2024 Donald Trump Favorability Rating
With Democrats Reeling, Presumed GOP Candidate’s Popularity is High Despite Controversy

Democrats may be in disarray after Joe Biden’s disastrous first-debate performance last month. But the Republican Party has been shockingly silent, and for good reason.
Donald Trump, the 45th U.S. President, who is set to accept the GOP presidential nomination for the third consecutive term at the upcoming RNC Convention next week in Milwaukee, is extremely unpopular despite his stranglehold on the Republican Party.

Still, with Trump heavily favored to retake the Oval Office — and become the second split-term president in U.S. history — it’s worth monitoring his favorability ranking as November draws nearer.
Hence, here is the 2024 Trump Favorability Rating as of mid-July.
Trump still unpopular
Throughout his first term, Trump’s approval rating was consistently in the 38%-42% range among Americans.
Trump’s unpopularity stems from the too-numerous-to-count controversies, including his multiple impeachments, brash and problematic speech, plus the fact many of his first-term staff have abandoned him after he was defeated by Biden in the 2020 Presidential Election.
- So although he is a heavy -200 favorite to claim the U.S. Presidency, Trump’s approval rating according to the analytics website 538.com has him at a 41.8 favorable rating and 53.1% unfavorable rating.
That puts him squarely in line with his base of supporters from his first term.
If you’re looking to bet on politics ahead of the November election, there are odds set at Trump’s favorability rating per 538 as of Aug. 1. The favorite in that betting market is the 41.0-41.9%, at +175 with 42.0-42.9% coming in at +185.
- But if you’re a Trump supporter hoping to see him run away with the 2024 election, you’re likely to be disappointed by the fact the odds for his favorability to be 43%+ are +375, the third-shortest odds.
Trump is just a con man from New York | Donald Trump | Al Jazeera https://t.co/pvlbAaW6mX
— MEW2015 (@Michele6360) July 9, 2024
Trump’s favorability rises
Time heals all, and as Trump stays out of the political news, especially in lieu of his multiple indictments, his popularity continues to grow.
- According to 538, 2024 Trump Favorability Rating is about 3% higher than it was at this time in 2023 and is 1.6% better than it was in mid-July 2022.
Those who turned in Trump’s favor may have forgotten the hush-money payments to Stormy Daniels, two impeachments, his mishandling of the COVID-19 pandemic and of course the insurrection he led of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 after he failed to accept the 2020 election results and led to his second impeachment. (Subjective opinion and does not necessarily reflect the opinion of PS)
Still, Trump, who has yet to be sentenced on the 34 felonies in the Daniels case but may not be before the November election due to the recent Supreme Court ruling that gives him immunity as a presidential candidate, has somehow survived it all.
- At 78 years old, Trump will again be the oldest GOP presidential candidate.
Despite that fact, and that he has seemed lost and confused at points while campaigning, Trump appeared far more vibrant than Biden at the debate in Atlanta on June 27.
Trump’s Popularity May Dip
2024 Trump Favorability Rating is likely to peak after the RNC Convention, since the event is typically marked by pomp and circumstance surrounding the candidate.
Even though members of his own party are sick of Trump’s grasp on the GOP, the RNC will almost certainly roll out the red carpet for its candidate at the convention, especially in the battleground state of Wisconsin.
- Still, if you’re looking to bet on Trump’s favorability rating on September 1, it will probably level off to the low-to-mid 41% range, or perhaps into high-40% territory.
After all, the DNC Convention is slated for mid-August, since Biden is the incumbent, and undecided voters who consume that conference will get a heavy helping of Biden support — or Kamala Harris if the 81-year-old president gets pressured to drop out of the race.
The race will shift drastically too if Harris takes the nomination from Biden, since she is much younger and more energetic than the current president.
- Trump’s people should be developing a strategy just in case the soon-to-be 60-year-old former California senator and attorney general just in case she ends up accepting the Democratic nomination August 22.
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