic has padded the bankrolls of a lot of sportsbooks.
Of course, the Blues were never in it, losing 6-2. The Blues fell to -$571 units on the season. Let’s conclude our look back at Tuesday’s NHL matchups by updating where the public stands against the books and what teams should be hammered now that the trade deadline has passed.
Season Long Betting Update
This continues to be another perfect season for the books with the public getting the majority of their wagers correct, while unable to overcome the moneyline to keep them seeing profits. Teams receiving more than 50.1% of the money are 597-412 (59.17%), but the books are still $4975 ahead based on $100 wagers.
The Boston Bruins are clearly the top team bettors like to ride and for good reason with their 48-12 (80%) record when receiving the majority of the money. They are over $1000 better than the Ottawa Senators (+465). The public continues to get buried by the Calgary Flames who are 15-24 (39%) when getting public backing. Home teams are 534-482 (52.36%) costing bettors $6966.
This proves once again why betting on the National Hockey League is one of the hardest sports to profit from. That does it for our NHL Tuesday match-up reviews, we’re close to the start of the postseason so our best advice is to stay with the teams who have proven their worth, but get them against quality opponents so you’re not forced to lay -300. All the best.Follow us on Twitter