NHL: Winnipeg Jets vs Nashville Predators Odds Preview

Jets Lead Pred's by Six for Third Place in Central Division

The Winnipeg Jets (47-24-6, 100 points) head to Music City to put the final nail in the hopes of the Nashville Predators (45-29-4, 94 points) who can technically catch the Jets for third in the Central Divison, but it’s going take a miracle with Winnipeg holding a game in hand.

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If Winnipeg wins, they’ll at least clinch their current position but still can catch the Colorado Avalanche (102 points) for first-round home-ice advantage. Oddsmakers have opened Winnipeg as a -107 favorite with a total of 5.5 (over -120). The puck is scheduled to drop at 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT and can be seen on Bally Sports South. Let’s get into our Jets vs Predators odds preview.

Jets logo Jets vs Predators Predators logo

Day/Time:
Location: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
Streaming: Bally Sports South

Jets Navigating Through Turbulence

Ultimately, the Winnipeg Jets will likely stay right where they are in the division but it won’t be easy. Winnipeg has the second most difficult schedule to end the hockey season with games against Dallas, Vancouver, and Colorado. After a 6-game winless streak, the Jets have bounced back to win three straight, all as favorites.

We talk a lot about depth and the Jets showed some of that in their 4-2 win at Minnesota. Many may define quality depth by the points accumulated, but we can also measure a team’s bottom six by defensive tenacity. How hard do they forecheck or cut down on passing lanes? In a nutshell, are they a defensive liability?

The Jets got on the board in the first period on a goal by Vladislav Namestnikov after Morgan Barrows created a turnover with an aggressive forecheck. The goal will get the attention but it was only made possible because of some good old-fashioned grit.

We also forget that when hockey teams play better in the O-zone, they’ll control the puck more taking the pressure off Connor Hellebuyck (34-19-4). Over their last four games, Winnipeg has allowed just 10 goals while allowing 25 or fewer shots three times.

The Jets have been a reliable wager this season with 3.87 units won, fifth best in the NHL. They’re at their best as a favorite winning 37 of 54 NHL games, producing 4.97 units. Their production as a favorite is fourth-best overall, but it should noted that Winnipeg has lost both games when they were a favorite of less than -110.

Since 2018, the Jets are 1-8 as a favorite of -110 or less. We don’t think Rock Bowness’ team will fall to the NHL wild card standing but they will be tested before the playoffs start.

Magic Number Down to One

The Nashville Predators will clinch a playoff spot with one more point or one more loss by the St. Louis Blues. Tonight’s game is the toughest remaining opponent on the Nashville schedule, so making the postseason is a formality.

We have the Predators 14th in our latest power rankings, and 8th in the Western Conference. Speaking of limiting your opponent’s chances, Juuse Saros (34-23-4, 2.80. .908) was asked to make just 23 saves in their 3-2 shootout win against the New Jersey Devils last time out.

Over the Preds’ last 12 games, Nashville has allowed 34 goals (2.84 per game). They’ll need every bit of that defensive mentality that has long defined this franchise because if the season ended today, the NHL playoff schedule would have Andrew Brunette’s team taking on the Vancouver Canucks.

The Predators have produced 7.61 units of profit for bettors this season, third best. As a dog, Nashville has a strong 19-19 record (+4.47 units) but just 6-7 (-0.52 units) as a home dog. We end our Jets vs Predators odds preview with our official selection.

These Numbers Always Feel Like Traps

We know what people are thinking, the odds that only slightly favor the Winnipeg Jets should favor the home team, but throughout history, this has always been a trap. This season teams that are favorites of -107 are just 2-4 but over the last three seasons, the favorite is 14-11.

Back to 2005, -107 favorites are 159-114 (.582). If we expand that number to favorites -110 or less, the win percentage would decrease but still be a healthy 725-627 (.536) +40.26 units. The Jets have been a safe road wager with a 22-13-3 record while Nashville looks to improve on a 22-16-1 record at Bridgestone Arena.

This will be one of the most important NHL scores to watch on Tuesday but in the end, the Winnipeg Jets are the right side.

For NHL predictions today, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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